mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

On the Non-asymptotic and Sharp Lower Tail Bounds of Random Variables

arXiv 1810.09006 ↗First posted 21 Oct 2018math.PR cs.LG math.STcited by 19

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Abstract (arXiv)

The non-asymptotic tail bounds of random variables play crucial roles in probability, statistics, and machine learning. Despite much success in developing upper bounds on tail probability in literature, the lower bounds on tail probabilities are relatively fewer. In this paper, we introduce systematic and user-friendly schemes for developing non-asymptotic lower bounds of tail probabilities. In addition, we develop sharp lower tail bounds for the sum of independent sub-Gaussian and sub-exponential random variables, which match the classic Hoeffding-type and Bernstein-type concentration inequalities, respectively. We also provide non-asymptotic matching upper and lower tail bounds for a suite of distributions, including gamma, beta, (regular, weighted, and noncentral) chi-square, binomial, Poisson, Irwin-Hall, etc. We apply the result to establish the matching upper and lower bounds for extreme value expectation of the sum of independent sub-Gaussian and sub-exponential random variables. A statistical application of signal identification from sparse heterogeneous mixtures is finally considered.

Key facts. Cited by 19 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 21 Oct 2018.

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Citing papers per year: 2021: 3; 2022: 5; 2023: 5; 2024: 1; 2025: 2; 2026: 3.

19 papers.

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  1. 2021Neural graphical modelling in continuous-time: consistency guarantees and algorithmscited by 42
  2. 2022Understanding Non-linearity in Graph Neural Networks from the Bayesian-Inference Perspectivecited by 19
  3. 2023Convergence of uncertainty estimates in Ensemble and Bayesian sparse model discoverycited by 15
  4. 2021Sharper Sub-Weibull Concentrationscited by 8
  5. 2022Residual Bootstrap Exploration for Stochastic Linear Banditcited by 7
  6. 2023Bandit Social Learning: Exploration under Myopic Behaviorcited by 6
  7. 2022The Fast Johnson-Lindenstrauss Transform is Even Fastercited by 5
  8. 2023Discounted Thompson Sampling for Non-Stationary Bandit Problemscited by 4
  9. 2023Tight Non-asymptotic Inference via Sub-Gaussian Intrinsic Moment Normcited by 1
  10. 2021Confidence-Optimal Random Embeddingscited by 0
  11. 2022Unifying Epidemic Models with Mixturescited by 0
  12. 2022Error Controlled Feature Selection for Ultrahigh Dimensional and Highly Correlated Feature Space Using Deep Learningcited by 0
7 more
  1. 2023Minimax Signal Detection in Sparse Additive Modelscited by 0
  2. 2024Perfect Recovery for Random Geometric Graph Matching with Shallow Graph Neural Networkscited by 0
  3. 2025Online Multi-Agent Control with Adversarial Disturbancescited by 0
  4. 2025Sharper Perturbed-Kullback-Leibler Exponential Tail Bounds for Beta and Dirichlet Distributionscited by 0
  5. 2026Improved Distribution Estimation in ℓ_∞cited by 0
  6. 2026Overfitted high-dimensional matrix factorizations via adaptive spectral shrinkagecited by 0
  7. 2026Exact Limits of Random Projections for Preserving Geometry: Distance Recovery, Nearest-Neighbor Rankings, and Covariance Shape in Gaussian Modelscited by 0