Can Language Models Discover Scaling Laws?
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Abstract (arXiv)
Discovering scaling laws for predicting model performance at scale is a fundamental and open-ended challenge, mostly reliant on slow, case specific human experimentation. To investigate the potential for LLMs to automate this process, we collect over 5,000 experiments from existing literature and curate eight diverse scaling law discovery tasks. While existing agents struggle to produce accurate law formulas, this paper introduces SLDAgent, an evolution-based agent that co-optimize the scaling law model and the parameters, enabling it to autonomously explore complex relationships between variables. For the first time, we demonstrates that SLDAgent can automatically discover laws that exhibit consistently more accurate extrapolation than their established, human-derived counterparts across all tasks. Through comprehensive analysis, we elucidate why these discovered laws are superior and verify their practical utility in both pretraining and finetuning applications. This work establishes a new paradigm for agentic scientific discovery, showing that AI systems can understand their own scaling behavior, and can contribute novel and practical knowledge back to the research community.
Key facts. Cited by 13 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 53 of its 77 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 27 Jul 2025.
Builds on
53 of 77 references.
References · 53
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50 most cited of 53 All 53 (JSON)
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 2; 2026: 11.
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- 2025CodeEvolve: an open source evolutionary coding agent for algorithmic discovery and optimizationcited by 44
- 2025NewtonBench: Benchmarking Generalizable Scientific Law Discovery in LLM Agentscited by 36
- 2026Evolution Fine-Tuning: Learning to Discover Across 371 Optimization Taskscited by 6
- 2026Spend Less, Fit Better: Budget-Efficient Scaling Law Fitting via Active Experiment Selectioncited by 3
- 2026Evolutionary Multi-Task Optimization for LLM-Guided Program Discoverycited by 3
- 2026Configuration-to-Performance Scaling Law with Neural Ansatzcited by 2
- 2026Improved Upper Bounds for Slicing the Hypercubecited by 1
- 2026Can LLM design high-quality experiments? A Comprehensive and Systematic Benchmark on Autonomous Experimental Designcited by 1
- 2026Efficiently Estimating Optimal Hyperparameter Scaling Laws through Power-Law Entropy Searchcited by 1
- 2026Problems with Chinchilla Approach 2: Systematic Biases in IsoFLOP Parabola Fitscited by 0
- 2026Practical Scaling Laws: Converting Compute into Performance in a Data-Constrained Worldcited by 0
- 2026Algorithmic algorithm development with LLMs: A Case Study on LLM-Usage for Contraction Order Optimization in Tensor Networkscited by 0
1 more
- 2026SLDBench v2: Active Scaling Law Discoverycited by 0
- 2026SLDBench v2: Active Scaling Law Discovery12 Oct 2026
- 2026Efficiently Estimating Optimal Hyperparameter Scaling Laws through Power-Law Entropy Search1 Sep 2026
- 2026Can LLM design high-quality experiments? A Comprehensive and Systematic Benchmark on Autonomous Experimental Design4 Aug 2026
- 2026Evolution Fine-Tuning: Learning to Discover Across 371 Optimization Tasks27 Jun 2026
- 2026Algorithmic algorithm development with LLMs: A Case Study on LLM-Usage for Contraction Order Optimization in Tensor Networks1 Jun 2026
- 2026Evolutionary Multi-Task Optimization for LLM-Guided Program Discovery21 May 2026
- 2026Practical Scaling Laws: Converting Compute into Performance in a Data-Constrained World9 May 2026
- 2026Spend Less, Fit Better: Budget-Efficient Scaling Law Fitting via Active Experiment Selection24 Apr 2026
- 2026Problems with Chinchilla Approach 2: Systematic Biases in IsoFLOP Parabola Fits21 Mar 2026
- 2026Configuration-to-Performance Scaling Law with Neural Ansatz10 Feb 2026
- 2026Improved Upper Bounds for Slicing the Hypercube6 Feb 2026
- 2025CodeEvolve: an open source evolutionary coding agent for algorithmic discovery and optimization15 Oct 2025
1 more
- 2026Evolution Fine-Tuning: Learning to Discover Across 371 Optimization Taskscited by 6
- 2026Spend Less, Fit Better: Budget-Efficient Scaling Law Fitting via Active Experiment Selectioncited by 3
- 2026Evolutionary Multi-Task Optimization for LLM-Guided Program Discoverycited by 3
- 2026Configuration-to-Performance Scaling Law with Neural Ansatzcited by 2
- 2026Improved Upper Bounds for Slicing the Hypercubecited by 1
- 2026Can LLM design high-quality experiments? A Comprehensive and Systematic Benchmark on Autonomous Experimental Designcited by 1
- 2026Efficiently Estimating Optimal Hyperparameter Scaling Laws through Power-Law Entropy Searchcited by 1
- 2026Problems with Chinchilla Approach 2: Systematic Biases in IsoFLOP Parabola Fitscited by 0
- 2026Practical Scaling Laws: Converting Compute into Performance in a Data-Constrained Worldcited by 0
- 2026Algorithmic algorithm development with LLMs: A Case Study on LLM-Usage for Contraction Order Optimization in Tensor Networkscited by 0
- 2026SLDBench v2: Active Scaling Law Discoverycited by 0
- 2026SLDBench v2: Active Scaling Law Discovery12 Oct 2026
- 2026Efficiently Estimating Optimal Hyperparameter Scaling Laws through Power-Law Entropy Search1 Sep 2026
- 2026Can LLM design high-quality experiments? A Comprehensive and Systematic Benchmark on Autonomous Experimental Design4 Aug 2026
- 2026Evolution Fine-Tuning: Learning to Discover Across 371 Optimization Tasks27 Jun 2026
- 2026Algorithmic algorithm development with LLMs: A Case Study on LLM-Usage for Contraction Order Optimization in Tensor Networks1 Jun 2026
- 2026Evolutionary Multi-Task Optimization for LLM-Guided Program Discovery21 May 2026
- 2026Practical Scaling Laws: Converting Compute into Performance in a Data-Constrained World9 May 2026
- 2026Spend Less, Fit Better: Budget-Efficient Scaling Law Fitting via Active Experiment Selection24 Apr 2026
- 2026Problems with Chinchilla Approach 2: Systematic Biases in IsoFLOP Parabola Fits21 Mar 2026
- 2026Configuration-to-Performance Scaling Law with Neural Ansatz10 Feb 2026
- 2026Improved Upper Bounds for Slicing the Hypercube6 Feb 2026
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