mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

LLMs Should Express Uncertainty Explicitly

arXiv 2604.05306 ↗First posted 7 Apr 2026cs.LG cs.AI cs.CLcited by 6

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Abstract (arXiv)

Large language models (LLMs) often produce confident yet incorrect answers, which can lead to risky failures in real-world applications. We study whether post-training can make a model's self-assessment explicit: when the model is uncertain, can it be trained to signal so within its own response? A central design question is where in the response this signal should be exposed -- during reasoning, while the answer is still being formed, or at the end, once the answer has been produced. We study both. For end-of-reasoning self-assessment, we train the model to verbalize a confidence score for its response, with the aim of high confidence on correct answers and low confidence on incorrect ones. For during-reasoning self-assessment, we train the model to emit the marker <uncertain> whenever its current reasoning state appears unreliable. Across factual reasoning tasks, both forms sharply reduce overconfident errors while improving answer quality, and both can be used as triggers for retrieval augmented generation (RAG) to improve the final response. We further analyze their internal mechanisms: end-of-reasoning verbalized confidence sharpens a confidence-related structure already present in the pretrained model, whereas during-reasoning <uncertain> emission teaches the model to mark high-risk reasoning steps, with parameter changes concentrated in the model's late layers.

Key facts. Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 50 of its 54 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 7 Apr 2026.

Builds on

50 of 54 references.

References · 50

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38 more
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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 6.

6 papers.

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  1. 2024Confidence in the Reasoning of Large Language Models
  2. 2025Multiple Choice Questions: Reasoning Makes Large Language Models (LLMs) More Self-Confident, Especially When They are Wrong
  3. 2026CALIBER: Calibrating Confidence Before and After Reasoning in Language Models
  4. 2025Read Your Own Mind: Reasoning Helps Surface Self-Confidence Signals in LLMs
  5. 2025Self-Training Large Language Models with Confident Reasoning
  6. 2026Also Small Models Can Reasonably Self-Evaluate Their Confidence
  7. 2025Confidence Improves Self-Consistency in LLMs
  8. 2026How do LLMs Compute Verbal Confidence