mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Optimal strategies for reject option classifiers

arXiv 2101.12523 ↗First posted 29 Jan 2021cs.LGcited by 61

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Abstract (arXiv)

In classification with a reject option, the classifier is allowed in uncertain cases to abstain from prediction. The classical cost-based model of a reject option classifier requires the cost of rejection to be defined explicitly. An alternative bounded-improvement model, avoiding the notion of the reject cost, seeks for a classifier with a guaranteed selective risk and maximal cover. We coin a symmetric definition, the bounded-coverage model, which seeks for a classifier with minimal selective risk and guaranteed coverage. We prove that despite their different formulations the three rejection models lead to the same prediction strategy: a Bayes classifier endowed with a randomized Bayes selection function. We define a notion of a proper uncertainty score as a scalar summary of prediction uncertainty sufficient to construct the randomized Bayes selection function. We propose two algorithms to learn the proper uncertainty score from examples for an arbitrary black-box classifier. We prove that both algorithms provide Fisher consistent estimates of the proper uncertainty score and we demonstrate their efficiency on different prediction problems including classification, ordinal regression and structured output classification.

Key facts. Cited by 61 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 4 of its 42 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 29 Jan 2021.

Builds on

4 of 42 references.

References · 4

  1. 2016Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensemblescited by 3,888
  2. 2017Selective Classification for Deep Neural Networkscited by 799
  3. 2018To Trust Or Not To Trust A Classifiercited by 205
  4. 2019Addressing Failure Prediction by Learning Model Confidencecited by 183

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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2021: 1; 2022: 4; 2023: 4; 2024: 10; 2025: 16; 2026: 26.

61 papers.

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  1. 2022Is Out-of-Distribution Detection Learnable?cited by 109
  2. 2021Machine Learning with a Reject Option: A surveycited by 107
  3. 2024Overcoming Common Flaws in the Evaluation of Selective Classification Systemscited by 31
  4. 2023How to Fix a Broken Confidence Estimator: Evaluating Post-hoc Methods for Selective Classification with Deep Neural Networkscited by 15
  5. 2024A Causal Framework for Evaluating Deferring Systemscited by 13
  6. 2024A Novel Characterization of the Population Area Under the Risk Coverage Curve (AURC) and Rates of Finite Sample Estimatorscited by 13
  7. 2024Selective Classification Under Distribution Shiftscited by 12
  8. 2025Selective Conformal Risk Controlcited by 10
  9. 2024Revisiting Confidence Estimation: Towards Reliable Failure Predictioncited by 9
  10. 2025Moment of Untruth: Dealing with Negative Queries in Video Moment Retrievalcited by 9
  11. 2022Confident AIcited by 6
  12. 2023How Far Can Fairness Constraints Help Recover From Biased Data?cited by 5
38 more
  1. 2024Classification with Conceptual Safeguardscited by 4
  2. 2025MCQA-Eval: Efficient Confidence Evaluation in NLG with Gold-Standard Correctness Labelscited by 4
  3. 2025To Ask or Not to Ask: Learning to Require Human Feedbackcited by 4
  4. 2026When Can Conformal Risk Control Certify LLM Outputs? Bounds, Impossibility, and Adaptation for Structured Generationcited by 4
  5. 2024SCOD: From Heuristics to Theorycited by 3
  6. 2024Rejection via Learning Density Ratioscited by 3
  7. 2025Classification with Reject Option: Distribution-free Error Guarantees via Conformal Predictioncited by 3
  8. 2025Explicit Abstention Knobs for Predictable Reliability in Video Question Answeringcited by 3
  9. 2023Reject option models comprising out-of-distribution detectioncited by 2
  10. 2025Interpretable and Fair Mechanisms for Abstaining Classifierscited by 2
  11. 2025ALARM: Automated MLLM-Based Anomaly Detection in Complex-EnviRonment Monitoring with Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 2
  12. 2023Precision and Recall Reject Curves for Classificationcited by 1
  13. 2024Soft Dice Confidence: A Near-Optimal Confidence Estimator for Selective Prediction in Semantic Segmentationcited by 1
  14. 2025Reweighting Improves Conditional Risk Boundscited by 1
  15. 2025Regretful Decisions under Label Noisecited by 1
  16. 2025A Connection Between Learning to Reject and Bhattacharyya Divergencescited by 1
  17. 2025Adaptive Cumulative Mass Calibration with Conformal Predictioncited by 1
  18. 2026Multi-Level Strategic Classification: Incentivizing Improvement through Promotion and Relegation Dynamicscited by 1
  19. 2026TimeSeek: Temporal Reliability of Agentic Forecasterscited by 1
  20. 2026Density-Ratio Losses for Post-Hoc Learning to Defercited by 1
  21. 2026Aligning Language Models with Selective Predictioncited by 1
  22. 2026Evaluating Epistemic Uncertainty: Beyond OOD Detection and Active Learningcited by 1
  23. 2026Presentation, Not Mechanism: A Render Confound in Deprecation-Aware Memory Evaluationcited by 1
  24. 2022Learning When to Say "I Don't Know"cited by 0
  25. 2022Uncertainty Quantification for Rule-Based Modelscited by 0
  26. 2024Stacked Confusion Reject Plots (SCORE)cited by 0
  27. 2025Bounded-Abstention Pairwise Learning to Rankcited by 0
  28. 2025Conservative Decisions with Risk Scorescited by 0
  29. 2025Fine-grained auxiliary learning for real-world product recommendationcited by 0
  30. 2025Filtering instances and rejecting predictions to obtain reliable models in healthcarecited by 0
  31. 2026Self-reflection in Automated Qualitative Coding: Improving Text Annotation through Secondary LLM Critiquecited by 0
  32. 2026Bounded-Abstention Multi-horizon Time-series Forecastingcited by 0
  33. 2026Selective Prior Synchronization via SYNC Losscited by 0
  34. 2026The Confidence Gate Theorem: When Should Ranked Decision Systems Abstain?cited by 0
  35. 2026Catalogue Grounded Multimodal Attribution for Museum Video under Resource and Regulatory Constraintscited by 0
  36. 2026When Alpha Breaks: Two-Level Uncertainty for Safe Deployment of Cross-Sectional Stock Rankerscited by 0
  37. 2026ELC: Evidential Lifelong Classifier for Uncertainty Aware Radar Pulse Classificationcited by 0
  38. 2026Sequential Strategic Classification with Multi-Stage Selective Classifierscited by 0

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