An Empirical Study Into What Matters for Calibrating Vision-Language Models
On the map: Multimodal LLMs / vision-language models → Prompt learning and adaptation of CLIP
Abstract (arXiv)
Vision-Language Models (VLMs) have emerged as the dominant approach for zero-shot recognition, adept at handling diverse scenarios and significant distribution changes. However, their deployment in risk-sensitive areas requires a deeper understanding of their uncertainty estimation capabilities, a relatively uncharted area. In this study, we explore the calibration properties of VLMs across different architectures, datasets, and training strategies. In particular, we analyze the uncertainty estimation performance of VLMs when calibrated in one domain, label set or hierarchy level, and tested in a different one. Our findings reveal that while VLMs are not inherently calibrated for uncertainty, temperature scaling significantly and consistently improves calibration, even across shifts in distribution and changes in label set. Moreover, VLMs can be calibrated with a very small set of examples. Through detailed experimentation, we highlight the potential applications and importance of our insights, aiming for more reliable and effective use of VLMs in critical, real-world scenarios.
Key facts. Cited by 20 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Prompt learning and adaptation of CLIP, one of 16 directions in Multimodal LLMs / vision-language models. Builds on 54 of its 75 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 12 Feb 2024.
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54 of 75 references.
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- 2023ChatGPT-Powered Hierarchical Comparisons for Image Classification1 Nov
- 2021Learning to Prompt for Vision-Language Models2 Sep
Other references · 52
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50 most cited of 52 All 52 (JSON)
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Citing papers per year: 2024: 7; 2025: 8; 2026: 5.
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- 2026Overconfidence and Calibration in Medical VQA: Empirical Findings and Hallucination-Aware Mitigation2 Apr 2026
- 2026ProtoDCS: Towards Robust and Efficient Open-Set Test-Time Adaptation for Vision-Language Models27 Feb 2026
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- 2025Solving Semi-Supervised Few-Shot Learning from an Auto-Annotation Perspective11 Dec 2025
- 2025Intra-Class Probabilistic Embeddings for Uncertainty Estimation in Vision-Language Models27 Nov 2025
- 2025Class-Aware Prototype Learning with Negative Contrast for Test-Time Adaptation of Vision-Language Models22 Oct 2025
- 2025ZeST: an VLM-based Zero-Shot Traversability Navigation for Unknown Environments26 Aug 2025
- 2025Trustworthy Few-Shot Transfer of Medical VLMs through Split Conformal Prediction20 Jun 2025
- 2025Conformal Prediction for Zero-Shot Models30 May 2025
- 2025FLOSS: Free Lunch in Open-vocabulary Semantic Segmentation14 Apr 2025
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- 2024DOTA: Distributional Test-Time Adaptation of Vision-Language Models28 Sep 2024
- 2024DOTA: Distributional Test-Time Adaptation of Vision-Language Modelscited by 22
- 2024Self-Calibrated Tuning of Vision-Language Models for Out-of-Distribution Detectioncited by 15
- 2025Conformal Prediction for Zero-Shot Modelscited by 14
- 2024Post-hoc Probabilistic Vision-Language Modelscited by 13
- 2024Are foundation models for computer vision good conformal predictors?cited by 12
- 2025Trustworthy Few-Shot Transfer of Medical VLMs through Split Conformal Predictioncited by 8
- 2025Noise is an Efficient Learner for Zero-Shot Vision-Language Modelscited by 5
- 2026Overconfidence and Calibration in Medical VQA: Empirical Findings and Hallucination-Aware Mitigationcited by 5
- 2024VORD: Visual Ordinal Calibration for Mitigating Object Hallucinations in Large Vision-Language Modelscited by 4
- 2024BayesAdapter: enhanced uncertainty estimation in CLIP few-shot adaptationcited by 3
- 2026Instinct vs. Reflection: Unifying Token and Verbalized Confidence in Multimodal Large Modelscited by 3
- 2025Class-Aware Prototype Learning with Negative Contrast for Test-Time Adaptation of Vision-Language Modelscited by 2
12 most cited of 15 All 15 (JSON)
- 2026Instinct vs. Reflection: Unifying Token and Verbalized Confidence in Multimodal Large Models19 Apr 2026
- 2026Overconfidence and Calibration in Medical VQA: Empirical Findings and Hallucination-Aware Mitigation2 Apr 2026
- 2026ProtoDCS: Towards Robust and Efficient Open-Set Test-Time Adaptation for Vision-Language Models27 Feb 2026
- 2026SoC: Semantic Orthogonal Calibration for Test-Time Prompt Tuning13 Jan 2026
- 2025Intra-Class Probabilistic Embeddings for Uncertainty Estimation in Vision-Language Models27 Nov 2025
- 2025Class-Aware Prototype Learning with Negative Contrast for Test-Time Adaptation of Vision-Language Models22 Oct 2025
- 2025Trustworthy Few-Shot Transfer of Medical VLMs through Split Conformal Prediction20 Jun 2025
- 2025Conformal Prediction for Zero-Shot Models30 May 2025
- 2025Noise is an Efficient Learner for Zero-Shot Vision-Language Models9 Feb 2025
- 2024VORD: Visual Ordinal Calibration for Mitigating Object Hallucinations in Large Vision-Language Models20 Dec 2024
- 2024BayesAdapter: enhanced uncertainty estimation in CLIP few-shot adaptation12 Dec 2024
- 2024Are foundation models for computer vision good conformal predictors?8 Dec 2024
12 newest of 15 All 15 (JSON)
- 2025FLOSS: Free Lunch in Open-vocabulary Semantic Segmentationcited by 4
- 2025ZeST: an VLM-based Zero-Shot Traversability Navigation for Unknown Environmentscited by 2
- 2025Solving Semi-Supervised Few-Shot Learning from an Auto-Annotation Perspectivecited by 0
- 2026Target-Checked Reliability Score Refinement for Video Question Answeringcited by 0
- 2026Target-Checked Reliability Score Refinement for Video Question Answering9 Sep 2026
- 2025Solving Semi-Supervised Few-Shot Learning from an Auto-Annotation Perspective11 Dec 2025
- 2025ZeST: an VLM-based Zero-Shot Traversability Navigation for Unknown Environments26 Aug 2025
- 2025FLOSS: Free Lunch in Open-vocabulary Semantic Segmentation14 Apr 2025
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