mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

CryptoBench: A Dynamic Benchmark for Expert-Level Evaluation of LLM Agents in Cryptocurrency

arXiv 2512.00417 ↗First posted 29 Nov 2025cs.CLcited by 5

On the map: LLM agents and tool use → Financial trading and forecasting agents

Abstract (arXiv)

This paper introduces CryptoBench, the first expert-curated, dynamic benchmark designed to rigorously evaluate the real-world capabilities of Large Language Model (LLM) agents in the uniquely demanding and fast-paced cryptocurrency domain. Unlike general-purpose agent benchmarks for search and prediction, professional crypto analysis presents specific challenges: extreme time-sensitivity, a highly adversarial information environment, and the critical need to synthesize data from diverse, specialized sources, such as on-chain intelligence platforms and real-time Decentralized Finance (DeFi) dashboards. CryptoBench thus serves as a much more challenging and valuable scenario for LLM agent assessment. To address these challenges, we constructed a live, dynamic benchmark featuring 50 questions per month, expertly designed by crypto-native professionals to mirror actual analyst workflows. These tasks are rigorously categorized within a four-quadrant system: Simple Retrieval, Complex Retrieval, Simple Prediction, and Complex Prediction. This granular categorization enables a precise assessment of an LLM agent's foundational data-gathering capabilities alongside its advanced analytical and forecasting skills. Our evaluation of ten LLMs, both directly and within an agentic framework, reveals a performance hierarchy and uncovers a failure mode. We observe a textitretrieval-prediction imbalance, where many leading models, despite being proficient at data retrieval, demonstrate a pronounced weakness in tasks requiring predictive analysis. This highlights a problematic tendency for agents to appear factually grounded while lacking the deeper analytical capabilities to synthesize information.

Key facts. Cited by 5 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in Financial trading and forecasting agents, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use. Builds on 22 of its 39 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 29 Nov 2025.

Builds on

22 of 39 references.

Closest ancestors · 2

Same direction, newest first

  1. 2025FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction16 Aug
  2. 2024INVESTORBENCH: A Benchmark for Financial Decision-Making Tasks with LLM-based Agent24 Dec

Other references · 20

  1. 2025Qwen3 Technical Reportcited by 8,820
  2. 2022ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Modelscited by 8,695
  3. 2023Judging LLM-as-a-Judge with MT-Bench and Chatbot Arenacited by 8,626
  4. 2025Gemini 2.5: Pushing the Frontier with Advanced Reasoning, Multimodality, Long Context, and Next Generation Agentic Capabilitiescited by 3,796
  5. 2023Generative Agents: Interactive Simulacra of Human Behaviorcited by 3,568
  6. 2023SWE-bench: Can Language Models Resolve Real-World GitHub Issues?cited by 3,373
  7. 2023WebArena: A Realistic Web Environment for Building Autonomous Agentscited by 2,006
  8. 2023AgentBench: Evaluating LLMs as Agentscited by 1,267
  9. 2023GAIA: a benchmark for General AI Assistantscited by 1,128
  10. 2025BrowseComp: A Simple Yet Challenging Benchmark for Browsing Agentscited by 647
  11. 2023FreshLLMs: Refreshing Large Language Models with Search Engine Augmentationcited by 318
  12. 2024LiveBench: A Challenging, Contamination-Limited LLM Benchmarkcited by 262
8 more
  1. 2024ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilitiescited by 110
  2. 2025Finance Agent Benchmark: Benchmarking LLMs on Real-world Financial Research Taskscited by 65
  3. 2025BizFinBench: A Business-Driven Real-World Financial Benchmark for Evaluating LLMscited by 22
  4. 2025FinanceQA: A Benchmark for Evaluating Financial Analysis Capabilities of Large Language Modelscited by 19
  5. 2025TIME: A Multi-level Benchmark for Temporal Reasoning of LLMs in Real-World Scenarioscited by 14
  6. 2024OpenEP: Open-Ended Future Event Predictioncited by 11
  7. 2025Evaluating LLMs on Real-World Forecasting Against Expert Forecasterscited by 7
  8. 2025Navigating Tomorrow: Reliably Assessing Large Language Models Performance on Future Event Predictioncited by 5

Built on by

Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 5.

5 papers.

Similar, not cited

Close in wording, no citation either way

  1. 2025When Agents Trade: Live Multi-Market Trading Benchmark for LLM Agents
  2. 2026TraderBench: How Robust Are AI Agents in Adversarial Capital Markets?
  3. 2025LLM-Powered Multi-Agent System for Automated Crypto Portfolio Management
  4. 2025Coinvisor: An RL-Enhanced Chatbot Agent for Interactive Cryptocurrency Investment Analysis
  5. 2026PredictionMarketBench: A SWE-bench-Style Framework for Backtesting Trading Agents on Prediction Markets
  6. 2026CyberChainBench: Can AI Agents Secure Smart Contracts Against Real-World On-Chain Vulnerabilities?
  7. 2024Detection Made Easy: Potentials of Large Language Models for Solidity Vulnerabilities
  8. 2026Can AI Make Money in Crypto? Measuring the Gap from Backtests to Real Markets