When, How Long and How Much? Interpretable Neural Networks for Time Series Regression by Learning to Mask and Aggregate
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
Time series extrinsic regression (TSER) refers to the task of predicting a continuous target variable from an input time series. It appears in many domains, including healthcare, finance, environmental monitoring, and engineering. In these settings, accurate predictions and trustworthy reasoning are both essential. Although state-of-the-art TSER models achieve strong predictive performance, they typically operate as black boxes, making it difficult to understand which temporal patterns drive their decisions. Post-hoc interpretability techniques, such as feature attribution, aim to to explain how the model arrives at its predictions, but often produce coarse, noisy, or unstable explanations. Recently, inherently interpretable approaches based on concepts, additive decompositions, or symbolic regression, have emerged as promising alternatives. However, these approaches remain limited: they require explicit supervision on the concepts themselves, often cannot capture interactions between time-series features, lack expressiveness for complex temporal patterns, and struggle to scale to high-dimensional multivariate data. To address these limitations, we propose MAGNETS (Mask-and-AGgregate NEtwork for Time Series), an inherently interpretable neural architecture for TSER. MAGNETS learns a compact set of human-understandable concepts without requiring any annotations. Each concept corresponds to a learned, mask-based aggregation over selected input features, explicitly revealing both which features drive predictions and when they matter in the sequence. Predictions are formed as combinations of these learned concepts through a transparent, additive structure, enabling clear insight into the model's decision process. The code implementation and datasets are publicly available at https://github.com/FlorentF9/MAGNETS.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 40 of its 72 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 3 Dec 2025.
Builds on
40 of 72 references.
References · 40
- 2017Attention Is All You Needcited by 59,932
- 2017Axiomatic Attribution for Deep Networkscited by 3,350
- 2016Categorical Reparameterization with Gumbel-Softmaxcited by 2,708
- 2019Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI): Concepts, Taxonomies, Opportunities and Challenges toward Responsible AIcited by 1,543
- 2017Learning Important Features Through Propagating Activation Differencescited by 1,454
- 2020Concept Bottleneck Modelscited by 1,022
- 2018Deep learning for time series classification: a reviewcited by 575
- 2018Towards Robust Interpretability with Self-Explaining Neural Networkscited by 505
- 2019InceptionTime: Finding AlexNet for Time Series Classificationcited by 386
- 2016Time Series Classification from Scratch with Deep Neural Networks: A Strong Baselinecited by 358
- 2019ROCKET: Exceptionally fast and accurate time series classification using random convolutional kernelscited by 336
- 2020Neural Additive Models: Interpretable Machine Learning with Neural Netscited by 318
28 more
- 2023Label-Free Concept Bottleneck Modelscited by 282
- 2017Deep Learning for Case-Based Reasoning through Prototypes: A Neural Network that Explains Its Predictionscited by 234
- 2022Discovering Invariant Rationales for Graph Neural Networkscited by 186
- 2020Benchmarking Deep Learning Interpretability in Time Series Predictionscited by 102
- 2024Discover-then-Name: Task-Agnostic Concept Bottlenecks via Automated Concept Discoverycited by 91
- 2021MultiRocket: Multiple pooling operators and transformations for fast and effective time series classificationcited by 89
- 2021NODE-GAM: Neural Generalized Additive Model for Interpretable Deep Learningcited by 88
- 2020GAMI-Net: An Explainable Neural Network based on Generalized Additive Models with Structured Interactionscited by 82
- 2018TernausNet: U-Net with VGG11 Encoder Pre-Trained on ImageNet for Image Segmentationcited by 76
- 2019Interpretable and Steerable Sequence Learning via Prototypescited by 72
- 2021Explaining Time Series Predictions with Dynamic Maskscited by 72
- 2023Deep Learning for Time Series Classification and Extrinsic Regression: A Current Surveycited by 68
- 2022Neural Basis Models for Interpretabilitycited by 56
- 2022HYDRA: Competing convolutional kernels for fast and accurate time series classificationcited by 53
- 2023Encoding Time-Series Explanations through Self-Supervised Model Behavior Consistencycited by 42
- 2018Explainable Neural Networks based on Additive Index Modelscited by 33
- 2024TimeX++: Learning Time-Series Explanations with Information Bottleneckcited by 32
- 2019Explaining Deep Classification of Time-Series Data with Learned Prototypescited by 30
- 2021Temporal Dependencies in Feature Importance for Time Series Predictionscited by 27
- 2023Learning Perturbations to Explain Time Series Predictionscited by 23
- 2023Interpretable-by-Design Text Understanding with Iteratively Generated Concept Bottleneckcited by 21
- 2024Explain via Any Concept: Concept Bottleneck Model with Open Vocabulary Conceptscited by 20
- 2022What You See is What You Classify: Black Box Attributionscited by 12
- 2023Unsupervised Feature Based Algorithms for Time Series Extrinsic Regressioncited by 9
- 2025TIMING: Temporality-Aware Integrated Gradients for Time Series Explanationcited by 9
- 2024Interpretable Prognostics with Concept Bottleneck Modelscited by 6
- 2025Disentangling Slow and Fast Temporal Dynamics in Degradation Inference with Hierarchical Differential Modelscited by 3
- 2024Transparent Networks for Multivariate Time Seriescited by 2
Built on by
Not cited yet.