Interestingness as an Inductive Heuristic for Future Compression Progress
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Abstract (arXiv)
One of the bottlenecks on the way towards recursively self-improving systems is the challenge of interestingness: the ability to prospectively identify which tasks or data hold the potential for future progress. We formalize interestingness as an inductive heuristic for future compression progress and investigate its predictability using tools from Kolmogorov Complexity and Algorithmic Statistics. By analyzing complexity-runtime profiles under Length, Algorithmic, and Speed priors, we demonstrate that the inductive property of interestingness -- the capacity for past progress to signal future discovery -- is theoretically viable and empirically supported. We prove that expected future progress depends exponentially on the recency of the last observed breakthrough. Furthermore, we show that the Algorithmic Prior is significantly more optimistic than the Length Prior, yielding a quadratic increase in expected discovery for the same observed profile. These findings are experimentally confirmed across three diverse universal computational paradigms.
Key facts. Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 28 of its 73 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 14 May 2026.
Builds on
28 of 73 references.
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16 more
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Citing papers per year: 2026: 3.
3 papers.
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- 2026Self-Improvements in Modern Agentic Systems: A Survey14 Jul 2026
- 2026Recursive Self-Improvement in AI: From Bounded Self-Refinement to Autonomous Research Loops8 Jul 2026
- 2026Flood and Harvest: The Provable Necessity of Trivia for Generating Valuable Mathematics via the Lens of Language Generation in the Limit12 Jun 2026