Logarithmic Regret Bound in Partially Observable Linear Dynamical Systems

We study the problem of system identification and adaptive control in partially observable linear dynamical systems. Adaptive and closed-loop system identification is a challenging problem due to correlations introduced in data collection. In this paper, we present the first model estimation method with finite-time guarantees in both open and closed-loop system identification. Deploying this estimation method, we propose adaptive control online learning (AdaptOn), an efficient reinforcement learning algorithm that adaptively learns the system dynamics and continuously updates its controller through online learning steps. AdaptOn estimates the model dynamics by occasionally solving a linear regression problem through interactions with the environment. Using policy re-parameterization and the estimated model, AdaptOn constructs counterfactual loss functions to be used for updating the controller through online gradient descent. Over time, AdaptOn improves its model estimates and obtains more accurate gradient updates to improve the controller. We show that AdaptOn achieves a regret upper bound of polylogleft(Tright), after T time steps of agent-environment interaction. To the best of our knowledge, AdaptOn is the first algorithm that achieves polylogleft(Tright) regret in adaptive control of unknown partially observable linear dynamical systems which includes linear quadratic Gaussian (LQG) control.