How Inference Compute Shapes Frontier LLM Evaluation
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
AI evaluations are shifting toward harder tasks that benefit from longer trajectories involving tool use and iterative problem solving. As a result, performance is increasingly sensitive to the amount and allocation of compute available at test time ("inference compute"). Yet many evaluations still report performance at a single restrictive budget, meaning that low scores may reflect the evaluation setup rather than the model's underlying capability. To test this, we evaluate up to 12 frontier language models on seven challenging benchmarks spanning software engineering, mathematics, medicine, and cybersecurity. We use a controlled setup combining three simple inference-scaling interventions: larger token budgets, context compaction, and repeated submission attempts, guided either by the model itself or by minimal correctness feedback. We find three main results. First, larger token budgets substantially improve performance on benchmarks across multiple domains, including cybersecurity, FrontierMath, Humanity's Last Exam, and TerminalBench. Second, fixed-budget evaluations can increasingly understate frontier capability as models advance. Newer models reach higher performance at large budgets, where they unlock harder tasks and solve them more reliably. Third, benchmarks differ in which inference-scaling methods help most: repeated submission broadly improves performance, but the value of larger token budgets, external feedback, and parallel attempts varies by benchmark. Overall, our results show that benchmark scores are protocol-dependent. We therefore argue that evaluations should report capability as a function of inference-time compute, specify protocol choices explicitly, and compare model generations over a large shared compute range at matched budgets, especially in safety- or policy-relevant settings.
Key facts. Cited by 7 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 25 of its 48 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 16 Jun 2026.
Builds on
25 of 48 references.
References · 25
- 2022ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Modelscited by 8,695
- 2021Evaluating Large Language Models Trained on Codecited by 8,320
- 2022Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Modelscited by 5,708
- 2024Scaling LLM Test-Time Compute Optimally can be More Effective than Scaling Model Parameterscited by 1,986
- 2025s1: Simple test-time scalingcited by 1,341
- 2023Large Language Models Cannot Self-Correct Reasoning Yetcited by 1,017
- 2024Large Language Monkeys: Scaling Inference Compute with Repeated Samplingcited by 991
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13 more
- 2024To CoT or not to CoT? Chain-of-thought helps mainly on math and symbolic reasoningcited by 263
- 2024FrontierMath: A Benchmark for Evaluating Advanced Mathematical Reasoning in AIcited by 243
- 2025Scaling Long-Horizon LLM Agent via Context-Foldingcited by 148
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Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2026: 7.
7 papers.
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- 2026Transect: Retaining Observability for Long-Horizon LLM Agent Evaluations6 Oct 2026
- 2026CAIRN: Dynamic Fact-Intent DAGs for Multi-Agent Exploration26 Sep 2026
- 2026When does a scaling result justify a different allocation? A critical review of resource-allocation evidence for AI systems13 Sep 2026
- 2026Agent Memory Is a Surface for Endogenous Authorization Laundering1 Sep 2026
- 2026Frontier AI Forecasting Has a Measurement Problem: An Audit of Progress Evidence14 Aug 2026
- 2026Shorter Reasoning, Earlier Answers? An Evaluation of Reasoning Interfaces4 Aug 2026
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