mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Improving the Trade-off Between Watermark Strength and Speculative Sampling Efficiency for Language Models

arXiv 2602.01428 ↗First posted 1 Feb 2026cs.LG cs.CRcited by 1

On the map: Efficient LLM inference and serving → Speculative decoding

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Abstract (arXiv)

Watermarking is a principled approach for tracing the provenance of large language model (LLM) outputs, but its deployment in practice is hindered by inference inefficiency. Speculative sampling accelerates inference, with efficiency improving as the acceptance rate between draft and target models increases. Yet recent work reveals a fundamental trade-off: higher watermark strength reduces acceptance, preventing their simultaneous achievement. We revisit this trade-off and show it is not absolute. We introduce a quantitative measure of watermark strength that governs statistical detectability and is maximized when tokens are deterministic functions of pseudorandom numbers. Using this measure, we fully characterize the trade-off as a constrained optimization problem and derive explicit Pareto curves for two existing watermarking schemes. Finally, we introduce a principled mechanism that injects pseudorandomness into draft-token acceptance, ensuring maximal watermark strength while maintaining speculative sampling efficiency. Experiments further show that this approach improves detectability without sacrificing efficiency. Our findings uncover a principle that unites speculative sampling and watermarking, paving the way for their efficient and practical deployment.

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Speculative decoding, one of 12 directions in Efficient LLM inference and serving. Builds on 42 of its 54 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 1 Feb 2026.

Builds on

42 of 54 references.

Closest ancestors · 16

Same direction, newest first

  1. 2024A Theoretical Perspective for Speculative Decoding Algorithm30 Oct
  2. 2024Inevitable Trade-off between Watermark Strength and Speculative Sampling Efficiency for Language Models27 Oct
  3. 2024EAGLE: Speculative Sampling Requires Rethinking Feature Uncertainty26 Jan
  4. 2024Medusa: Simple LLM Inference Acceleration Framework with Multiple Decoding Heads19 Jan
  5. 2024Unlocking Efficiency in Large Language Model Inference: A Comprehensive Survey of Speculative Decoding15 Jan
  6. 2024Multi-Candidate Speculative Decoding12 Jan
  7. 2023REST: Retrieval-Based Speculative Decoding14 Nov
  8. 2023SpecTr: Fast Speculative Decoding via Optimal Transport23 Oct
  9. 2023DistillSpec: Improving Speculative Decoding via Knowledge Distillation12 Oct
  10. 2023Online Speculative Decoding11 Oct
  11. 2023Accelerating LLM Inference with Staged Speculative Decoding8 Aug
  12. 2023SpecInfer: Accelerating Generative Large Language Model Serving with Tree-based Speculative Inference and Verification16 May
4 more
  1. 2023Speculative Decoding with Big Little Decoder15 Feb
  2. 2023Accelerating Large Language Model Decoding with Speculative Sampling2 Feb
  3. 2022Fast Inference from Transformers via Speculative Decoding30 Nov
  4. 2022Speculative Decoding: Exploiting Speculative Execution for Accelerating Seq2seq Generation30 Mar

Other references · 26

  1. 2019Exploring the Limits of Transfer Learning with a Unified Text-to-Text Transformercited by 14,491
  2. 2023LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Modelscited by 13,958
  3. 2016Categorical Reparameterization with Gumbel-Softmaxcited by 2,708
  4. 2024Gemma: Open Models Based on Gemini Research and Technologycited by 889
  5. 2023A Watermark for Large Language Modelscited by 667
  6. 2019ELI5: Long Form Question Answeringcited by 567
  7. 2023Can AI-Generated Text be Reliably Detected?cited by 372
  8. 2018Blockwise Parallel Decoding for Deep Autoregressive Modelscited by 318
  9. 2023Robust Distortion-free Watermarks for Language Modelscited by 279
  10. 2023Provable Robust Watermarking for AI-Generated Textcited by 259
  11. 2023On the Reliability of Watermarks for Large Language Modelscited by 170
  12. 2014A* Samplingcited by 150
14 more
  1. 2023Unbiased Watermark for Large Language Modelscited by 100
  2. 2023Three Bricks to Consolidate Watermarks for Large Language Modelscited by 80
  3. 2024Adaptive Text Watermark for Large Language Modelscited by 60
  4. 2024A Statistical Framework of Watermarks for Large Language Models: Pivot, Detection Efficiency and Optimal Rulescited by 53
  5. 2024WaterMax: breaking the LLM watermark detectability-robustness-quality trade-offcited by 48
  6. 2023A Resilient and Accessible Distribution-Preserving Watermark for Large Language Modelscited by 47
  7. 2024GumbelSoft: Diversified Language Model Watermarking via the GumbelMax-trickcited by 31
  8. 2024Robust Detection of Watermarks for Large Language Models Under Human Editscited by 29
  9. 2023Towards Optimal Statistical Watermarkingcited by 25
  10. 2024Debiasing Watermarks for Large Language Models via Maximal Couplingcited by 18
  11. 2024Theoretically Grounded Framework for LLM Watermarking: A Distribution-Adaptive Approachcited by 17
  12. 2025Optimized Couplings for Watermarking Large Language Modelscited by 9
  13. 2025On the Empirical Power of Goodness-of-Fit Tests in Watermark Detectioncited by 5
  14. 2024SEFD: Semantic-Enhanced Framework for Detecting LLM-Generated Textcited by 3

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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 1.

1 paper.

Similar, not cited

Close in wording, no citation either way

  1. 2025Watermarking Discrete Diffusion Language Models
  2. 2026Language Model Fingerprinting Requires Rethinking Watermark Teachers
  3. 2025Watermarking Degrades Alignment in Language Models: Analysis and Mitigation
  4. 2026Chainwash: Multi-Step Rewriting Attacks on Diffusion Language Model Watermarks
  5. 2026Global Sketch-Based Watermarking for Diffusion Language Models
  6. 2023WatME: Towards Lossless Watermarking Through Lexical Redundancy
  7. 2025StealthInk: A Multi-bit and Stealthy Watermark for Large Language Models
  8. 2025Watermarking Diffusion Language Models