A Sober Look at Progress in Language Model Reasoning: Pitfalls and Paths to Reproducibility
On the map: LLM reasoning → Reasoning benchmarks and evaluation
Abstract (arXiv)
Reasoning has emerged as the next major frontier for language models (LMs), with rapid advances from both academic and industrial labs. However, this progress often outpaces methodological rigor, with many evaluations relying on benchmarking practices that lack transparency, robustness, or statistical grounding. In this work, we conduct a comprehensive empirical study and find that current mathematical reasoning benchmarks are highly sensitive to subtle implementation choices--including decoding parameters, random seeds, prompt formatting, and even hardware and software configurations. Performance gains reported in recent studies frequently hinge on unclear comparisons or unreported sources of variance. To address these issues, we propose a standardized evaluation framework with clearly defined best practices and reporting standards. Using this framework, we reassess recent methods and find that most reinforcement learning (RL) approaches yield only modest improvements--far below prior claims--and are prone to overfitting, especially on small-scale benchmarks like AIME'24. In contrast, supervised finetuning (SFT) methods show consistently stronger generalization in the settings we study. To foster reproducibility, we release all code, prompts, and model outputs, for reasoning benchmarks, establishing more rigorous foundations for future work.
Key facts. Cited by 89 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Reasoning benchmarks and evaluation, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 86 of its 133 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 9 Apr 2025.
Builds on
86 of 133 references.
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Other references · 83
- 2024DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Modelscited by 8,851
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- 2021Deep Reinforcement Learning at the Edge of the Statistical Precipicecited by 781
- 2017Deep Reinforcement Learning that Matterscited by 727
- 2025Vision-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in Multimodal Large Language Modelscited by 653
- 2023Eureka: Human-Level Reward Design via Coding Large Language Modelscited by 542
- 2024GSM-Symbolic: Understanding the Limitations of Mathematical Reasoning in Large Language Modelscited by 533
- 2025SimpleRL-Zoo: Investigating and Taming Zero Reinforcement Learning for Open Base Models in the Wildcited by 505
- 2025Visual-RFT: Visual Reinforcement Fine-Tuningcited by 501
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- 2024DataComp-LM: In search of the next generation of training sets for language modelscited by 381
- 2025L1: Controlling How Long A Reasoning Model Thinks With Reinforcement Learningcited by 381
- 2020A Metric Learning Reality Checkcited by 317
- 2025VAPO: Efficient and Reliable Reinforcement Learning for Advanced Reasoning Taskscited by 281
- 2017Revisiting the Arcade Learning Environment: Evaluation Protocols and Open Problems for General Agentscited by 267
- 2025Logic-RL: Unleashing LLM Reasoning with Rule-Based Reinforcement Learningcited by 260
- 2025LMM-R1: Empowering 3B LMMs with Strong Reasoning Abilities Through Two-Stage Rule-Based RLcited by 244
- 2023Time Travel in LLMs: Tracing Data Contamination in Large Language Modelscited by 175
- 2024Lessons from the Trenches on Reproducible Evaluation of Language Modelscited by 172
- 2024The Effect of Sampling Temperature on Problem Solving in Large Language Modelscited by 168
- 2024Imitate, Explore, and Self-Improve: A Reproduction Report on Slow-thinking Reasoning Systemscited by 162
- 2025Thoughts Are All Over the Place: On the Underthinking of o1-Like LLMscited by 162
- 2020What Matters In On-Policy Reinforcement Learning? A Large-Scale Empirical Studycited by 157
- 2025Crossing the Reward Bridge: Expanding RL with Verifiable Rewards Across Diverse Domainscited by 150
- 2020With Little Power Comes Great Responsibilitycited by 138
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- 2021The Benchmark Lotterycited by 133
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- 2018Troubling Trends in Machine Learning Scholarshipcited by 107
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- 2024On Designing Effective RL Reward at Training Time for LLM Reasoningcited by 87
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- 2025NaturalReasoning: Reasoning in the Wild with 2.8M Challenging Questionscited by 81
- 2024Functional Benchmarks for Robust Evaluation of Reasoning Performance, and the Reasoning Gapcited by 79
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 63; 2026: 26.
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- 2026RLVP: Penalize the Path, Reward the Outcome8 Jul 2026
- 2026RevengeBench: Reverse Engineering Code-Space Policies from Behavioral Experiments24 Jun 2026
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- 2025Limits of PRM-Guided Tree Search for Mathematical Reasoning with LLMs23 Oct 2025
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- 2025Mapping Post-Training Forgetting in Language Models at Scale20 Oct 2025
- 2025Let it Calm: Exploratory Annealed Decoding for Verifiable Reinforcement Learning6 Oct 2025
- 2025Don't Pass@k: A Bayesian Framework for Large Language Model Evaluation5 Oct 2025
- 2025Pushing on Multilingual Reasoning Models with Language-Mixed Chain-of-Thought5 Oct 2025
- 2025The Debate on RLVR Reasoning Capability Boundary: Shrinkage, Expansion, or Both? A Two-Stage Dynamic View5 Oct 2025
- 2025Boosting Process-Correct CoT Reasoning by Modeling Solvability of Multiple-Choice QA30 Sep 2025
- 2025DeepSearch: Overcome the Bottleneck of Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards via Monte Carlo Tree Search29 Sep 2025
- 2025Language Models Can Learn from Verbal Feedback Without Scalar Rewards26 Sep 2025
- 2025Variational Reasoning for Language Models26 Sep 2025
- 2025Position: The Hidden Costs and Measurement Gaps of Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards26 Sep 2025
- 2025Less Precise Can Be More Reliable: A Systematic Evaluation of Quantization's Impact on VLMs Beyond Accuracy25 Sep 2025
- 2025ScaleDiff: Scaling Difficult Problems for Advanced Mathematical Reasoning25 Sep 2025
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- 2025Spurious Rewards: Rethinking Training Signals in RLVRcited by 199
- 2025The Surprising Effectiveness of Negative Reinforcement in LLM Reasoningcited by 158
- 2025Phi-4-reasoning Technical Reportcited by 146
- 2025RLPR: Extrapolating RLVR to General Domains without Verifierscited by 83
- 2025e3: Learning to Explore Enables Extrapolation of Test-Time Compute for LLMscited by 56
- 2025Improving Data Efficiency for LLM Reinforcement Fine-tuning Through Difficulty-targeted Online Data Selection and Rollout Replaycited by 52
- 2025Diversity-Aware Policy Optimization for Large Language Model Reasoningcited by 39
- 2025Learning to Reason Across Parallel Samples for LLM Reasoningcited by 32
- 2025X-Reasoner: Towards Generalizable Reasoning Across Modalities and Domainscited by 30
- 2025100 Days After DeepSeek-R1: A Survey on Replication Studies and More Directions for Reasoning Language Modelscited by 29
- 2025Differential Smoothing Mitigates Sharpening and Improves LLM Reasoningcited by 19
- 2025Why Distillation can Outperform Zero-RL: The Role of Flexible Reasoningcited by 15
12 most cited of 55 All 55 (JSON)
- 2026Dating the Model: Hidden Dates in System Prompts Affect LLM Evaluation29 Sep 2026
- 2026A Primer in Post-Training Reasoning Data: What We Know About How It Works1 Jun 2026
- 2026LaRA: Layer-wise Representation Analysis for Detecting Data Contamination in RL Post-Training28 May 2026
- 2026Clipping Bottleneck: Stabilizing RLVR via Stochastic Recovery of Near-Boundary Signals21 May 2026
- 2026One-Way Policy Optimization for Self-Evolving LLMs21 May 2026
- 2026Exploration-Driven Optimization for Test-Time Large Language Model Reasoning11 May 2026
- 2026LEAD: Length-Efficient Adaptive and Dynamic Reasoning for Large Language Models10 May 2026
- 2026Knowing When to Quit: A Principled Framework for Dynamic Abstention in LLM Reasoning20 Apr 2026
- 2026Filtered Reasoning Score: Evaluating Reasoning Quality on a Model's Most-Confident Traces13 Apr 2026
- 2026Where Hindsight Credit Can Reside: A Signed-Capacity View of Token Updates in RLVR13 Apr 2026
- 2026Surgical Post-Training: Proximal On-Policy Distillation for Reasoning with Knowledge Retention2 Mar 2026
- 2026UpSkill: Mutual Information Skill Learning for Structured Response Diversity in LLMs25 Feb 2026
12 newest of 55 All 55 (JSON)
- 2026RECLAIM: Can Agents Reproduce the Claims of Machine Learning Papers?23 Sep 2026
- 2026On Effectiveness and Efficiency of Agentic Tool-calling and RL Training28 May 2026
- 2025Grammar Search for Multi-Agent Systems16 Dec 2025
- 2025How to Train Your LLM Web Agent: A Statistical Diagnosis5 Jul 2025
- 2025Solving Spatial Supersensing Without Spatial Supersensing20 Nov 2025
- 2025Generalizing Verifiable Instruction Followingcited by 178
- 2025Understanding and Mitigating Numerical Sources of Nondeterminism in LLM Inferencecited by 47
- 2025Language Models Can Learn from Verbal Feedback Without Scalar Rewardscited by 17
- 2025Context Is What You Need: The Maximum Effective Context Window for Real World Limits of LLMscited by 11
- 2025Position: The Hidden Costs and Measurement Gaps of Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewardscited by 11
- 2025Mapping Post-Training Forgetting in Language Models at Scalecited by 8
- 2026DatBench: Discriminative, Faithful, and Efficient VLM Evaluationscited by 7
- 2025The Hitchhiker's Guide to Program Analysis, Part II: Deep Thoughts by LLMscited by 4
- 2025Discovering Hierarchical Latent Capabilities of Language Models via Causal Representation Learningcited by 4
- 2025Closing the Data Loop: Using OpenDataArena to Engineer Superior Training Datasetscited by 4
- 2025Distributed and Decentralised Training: Technical Governance Challenges in a Shifting AI Landscapecited by 2
- 2025Data-Centric Lessons To Improve Speech-Language Pretrainingcited by 2
12 most cited of 27 All 27 (JSON)
- 2026Learned Reporting Preferences in RLVR Can Conflict with the Current Request29 Sep 2026
- 2026From Checkpoint Variation to Selection Gains in Supervised Fine-Tuning29 Sep 2026
- 2026Temperature Fragility and the Conditional Benefits of Truncation Sampling14 Sep 2026
- 2026Tracking the Moving Frontier: Long-Short Term Advantage Estimator6 Sep 2026
- 2026One Symptom, Three Levers: A Critical Review of On-Policy Self-Distillation26 Aug 2026
- 2026HERALD: Counterfactual Audits and Minimal Repairs for Proof-of-Retrieval Rewards6 Aug 2026
- 2026RLVP: Penalize the Path, Reward the Outcome8 Jul 2026
- 2026RevengeBench: Reverse Engineering Code-Space Policies from Behavioral Experiments24 Jun 2026
- 2026Test-time RL alignment exposes task familiarity artifacts in LLM benchmarks13 Mar 2026
- 2026DatBench: Discriminative, Faithful, and Efficient VLM Evaluations5 Jan 2026
- 2025Closing the Data Loop: Using OpenDataArena to Engineer Superior Training Datasets30 Dec 2025
- 2025Ladder Up, Memory Down: Low-Cost Fine-Tuning With Side Nets16 Dec 2025
12 newest of 27 All 27 (JSON)
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