FutureX-Pro: Extending Future Prediction to High-Value Vertical Domains
On the map: LLM agents and tool use → Financial trading and forecasting agents
Abstract (arXiv)
Building upon FutureX, which established a live benchmark for general-purpose future prediction, this report introduces FutureX-Pro, including FutureX-Finance, FutureX-Retail, FutureX-PublicHealth, FutureX-NaturalDisaster, and FutureX-Search. These together form a specialized framework extending agentic future prediction to high-value vertical domains. While generalist agents demonstrate proficiency in open-domain search, their reliability in capital-intensive and safety-critical sectors remains under-explored. FutureX-Pro targets four economically and socially pivotal verticals: Finance, Retail, Public Health, and Natural Disaster. We benchmark agentic Large Language Models (LLMs) on entry-level yet foundational prediction tasks -- ranging from forecasting market indicators and supply chain demands to tracking epidemic trends and natural disasters. By adapting the contamination-free, live-evaluation pipeline of FutureX, we assess whether current State-of-the-Art (SOTA) agentic LLMs possess the domain grounding necessary for industrial deployment. Our findings reveal the performance gap between generalist reasoning and the precision required for high-value vertical applications.
Key facts. Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Financial trading and forecasting agents, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use. Builds on 15 of its 20 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 18 Jan 2026.
Builds on
15 of 20 references.
Closest ancestors · 4
Same direction, newest first
- 2025CryptoBench: A Dynamic Benchmark for Expert-Level Evaluation of LLM Agents in Cryptocurrency29 Nov
- 2025FinDeepResearch: Evaluating Deep Research Agents in Rigorous Financial Analysis15 Oct
- 2025FinSearchComp: Towards a Realistic, Expert-Level Evaluation of Financial Search and Reasoning16 Sep
- 2025FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction16 Aug
Other references · 11
- 2023WebArena: A Realistic Web Environment for Building Autonomous Agentscited by 1,908
- 2020What Disease does this Patient Have? A Large-scale Open Domain Question Answering Dataset from Medical Examscited by 1,324
- 2023AgentBench: Evaluating LLMs as Agentscited by 1,211
- 2023Mind2Web: Towards a Generalist Agent for the Webcited by 1,210
- 2023GAIA: a benchmark for General AI Assistantscited by 1,084
- 2025BrowseComp: A Simple Yet Challenging Benchmark for Browsing Agentscited by 616
- 2021FinQA: A Dataset of Numerical Reasoning over Financial Datacited by 552
- 2024ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilitiescited by 104
- 2025Finch: Benchmarking Finance & Accounting across Spreadsheet-Centric Enterprise Workflowscited by 9
- 2025EcomBench: Towards Holistic Evaluation of Foundation Agents in E-commercecited by 7
- 2025BMGQ: A Bottom-up Method for Generating Complex Multi-hop Reasoning Questions from Semi-structured Datacited by 2
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2026: 8.
8 papers.
- 2026Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefscited by 9
- 2026FutureWorld: A Live Reinforcement Learning Environment for Predictive Agents with Real-World Outcome Rewardscited by 2
- 2026Rethinking Post-Training Recipes for Multimodal Time-Series Forecastingcited by 2
- 2026AQuA: Recursively Self-Improving Quantitative Trading Research Agentscited by 2
- 2026YC Bench: a Live Benchmark for Forecasting Startup Outperformance in Y Combinator Batchescited by 1
- 2026QuantSightBench: Evaluating LLM Quantitative Forecasting with Prediction Intervalscited by 0
- 2026Distilling Temporal Search and Reasoning: Evolving LLMs for Future Prediction via Harness-Assisted Efficient Data Synthesiscited by 0
- 2026Forecast-Dojo: Replayable Environments for Benchmarking and Training LLM Forecasting Agentscited by 0
- 2026Forecast-Dojo: Replayable Environments for Benchmarking and Training LLM Forecasting Agents24 Sep 2026
- 2026AQuA: Recursively Self-Improving Quantitative Trading Research Agents13 Aug 2026
- 2026Distilling Temporal Search and Reasoning: Evolving LLMs for Future Prediction via Harness-Assisted Efficient Data Synthesis28 Jul 2026
- 2026Rethinking Post-Training Recipes for Multimodal Time-Series Forecasting28 May 2026
- 2026FutureWorld: A Live Reinforcement Learning Environment for Predictive Agents with Real-World Outcome Rewards29 Apr 2026
- 2026Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs20 Apr 2026
- 2026QuantSightBench: Evaluating LLM Quantitative Forecasting with Prediction Intervals17 Apr 2026
- 2026YC Bench: a Live Benchmark for Forecasting Startup Outperformance in Y Combinator Batches1 Apr 2026
Similar, not cited
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- 2026FinDeepForecast: A Live Multi-Agent System for Benchmarking Deep Research Agents in Financial Forecasting
- 2026From Narrative to Auditable Forecasts: A Structured Scaffold for Agentic Forecasting
- 2024MIRAI: Evaluating LLM Agents for Event Forecasting
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