TimeEvo: Failure-Driven Self-Evolution of a Time Series Agent
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Abstract (arXiv)
Time series agents answer analytical questions by calling external tools, and which tools they carry is decided by people before the agent runs. However, we identify two failures in this setup. Human-Agent Tool Misalignment: a library of 21 expert-curated tools helps on some tasks and hurts on others, dropping anomaly accuracy under every backbone we test. Silent Harm: one round of generic self-revision changes 147 answers and breaks 56 of them, while the final score moves by less than a point. Both follow from the same gap: whether a tool helps is decided question by question at runtime, while tools are supplied in advance and judged by a single average. To address this, we propose TimeEvo, which clusters an agent's diagnosed failures into capability gaps, plans a measurement for each, synthesizes evidence-only tools that fill them, and admits the candidate library only through a paired admission gate. Experiments on ten time series QA tasks and three backbones show that TimeEvo, starting from an empty library, improves accuracy on every task and every backbone, and that a library grown on a cheap model still gains when it is installed into stronger ones. Code is available at https://github.com/Muyiiiii/TimeEvo.
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References · 39
- 2022ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Modelscited by 8,695
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- 2023Self-Refine: Iterative Refinement with Self-Feedbackcited by 3,442
- 2023Voyager: An Open-Ended Embodied Agent with Large Language Modelscited by 2,191
- 2022Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 1,424
- 2023iTransformer: Inverted Transformers Are Effective for Time Series Forecastingcited by 931
- 2023Time-LLM: Time Series Forecasting by Reprogramming Large Language Modelscited by 700
- 2023A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecastingcited by 692
- 2025Chronos-2: From Univariate to Universal Forecastingcited by 194
- 2026SkillOpt: Executive Strategy for Self-Evolving Agent Skillscited by 148
- 2025EvolveR: Self-Evolving LLM Agents through an Experience-Driven Lifecyclecited by 137
- 2026CoEvoSkills: Self-Evolving Agent Skills via Co-Evolutionary Verificationcited by 128
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- 2024ChatTS: Aligning Time Series with LLMs via Synthetic Data for Enhanced Understanding and Reasoningcited by 103
- 2024Language Models Still Struggle to Zero-shot Reason about Time Seriescited by 88
- 2025Time-MQA: Time Series Multi-Task Question Answering with Context Enhancementcited by 82
- 2024FreDF: Learning to Forecast in the Frequency Domaincited by 79
- 2025Moirai 2.0: When Less Is More for Time Series Forecastingcited by 69
- 2024TimeSeriesExam: A time series understanding examcited by 49
- 2024TS-Reasoner: Domain-Oriented Time Series Inference Agents for Reasoning and Automated Analysiscited by 29
- 2026TimeART: Towards Agentic Time Series Reasoning via Tool-Augmentationcited by 26
- 2025RECODE-H: A Benchmark for Research Code Development with Interactive Human Feedbackcited by 25
- 2025AuroRA: Breaking Low-Rank Bottleneck of LoRA with Nonlinear Mappingcited by 23
- 2025TimeSeriesScientist: A General-Purpose AI Agent for Time Series Analysiscited by 22
- 2025Bridging Past and Future: Distribution-Aware Alignment for Time Series Forecastingcited by 20
- 2026TemporalBench: A Benchmark for Evaluating LLM-Based Agents on Contextual and Event-Informed Time Series Taskscited by 17
- 2026TSAQA: Time Series Analysis Question And Answering Benchmarkcited by 11
- 2025TimeCopilotcited by 9
- 2025Glocal Information Bottleneck for Time Series Imputationcited by 9
- 2026MMTS-BENCH: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Time Series Understanding and Reasoningcited by 9
- 2026RSIAgent: Autonomous Exploration for Recursive Self-improvement in New Environmentscited by 8
- 2025Revisiting Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Missing Valuescited by 7
- 2026From Observations to States: Latent Time Series Forecastingcited by 6
- 2026TimeSage-MT: A Multi-Turn Benchmark for Evaluating Agentic Time Series Reasoningcited by 5
- 2025Grad: Guided Relation Diffusion Generation for Graph Augmentation in Graph Fraud Detectioncited by 4
- 2026TRACE: Trajectory Recovery for Continuous Mechanism Evolution in Causal Representation Learningcited by 4
- 2026TimeClaw: A Time-Series AI Agent with Exploratory Execution Learningcited by 2
- 2026Agent-ValueBench: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Evaluating Agent Valuescited by 2
- 2026TSRouter: Dynamic Modality-Model Selection for Time Series Reasoningcited by 2
- 2026MOSAIC: Module Discovery via Sparse Additive Identifiable Causal Learning for Scientific Time Seriescited by 1
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