Meta-learning framework with applications to zero-shot time-series forecasting
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
Can meta-learning discover generic ways of processing time series (TS) from a diverse dataset so as to greatly improve generalization on new TS coming from different datasets? This work provides positive evidence to this using a broad meta-learning framework which we show subsumes many existing meta-learning algorithms. Our theoretical analysis suggests that residual connections act as a meta-learning adaptation mechanism, generating a subset of task-specific parameters based on a given TS input, thus gradually expanding the expressive power of the architecture on-the-fly. The same mechanism is shown via linearization analysis to have the interpretation of a sequential update of the final linear layer. Our empirical results on a wide range of data emphasize the importance of the identified meta-learning mechanisms for successful zero-shot univariate forecasting, suggesting that it is viable to train a neural network on a source TS dataset and deploy it on a different target TS dataset without retraining, resulting in performance that is at least as good as that of state-of-practice univariate forecasting models.
Key facts. Cited by 70 papers in the map (data through 13 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 7 Feb 2020.
Builds on
No reference list yet.
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2021: 12; 2022: 4; 2023: 13; 2024: 18; 2025: 17; 2026: 6.
70 papers.
Sort:
By area:
- 2023A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecastingcited by 674
- 2023One Fits All:Power General Time Series Analysis by Pretrained LMcited by 623
- 2024MOMENT: A Family of Open Time-series Foundation Modelscited by 468
- 2025Chronos-2: From Univariate to Universal Forecastingcited by 177
- 2023TimeGPT-1cited by 153
- 2021AdaRNN: Adaptive Learning and Forecasting of Time Seriescited by 120
- 2023ForecastPFN: Synthetically-Trained Zero-Shot Forecastingcited by 104
- 2021Darts: User-Friendly Modern Machine Learning for Time Seriescited by 91
- 2021Domain Adaptation for Time Series Forecasting via Attention Sharingcited by 68
- 2021PSA-GAN: Progressive Self Attention GANs for Synthetic Time Seriescited by 58
- 2023A Survey on Time-Series Pre-Trained Modelscited by 52
- 2021Long-Range Transformers for Dynamic Spatiotemporal Forecastingcited by 46
38 more
- 2024Retrieval Augmented Time Series Forecastingcited by 44
- 2022Koopman Neural Forecaster for Time Series with Temporal Distribution Shiftscited by 35
- 2024Zero-shot forecasting of chaotic systemscited by 28
- 2025TimePFN: Effective Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Synthetic Datacited by 27
- 2023Pushing the Limits of Pre-training for Time Series Forecasting in the CloudOps Domaincited by 23
- 2024Towards Urban General Intelligence: A Review and Outlook of Urban Foundation Modelscited by 23
- 2024Scaling-laws for Large Time-series Modelscited by 17
- 2024Mamba4Cast: Efficient Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasting with State Space Modelscited by 17
- 2025Context parroting: A simple but tough-to-beat baseline for foundation models in scientific machine learningcited by 17
- 2025Out-of-Distribution Generalization in Time Series: A Surveycited by 15
- 2025Quadratic Direct Forecast for Training Multi-Step Time-Series Forecast Modelscited by 10
- 2025TimeCopilotcited by 9
- 2024LaT-PFN: A Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture for In-context Time-series Forecastingcited by 8
- 2021Multimodal Meta-Learning for Time Series Regressioncited by 7
- 2022Few-Shot Forecasting of Time-Series with Heterogeneous Channelscited by 7
- 2024FusionSF: Fuse Heterogeneous Modalities in a Vector Quantized Framework for Robust Solar Power Forecastingcited by 6
- 2025TRACE: Time SeRies PArameter EffiCient FinE-tuningcited by 6
- 2021Meta-Forecasting by combining Global Deep Representations with Local Adaptationcited by 5
- 2023Cross-Frequency Time Series Meta-Forecastingcited by 5
- 2023Deep Non-Parametric Time Series Forecastercited by 5
- 2023Handling Concept Drift in Global Time Series Forecastingcited by 4
- 2024Towards Foundation Time Series Model: To Synthesize Or Not To Synthesize?cited by 4
- 2025Not All Data are Good Labels: On the Self-supervised Labeling for Time Series Forecastingcited by 4
- 2026Zero-shot Forecasting by Simulation Alonecited by 4
- 2021Forecasting Market Prices using DL with Data Augmentation and Meta-learning: ARIMA still wins!cited by 3
- 2022Gaussian Process Latent Variable Modeling for Few-shot Time Series Forecastingcited by 3
- 2024The impact of data set similarity and diversity on transfer learning success in time series forecastingcited by 3
- 2024Urban traffic analysis and forecasting through shared Koopman eigenmodescited by 3
- 2025SeqFusion: Sequential Fusion of Pre-Trained Models for Zero-Shot Time-Series Forecastingcited by 3
- 2025EnergyPatchTST: Multi-scale Time Series Transformers with Uncertainty Estimation for Energy Forecastingcited by 3
- 2025One-Embedding-Fits-All: Efficient Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasting by a Model Zoocited by 3
- 2026Why Do Time Series Models Need Long Context Windows?cited by 3
- 2026Post-Training in Time Series Foundation Models: A Unifying Frameworkcited by 3
- 2024Nonstationary Time Series Forecasting via Unknown Distribution Adaptationcited by 2
- 2024Learning to learn ecosystems from limited data -- a meta-learning approachcited by 2
- 2025Tailored Forecasting from Short Time Series via Meta-learningcited by 2
- 2025MetaSTNet: Multimodal Meta-learning for Cellular Traffic Conformal Predictioncited by 2
- 2025A More Realistic Evaluation of Cross-Frequency Transfer Learning and Foundation Forecasting Modelscited by 2
50 most cited of 70 All 70 (JSON)
- 2026Post-Training in Time Series Foundation Models: A Unifying Framework22 Jul 2026
- 2026Residual-Guided Multi-Resolution Refinement of Foundation Models: A Case Study in Drought Forecasting20 Jul 2026
- 2026RAID: Semantic Graph Diffusion for True Cold-Start and Cross-Lingual Forecasting15 Jun 2026
- 2026Why Do Time Series Models Need Long Context Windows?1 Jun 2026
- 2026Stabilizing distribution-free probabilistic forecasts27 May 2026
- 2026Zero-shot Forecasting by Simulation Alone2 Jan 2026
- 2025Quadratic Direct Forecast for Training Multi-Step Time-Series Forecast Models28 Oct 2025
- 2025Chronos-2: From Univariate to Universal Forecasting17 Oct 2025
- 2025A More Realistic Evaluation of Cross-Frequency Transfer Learning and Foundation Forecasting Models23 Sep 2025
- 2025One-Embedding-Fits-All: Efficient Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasting by a Model Zoo4 Sep 2025
- 2025TimeCopilot30 Aug 2025
- 2025EnergyPatchTST: Multi-scale Time Series Transformers with Uncertainty Estimation for Energy Forecasting7 Aug 2025
38 more
- 2025Rating Quality of Diverse Time Series Data by Meta-learning from LLM Judgment2 Jun 2025
- 2025Generalisation Bounds of Zero-Shot Economic Forecasting using Time Series Foundation Models30 May 2025
- 2025MetaSTNet: Multimodal Meta-learning for Cellular Traffic Conformal Prediction26 May 2025
- 2025Context parroting: A simple but tough-to-beat baseline for foundation models in scientific machine learning16 May 2025
- 2025DyGSSM: Multi-view Dynamic Graph Embeddings with State Space Model Gradient Update13 May 2025
- 2025TRACE: Time SeRies PArameter EffiCient FinE-tuning21 Mar 2025
- 2025Out-of-Distribution Generalization in Time Series: A Survey18 Mar 2025
- 2025SeqFusion: Sequential Fusion of Pre-Trained Models for Zero-Shot Time-Series Forecasting4 Mar 2025
- 2025TimePFN: Effective Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Synthetic Data22 Feb 2025
- 2025Not All Data are Good Labels: On the Self-supervised Labeling for Time Series Forecasting20 Feb 2025
- 2025Tailored Forecasting from Short Time Series via Meta-learning27 Jan 2025
- 2024Retrieval Augmented Time Series Forecasting12 Nov 2024
- 2024TripCast: Pre-training of Masked 2D Transformers for Trip Time Series Forecasting24 Oct 2024
- 2024Mamba4Cast: Efficient Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasting with State Space Models12 Oct 2024
- 2024Learning to learn ecosystems from limited data -- a meta-learning approach2 Oct 2024
- 2024Zero-shot forecasting of chaotic systems24 Sep 2024
- 2024Urban traffic analysis and forecasting through shared Koopman eigenmodes7 Sep 2024
- 2024Short-Long Policy Evaluation with Novel Actions4 Jul 2024
- 2024Time-Series Foundation Models for Forecasting Soil Moisture Levels in Smart Agriculture29 May 2024
- 2024Scaling-laws for Large Time-series Models22 May 2024
- 2024LaT-PFN: A Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture for In-context Time-series Forecasting16 May 2024
- 2024Forecasting with Hyper-Trees13 May 2024
- 2024The impact of data set similarity and diversity on transfer learning success in time series forecasting9 Apr 2024
- 2024Unsupervised Learning of Hybrid Latent Dynamics: A Learn-to-Identify Framework13 Mar 2024
- 2024Towards Foundation Time Series Model: To Synthesize Or Not To Synthesize?4 Mar 2024
- 2024Nonstationary Time Series Forecasting via Unknown Distribution Adaptation20 Feb 2024
- 2024FusionSF: Fuse Heterogeneous Modalities in a Vector Quantized Framework for Robust Solar Power Forecasting8 Feb 2024
- 2024MOMENT: A Family of Open Time-series Foundation Models6 Feb 2024
- 2024Towards Urban General Intelligence: A Review and Outlook of Urban Foundation Models30 Jan 2024
- 2023Deep Non-Parametric Time Series Forecaster22 Dec 2023
- 2023Successive Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning for Few-Shot Fault Time Series Prognosis4 Nov 2023
- 2023ForecastPFN: Synthetically-Trained Zero-Shot Forecasting3 Nov 2023
- 2023A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecasting14 Oct 2023
- 2023Pushing the Limits of Pre-training for Time Series Forecasting in the CloudOps Domain8 Oct 2023
- 2023TimeGPT-15 Oct 2023
- 2023Introducing "Forecast Utterance" for Conversational Data Science7 Sep 2023
- 2023Forecasting Early with Meta Learning19 Jul 2023
- 2023Feature-aligned N-BEATS with Sinkhorn divergence24 May 2023
50 newest of 70 All 70 (JSON)
- 2025TimeCopilotcited by 9
- 2025TimeCopilot30 Aug 2025
- 2024Retrieval Augmented Time Series Forecastingcited by 44
- 2024Retrieval Augmented Time Series Forecasting12 Nov 2024
- 2023A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecastingcited by 674
- 2023One Fits All:Power General Time Series Analysis by Pretrained LMcited by 623
- 2024MOMENT: A Family of Open Time-series Foundation Modelscited by 468
- 2025Chronos-2: From Univariate to Universal Forecastingcited by 177
- 2023TimeGPT-1cited by 153
- 2021AdaRNN: Adaptive Learning and Forecasting of Time Seriescited by 120
- 2023ForecastPFN: Synthetically-Trained Zero-Shot Forecastingcited by 104
- 2021Darts: User-Friendly Modern Machine Learning for Time Seriescited by 91
- 2021Domain Adaptation for Time Series Forecasting via Attention Sharingcited by 68
- 2021PSA-GAN: Progressive Self Attention GANs for Synthetic Time Seriescited by 58
- 2023A Survey on Time-Series Pre-Trained Modelscited by 52
- 2021Long-Range Transformers for Dynamic Spatiotemporal Forecastingcited by 46
12 most cited of 68 All 68 (JSON)
- 2026Post-Training in Time Series Foundation Models: A Unifying Framework22 Jul 2026
- 2026Residual-Guided Multi-Resolution Refinement of Foundation Models: A Case Study in Drought Forecasting20 Jul 2026
- 2026RAID: Semantic Graph Diffusion for True Cold-Start and Cross-Lingual Forecasting15 Jun 2026
- 2026Why Do Time Series Models Need Long Context Windows?1 Jun 2026
- 2026Stabilizing distribution-free probabilistic forecasts27 May 2026
- 2026Zero-shot Forecasting by Simulation Alone2 Jan 2026
- 2025Quadratic Direct Forecast for Training Multi-Step Time-Series Forecast Models28 Oct 2025
- 2025Chronos-2: From Univariate to Universal Forecasting17 Oct 2025
- 2025A More Realistic Evaluation of Cross-Frequency Transfer Learning and Foundation Forecasting Models23 Sep 2025
- 2025One-Embedding-Fits-All: Efficient Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasting by a Model Zoo4 Sep 2025
- 2025EnergyPatchTST: Multi-scale Time Series Transformers with Uncertainty Estimation for Energy Forecasting7 Aug 2025
- 2025Rating Quality of Diverse Time Series Data by Meta-learning from LLM Judgment2 Jun 2025
12 newest of 68 All 68 (JSON)