C2GSPG: Confidence-calibrated Group Sequence Policy Gradient towards Self-aware Reasoning
On the map: LLM reasoning → Reinforcement learning for reasoning
Abstract (arXiv)
Reinforcement Learning (RL) methods, exemplified by Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) and its variants, play a central role in developing reasoning models. However, these methods often suffer from a critical overconfidence issue, which prevents them from achieving self-aware reasoning models. In this study, we propose a simple yet effective confidence-calibration group sequence policy gradient method, called C2GSPG, which simultaneously enhances reasoning performance while suppressing overconfidence. In principle, we propose a Group Sequence Policy Gradient (GSPG) framework for learning reasoning models, which eliminates the token-level bias commonly appearing in GRPO and its variants. In this framework, we define the model confidence for each reasoning problem using the normalized sequence-level probability, and then apply a cross-entropy regularizer to calibrate the model confidence to the sequence's reward. We demonstrate that the confidence calibration regularizer and GSPG are collaborative for binary rewards, as their objectives always share the same gradient direction. For non-binary rewards, we apply nonlinear reward normalization and adaptive regularizer clipping, mitigating the potential conflict between the two objectives. Applying C2GSPG to post-train large language models in logical and mathematical reasoning tasks, we show its superiority over state-of-the-art methods in both reasoning accuracy and confidence calibration. The code of C2GSPG is available at https://github.com/HaotianLiu123/CCGSPG.
Key facts. Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in Reinforcement learning for reasoning, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 32 of its 41 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 27 Sep 2025.
Builds on
32 of 41 references.
Closest ancestors · 13
Same direction, newest first
- 2025Uncalibrated Reasoning: GRPO Induces Overconfidence for Stochastic Outcomes15 Aug
- 2025Beyond Binary Rewards: Training LMs to Reason About Their Uncertainty22 Jul
- 2025A Simple "Motivation" Can Enhance Reinforcement Finetuning of Large Reasoning Models23 Jun
- 2025Do Not Let Low-Probability Tokens Over-Dominate in RL for LLMs19 May
- 2025Does Reinforcement Learning Really Incentivize Reasoning Capacity in LLMs Beyond the Base Model?18 Apr
- 2025Efficient Reinforcement Finetuning via Adaptive Curriculum Learning7 Apr
- 2025GPG: A Simple and Strong Reinforcement Learning Baseline for Model Reasoning3 Apr
- 2025Adaptive Group Policy Optimization: Towards Stable Training and Token-Efficient Reasoning20 Mar
- 2025DAPO: An Open-Source LLM Reinforcement Learning System at Scale18 Mar
- 2025Logic-RL: Unleashing LLM Reasoning with Rule-Based Reinforcement Learning20 Feb
- 2023Let's Verify Step by Step31 May
- 2023Direct Preference Optimization: Your Language Model is Secretly a Reward Model29 May
1 more
- 2017Proximal Policy Optimization Algorithms20 Jul
Other references · 19
- 2021Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problemscited by 10,109
- 2024DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Modelscited by 9,379
- 2025Qwen3 Technical Reportcited by 8,820
- 2025Gemini 2.5: Pushing the Frontier with Advanced Reasoning, Multimodality, Long Context, and Next Generation Agentic Capabilitiescited by 3,796
- 2022Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Knowcited by 1,856
- 2022Solving Quantitative Reasoning Problems with Language Modelscited by 1,392
- 2024OlympiadBench: A Challenging Benchmark for Promoting AGI with Olympiad-Level Bilingual Multimodal Scientific Problemscited by 1,136
- 2025Group Sequence Policy Optimizationcited by 835
- 2024Language Model Cascades: Token-level uncertainty and beyondcited by 121
- 2024On Memorization of Large Language Models in Logical Reasoningcited by 117
- 2024Taming Overconfidence in LLMs: Reward Calibration in RLHFcited by 112
- 2024SaySelf: Teaching LLMs to Express Confidence with Self-Reflective Rationalescited by 105
7 more
- 2025Reasoning Models Better Express Their Confidencecited by 65
- 2025Mind the Confidence Gap: Overconfidence, Calibration, and Distractor Effects in Large Language Modelscited by 40
- 2022Robust Models are less Over-Confidentcited by 25
- 2025Shorten After You're Right: Lazy Length Penalties for Reasoning RLcited by 25
- 2025Thinking Out Loud: Do Reasoning Models Know When They're Right?cited by 12
- 2022Reducing Overconfidence Predictions for Autonomous Driving Perceptioncited by 7
- 2025Don't Think Twice! Over-Reasoning Impairs Confidence Calibrationcited by 6
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2026: 8.
8 papers.
- 2026Decoupling Reasoning and Confidence: Resurrecting Calibration in Reinforcement Learning from Verifiable Rewardscited by 14
- 2026Calibration-Aware Policy Optimization for Reasoning LLMscited by 5
- 2026Reinforcement Learning with Metacognitive Feedback Elicits Faithful Uncertainty Expression in LLMscited by 4
- 2026Process Supervision of Confidence Margin for Calibrated LLM Reasoningcited by 2
- 2026Uncertainty Quantification for LLM Agents: A Taxonomy, an Evaluation Protocol, and an Empirical Studycited by 0
- 2026Shared Experience, Separate Learning: Companion Confidence Calibration for LLMscited by 0
- 2026Beyond Verbalized Confidence: Calibrating Reasoners with Differentiable Readoutscited by 0
- 2026RL-ARC: Calibrating Large Reasoning Models via Reasoning-guided Uncertaintycited by 0
- 2026RL-ARC: Calibrating Large Reasoning Models via Reasoning-guided Uncertainty8 Oct 2026
- 2026Beyond Verbalized Confidence: Calibrating Reasoners with Differentiable Readouts28 Sep 2026
- 2026Shared Experience, Separate Learning: Companion Confidence Calibration for LLMs27 Sep 2026
- 2026Uncertainty Quantification for LLM Agents: A Taxonomy, an Evaluation Protocol, and an Empirical Study7 Sep 2026
- 2026Reinforcement Learning with Metacognitive Feedback Elicits Faithful Uncertainty Expression in LLMs30 Jun 2026
- 2026Process Supervision of Confidence Margin for Calibrated LLM Reasoning25 Apr 2026
- 2026Calibration-Aware Policy Optimization for Reasoning LLMs14 Apr 2026
- 2026Decoupling Reasoning and Confidence: Resurrecting Calibration in Reinforcement Learning from Verifiable Rewards10 Mar 2026
Similar, not cited
Close in wording, no citation either way
- 2025Scaf-GRPO: Scaffolded Group Relative Policy Optimization for Enhancing LLM Reasoning
- 2025Mitigating Think-Answer Mismatch in LLM Reasoning Through Noise-Aware Advantage Reweighting
- 2026GRPO-VPS: Enhancing Group Relative Policy Optimization with Verifiable Process Supervision for Effective Reasoning
- 2026When Right Meets Wrong: Bilateral Context Conditioning with Reward-Confidence Correction for GRPO
- 2026Latent-GRPO: Group Relative Policy Optimization for Latent Reasoning
- 2026Revisiting Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards from a Contrastive Perspective
- 2026Breaking textitWinner-Takes-All: Cooperative Policy Optimization Improves Diverse LLM Reasoning
- 2025SSPO: Subsentence-level Policy Optimization