mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

VALOR: Value-Aware Revenue Uplift Modeling with Treatment-Gated Representation for B2B Sales

arXiv 2604.02472 ↗First posted 2 Apr 2026cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

B2B sales organizations must identify "persuadable" accounts within zero-inflated revenue distributions to optimize expensive human resource allocation. Standard uplift frameworks struggle with treatment signal collapse in high-dimensional spaces and a misalignment between regression calibration and the ranking of high-value "whales." We introduce VALOR (Value Aware Learning of Optimized (B2B) Revenue), a unified framework featuring a Treatment-Gated Sparse-Revenue Network that uses bilinear interaction to prevent causal signal collapse. The framework is optimized via a novel Cost-Sensitive Focal-ZILN objective that combines a focal mechanism for distributional robustness with a value-weighted ranking loss that scales penalties based on financial magnitude. To provide interpretability for high-touch sales programs, we further derive Robust ZILN-GBDT, a tree based variant utilizing a custom splitting criterion for uplift heterogeneity. Extensive evaluations confirm VALOR's dominance, achieving a 20% improvement in rankability over state-of-the-art methods on public benchmarks and delivering a validated 2.7x increase in incremental revenue per account in a rigorous 4-month production A/B test.

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20 of 38 references.

References · 20

  1. 2017DeepFM: A Factorization-Machine based Neural Network for CTR Predictioncited by 673
  2. 2017Meta-learners for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Machine Learningcited by 475
  3. 2017Causal Effect Inference with Deep Latent-Variable Modelscited by 408
  4. 2017Quasi-Oracle Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effectscited by 328
  5. 2020DCN V2: Improved Deep & Cross Network and Practical Lessons for Web-scale Learning to Rank Systemscited by 326
  6. 2020Estimating Counterfactual Treatment Outcomes over Time Through Adversarially Balanced Representationscited by 154
  7. 2022Causal Transformer for Estimating Counterfactual Outcomescited by 121
  8. 2019Estimating Treatment Effects with Causal Forests: An Applicationcited by 58
  9. 2020A unified survey of treatment effect heterogeneity modeling and uplift modelingcited by 36
  10. 2023Explicit Feature Interaction-aware Uplift Network for Online Marketingcited by 25
  11. 2021E-Commerce Promotions Personalization via Online Multiple-Choice Knapsack with Uplift Modelingcited by 21
  12. 2020Free Lunch! Retrospective Uplift Modeling for Dynamic Promotions Recommendation within ROI Constraintscited by 20
8 more
  1. 2020Learning to rank for uplift modelingcited by 18
  2. 2022DESCN: Deep Entire Space Cross Networks for Individual Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 16
  3. 2019Response Transformation and Profit Decomposition for Revenue Uplift Modelingcited by 15
  4. 2024Rankability-enhanced Revenue Uplift Modeling Framework for Online Marketingcited by 12
  5. 2024Decision Focused Causal Learning for Direct Counterfactual Marketing Optimizationcited by 9
  6. 2023Robustness-enhanced Uplift Modeling with Adversarial Feature Desensitizationcited by 5
  7. 2025Robust Uplift Modeling with Large-Scale Contexts for Real-time Marketingcited by 3
  8. 2021Interpretable Multiple Treatment Revenue Uplift Modelingcited by 2

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