Deep Generalized Method of Moments for Instrumental Variable Analysis
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Abstract (arXiv)
Instrumental variable analysis is a powerful tool for estimating causal effects when randomization or full control of confounders is not possible. The application of standard methods such as 2SLS, GMM, and more recent variants are significantly impeded when the causal effects are complex, the instruments are high-dimensional, and/or the treatment is high-dimensional. In this paper, we propose the DeepGMM algorithm to overcome this. Our algorithm is based on a new variational reformulation of GMM with optimal inverse-covariance weighting that allows us to efficiently control very many moment conditions. We further develop practical techniques for optimization and model selection that make it particularly successful in practice. Our algorithm is also computationally tractable and can handle large-scale datasets. Numerical results show our algorithm matches the performance of the best tuned methods in standard settings and continues to work in high-dimensional settings where even recent methods break.
Key facts. Cited by 88 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 29 May 2019.
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Citing papers per year: 2020: 1; 2021: 15; 2022: 21; 2023: 15; 2024: 15; 2025: 11; 2026: 10.
88 papers.
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- 2022Amortized Inference for Causal Structure Learningcited by 89
- 2021Proximal Causal Learning with Kernels: Two-Stage Estimation and Moment Restrictioncited by 54
- 2021Causal Inference Under Unmeasured Confounding With Negative Controls: A Minimax Learning Approachcited by 43
- 2021Deep Proxy Causal Learning and its Application to Confounded Bandit Policy Evaluationcited by 39
- 2021Instrumental Variable Value Iteration for Causal Offline Reinforcement Learningcited by 35
- 2025Foundation Models for Causal Inference via Prior-Data Fitted Networkscited by 30
- 2022Long-term Causal Inference Under Persistent Confounding via Data Combinationcited by 27
- 2022Stochastic Causal Programming for Bounding Treatment Effectscited by 25
- 2023Sharp Bounds for Generalized Causal Sensitivity Analysiscited by 24
- 2021On Instrumental Variable Regression for Deep Offline Policy Evaluationcited by 22
- 2021Minimax Kernel Machine Learning for a Class of Doubly Robust Functionals with Application to Proximal Causal Inferencecited by 20
- 2021DoWhy: Addressing Challenges in Expressing and Validating Causal Assumptionscited by 20
38 more
- 2022Future-Dependent Value-Based Off-Policy Evaluation in POMDPscited by 20
- 2022Data-Driven Causal Effect Estimation Based on Graphical Causal Modelling: A Surveycited by 19
- 2021Auto IV: Counterfactual Prediction via Automatic Instrumental Variable Decompositioncited by 18
- 2022Exploiting Independent Instruments: Identification and Distribution Generalizationcited by 18
- 2022Robust and Agnostic Learning of Conditional Distributional Treatment Effectscited by 18
- 2023Demystifying Causal Features on Adversarial Examples and Causal Inoculation for Robust Network by Adversarial Instrumental Variable Regressioncited by 18
- 2022Estimating individual treatment effects under unobserved confounding using binary instrumentscited by 17
- 2023Causal Inference with Conditional Front-Door Adjustment and Identifiable Variational Autoencodercited by 17
- 2023Reliable Off-Policy Learning for Dosage Combinationscited by 15
- 2022Deep Learning Methods for Proximal Inference via Maximum Moment Restrictioncited by 13
- 2023Minimax Instrumental Variable Regression and L2 Convergence Guarantees without Identification or Closednesscited by 13
- 2022Inference on Strongly Identified Functionals of Weakly Identified Functionscited by 12
- 2022Spectral Representation Learning for Conditional Moment Modelscited by 12
- 2024Spectral Representation for Causal Estimation with Hidden Confounderscited by 12
- 2022Instrumental Variables in Causal Inference and Machine Learning: A Surveycited by 10
- 2023Falsification of Internal and External Validity in Observational Studies via Conditional Moment Restrictionscited by 10
- 2022Identifiability of Sparse Causal Effects using Instrumental Variablescited by 9
- 2022Causal Inference with Treatment Measurement Error: A Nonparametric Instrumental Variable Approachcited by 9
- 2020Efficient Evaluation of Natural Stochastic Policies in Offline Reinforcement Learningcited by 8
- 2022Functional Generalized Empirical Likelihood Estimation for Conditional Moment Restrictionscited by 8
- 2023Source Condition Double Robust Inference on Functionals of Inverse Problemscited by 8
- 2023Conditional Instrumental Variable Regression with Representation Learning for Causal Inferencecited by 8
- 2021Learning Causal Models from Conditional Moment Restrictions by Importance Weightingcited by 7
- 2021Instrumental Variable-Driven Domain Generalization with Unobserved Confounderscited by 7
- 2023Stochastic Online Instrumental Variable Regression: Regrets for Endogeneity and Bandit Feedbackcited by 7
- 2024Nonparametric Instrumental Regression via Kernel Methods is Minimax Optimalcited by 7
- 2022Fast Instrument Learning with Faster Ratescited by 6
- 2022Constructing unbiased gradient estimators with finite variance for conditional stochastic optimizationcited by 6
- 2022Causal Inference with Conditional Instruments using Deep Generative Modelscited by 6
- 2024Nonparametric Instrumental Variable Regression through Stochastic Approximate Gradientscited by 6
- 2024Disentangled Representation Learning for Causal Inference with Instrumentscited by 6
- 2022Learning Instrumental Variable from Data Fusion for Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 5
- 2023Estimation Beyond Data Reweighting: Kernel Method of Momentscited by 5
- 2024Learning Decision Policies with Instrumental Variables through Double Machine Learningcited by 5
- 2021Causal Gradient Boosting: Boosted Instrumental Variable Regressioncited by 4
- 2023Sequential Underspecified Instrument Selection for Cause-Effect Estimationcited by 4
- 2023A Look into Causal Effects under Entangled Treatment in Graphs: Investigating the Impact of Contact on MRSA Infectioncited by 4
- 2024Stochastic Optimization Algorithms for Instrumental Variable Regression with Streaming Datacited by 4
50 most cited of 88 All 88 (JSON)
- 2026Spatiotemporal Proximal Causal Inference under Hidden Confounding and Interference2 Aug 2026
- 2026Direct Advantage Estimation for Scalable and Sample-efficient Deep Reinforcement Learning18 Jun 2026
- 2026Perturbative methods for non-parametric instrumental variable29 May 2026
- 2026Semiparametric Efficient Bilevel Gradient Estimation20 May 2026
- 2026BGM-IV: AI-Powered Bayesian Generative Modeling for Instrumental Variable Regression with High-Dimensional Covariates7 May 2026
- 2026TabCF: Distributional Control Function Estimation with Tabular Foundation Models7 May 2026
- 2026Cross-fitted Proximal Learning for Model-Based Reinforcement Learning6 Apr 2026
- 2026Conformal Prediction for Nonparametric Instrumental Regression26 Mar 2026
- 2026CIV-DG: Conditional Instrumental Variables for Domain Generalization in Medical Imaging26 Mar 2026
- 2026Convergence Rate of a Functional Learning Method for Contextual Stochastic Optimization13 Mar 2026
- 2025An Analysis of Causal Effect Estimation using Outcome Invariant Data Augmentation29 Oct 2025
- 2025Foundation Models for Causal Inference via Prior-Data Fitted Networks12 Jun 2025
38 more
- 2025Aligning Language Models with Observational Data: Opportunities and Risks from a Causal Perspective30 May 2025
- 2025Federated Instrumental Variable Analysis via Federated Generalized Method of Moments27 May 2025
- 2025Efficient Adaptive Experimentation with Noncompliance23 May 2025
- 2025Machine learning the first stage in 2SLS: Practical guidance from bias decomposition and simulation19 May 2025
- 2025Causal Imitation Learning under Expert-Observable and Expert-Unobservable Confounding11 Feb 2025
- 2025Distributional Instrumental Variable Method11 Feb 2025
- 2025Achievable distributional robustness when the robust risk is only partially identified4 Feb 2025
- 2025Detecting clinician implicit biases in diagnoses using proximal causal inference27 Jan 2025
- 2025Optimality and Adaptivity of Deep Neural Features for Instrumental Variable Regression9 Jan 2025
- 2024Disentangled Representation Learning for Causal Inference with Instruments5 Dec 2024
- 2024Nonparametric Instrumental Regression via Kernel Methods is Minimax Optimal29 Nov 2024
- 2024Learning Representations of Instruments for Partial Identification of Treatment Effects11 Oct 2024
- 2024Generalized Encouragement-Based Instrumental Variables for Counterfactual Regression10 Aug 2024
- 2024Causal Inference with Complex Treatments: A Survey19 Jul 2024
- 2024Spectral Representation for Causal Estimation with Hidden Confounders15 Jul 2024
- 2024Causal Inference with Latent Variables: Recent Advances and Future Prospectives20 Jun 2024
- 2024Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects by Combining Weak Instruments and Observational Data10 Jun 2024
- 2024Targeted Sequential Indirect Experiment Design30 May 2024
- 2024Stochastic Optimization Algorithms for Instrumental Variable Regression with Streaming Data29 May 2024
- 2024Geometry-Aware Instrumental Variable Regression19 May 2024
- 2024Learning Decision Policies with Instrumental Variables through Double Machine Learning14 May 2024
- 2024Taking a Moment for Distributional Robustness8 May 2024
- 2024Bounding Causal Effects with Leaky Instruments5 Apr 2024
- 2024Nonparametric Instrumental Variable Regression through Stochastic Approximate Gradients8 Feb 2024
- 2023Causal Inference with Conditional Front-Door Adjustment and Identifiable Variational Autoencoder3 Oct 2023
- 2023Conditional Instrumental Variable Regression with Representation Learning for Causal Inference3 Oct 2023
- 2023Source Condition Double Robust Inference on Functionals of Inverse Problems25 Jul 2023
- 2023A Look into Causal Effects under Entangled Treatment in Graphs: Investigating the Impact of Contact on MRSA Infection17 Jul 2023
- 2023Reliable Off-Policy Learning for Dosage Combinations31 May 2023
- 2023Sharp Bounds for Generalized Causal Sensitivity Analysis26 May 2023
- 2023Estimation Beyond Data Reweighting: Kernel Method of Moments18 May 2023
- 2023Causal Effect Estimation with Variational AutoEncoder and the Front Door Criterion24 Apr 2023
- 2023A Unified Framework of Policy Learning for Contextual Bandit with Confounding Bias and Missing Observations20 Mar 2023
- 2023Demystifying Causal Features on Adversarial Examples and Causal Inoculation for Robust Network by Adversarial Instrumental Variable Regression2 Mar 2023
- 2023Stochastic Online Instrumental Variable Regression: Regrets for Endogeneity and Bandit Feedback18 Feb 2023
- 2023Sequential Underspecified Instrument Selection for Cause-Effect Estimation11 Feb 2023
- 2023Minimax Instrumental Variable Regression and L2 Convergence Guarantees without Identification or Closedness10 Feb 2023
- 2023Falsification of Internal and External Validity in Observational Studies via Conditional Moment Restrictions30 Jan 2023
50 newest of 88 All 88 (JSON)
- 2022Amortized Inference for Causal Structure Learningcited by 89
- 2021Proximal Causal Learning with Kernels: Two-Stage Estimation and Moment Restrictioncited by 54
- 2021Causal Inference Under Unmeasured Confounding With Negative Controls: A Minimax Learning Approachcited by 43
- 2021Deep Proxy Causal Learning and its Application to Confounded Bandit Policy Evaluationcited by 39
- 2025Foundation Models for Causal Inference via Prior-Data Fitted Networkscited by 30
- 2022Long-term Causal Inference Under Persistent Confounding via Data Combinationcited by 27
- 2022Stochastic Causal Programming for Bounding Treatment Effectscited by 25
- 2023Sharp Bounds for Generalized Causal Sensitivity Analysiscited by 24
- 2021On Instrumental Variable Regression for Deep Offline Policy Evaluationcited by 22
- 2021Minimax Kernel Machine Learning for a Class of Doubly Robust Functionals with Application to Proximal Causal Inferencecited by 20
- 2021DoWhy: Addressing Challenges in Expressing and Validating Causal Assumptionscited by 20
- 2022Future-Dependent Value-Based Off-Policy Evaluation in POMDPscited by 20
12 most cited of 84 All 84 (JSON)
- 2026Spatiotemporal Proximal Causal Inference under Hidden Confounding and Interference2 Aug 2026
- 2026Direct Advantage Estimation for Scalable and Sample-efficient Deep Reinforcement Learning18 Jun 2026
- 2026Perturbative methods for non-parametric instrumental variable29 May 2026
- 2026Semiparametric Efficient Bilevel Gradient Estimation20 May 2026
- 2026BGM-IV: AI-Powered Bayesian Generative Modeling for Instrumental Variable Regression with High-Dimensional Covariates7 May 2026
- 2026TabCF: Distributional Control Function Estimation with Tabular Foundation Models7 May 2026
- 2026Cross-fitted Proximal Learning for Model-Based Reinforcement Learning6 Apr 2026
- 2026Conformal Prediction for Nonparametric Instrumental Regression26 Mar 2026
- 2026CIV-DG: Conditional Instrumental Variables for Domain Generalization in Medical Imaging26 Mar 2026
- 2026Convergence Rate of a Functional Learning Method for Contextual Stochastic Optimization13 Mar 2026
- 2025An Analysis of Causal Effect Estimation using Outcome Invariant Data Augmentation29 Oct 2025
- 2025Foundation Models for Causal Inference via Prior-Data Fitted Networks12 Jun 2025
12 newest of 84 All 84 (JSON)