mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

StockBench: Can LLM Agents Trade Stocks Profitably In Real-world Markets?

arXiv 2510.02209 ↗First posted 2 Oct 2025cs.LG cs.CLcited by 43

On the map: LLM agents and tool use → Financial trading and forecasting agents

Abstract (arXiv)

Large language models (LLMs) demonstrate strong potential as autonomous agents, with promising capabilities in reasoning, tool use, and sequential decision-making. While prior benchmarks have evaluated LLM agents in various domains, the financial domain remains underexplored, despite its significant economic value and complex reasoning requirements. Most existing financial benchmarks focus on static question-answering, failing to capture the dynamics of real-market trading. To address this gap, we introduce STOCKBENCH, a contamination-free benchmark designed to evaluate LLM agents in realistic, multi-month stock trading environments. Agents receive daily market signals -- including prices, fundamentals, and news -- and make sequential buy, sell, or hold decisions. Performance is measured using financial metrics such as cumulative return, maximum drawdown, and the Sortino ratio, capturing both profitability and risk management. We evaluate a wide range of state-of-the-art proprietary and open-source LLMs. Surprisingly, most models struggle to outperform the simple buy-and-hold baseline, while some models demonstrate the potential to achieve higher returns and stronger risk management. These findings highlight both the challenges and opportunities of LLM-based trading agents, showing that strong performance on static financial question-answering do not necessarily translate into effective trading behavior. We release STOCKBENCH as an open-source benchmark to enable future research on LLM-driven financial agents.

Key facts. Cited by 43 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Financial trading and forecasting agents, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use. Builds on 26 of its 54 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 2 Oct 2025.

Builds on

26 of 54 references.

Closest ancestors · 2

Same direction, newest first

  1. 2025FinSearchComp: Towards a Realistic, Expert-Level Evaluation of Financial Search and Reasoning16 Sep
  2. 2024INVESTORBENCH: A Benchmark for Financial Decision-Making Tasks with LLM-based Agent24 Dec

Other references · 24

  1. 2025Qwen3 Technical Reportcited by 8,195
  2. 2025Qwen2.5-VL Technical Reportcited by 5,418
  3. 2024Qwen2.5 Technical Reportcited by 4,713
  4. 2023SWE-bench: Can Language Models Resolve Real-World GitHub Issues?cited by 3,193
  5. 2025DAPO: An Open-Source LLM Reinforcement Learning System at Scalecited by 2,678
  6. 2024SWE-agent: Agent-Computer Interfaces Enable Automated Software Engineeringcited by 1,628
  7. 2023GAIA: a benchmark for General AI Assistantscited by 1,084
  8. 2023BloombergGPT: A Large Language Model for Financecited by 923
  9. 2021FinQA: A Dataset of Numerical Reasoning over Financial Datacited by 552
  10. 2025GLM-4.5: Agentic, Reasoning, and Coding (ARC) Foundation Modelscited by 446
  11. 2021TAT-QA: A Question Answering Benchmark on a Hybrid of Tabular and Textual Content in Financecited by 402
  12. 2022ConvFinQA: Exploring the Chain of Numerical Reasoning in Conversational Finance Question Answeringcited by 194
12 more
  1. 2025xbench: Tracking Agents Productivity Scaling with Profession-Aligned Real-World Evaluationscited by 118
  2. 2022WHEN FLUE MEETS FLANG: Benchmarks and Large Pre-trained Language Model for Financial Domaincited by 117
  3. 2024A Survey of Large Language Models for Financial Applications: Progress, Prospects and Challengescited by 86
  4. 2024A Survey of Large Language Models in Finance (FinLLMs)cited by 77
  5. 2019Deep Reinforcement Learning for Tradingcited by 73
  6. 2025Finance Agent Benchmark: Benchmarking LLMs on Real-world Financial Research Taskscited by 63
  7. 2023FinEval: A Chinese Financial Domain Knowledge Evaluation Benchmark for Large Language Modelscited by 52
  8. 2025When Thinking Fails: The Pitfalls of Reasoning for Instruction-Following in LLMscited by 51
  9. 2025Scaling Reasoning, Losing Control: Evaluating Instruction Following in Large Reasoning Modelscited by 28
  10. 2025BizFinBench: A Business-Driven Real-World Financial Benchmark for Evaluating LLMscited by 22
  11. 2023FinPT: Financial Risk Prediction with Profile Tuning on Pretrained Foundation Modelscited by 12
  12. 2025From Scores to Skills: A Cognitive Diagnosis Framework for Evaluating Financial Large Language Modelscited by 5

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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2025: 4; 2026: 39.

43 papers.

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  1. 2025LiveTradeBench: Seeking Real-World Alpha with Large Language Modelscited by 13
  2. 2026Agentic Environment Engineering for Large Language Models: A Survey of Environment Modeling, Synthesis, Evaluation, and Applicationcited by 8
  3. 2025EcomBench: Towards Holistic Evaluation of Foundation Agents in E-commercecited by 7
  4. 2026Agentic Trading: When LLM Agents Meet Financial Marketscited by 7
  5. 2026Toward Reliable Evaluation of LLM-Based Financial Multi-Agent Systems: Taxonomy, Coordination Primacy, and Cost Awarenesscited by 5
  6. 2026Can LLM Agents Be CFOs? Benchmarking Long-Horizon Resource Allocation in an Uncertain Enterprise Environmentcited by 3
  7. 2026KellyBench: A Benchmark for Long-Horizon Sequential Decision Makingcited by 3
  8. 2026Herculean: An Agentic Benchmark for Financial Intelligencecited by 3
  9. 2026The Alpha Illusion: Reported Alpha from LLM Trading Agents Should Not Be Treated as Deployment Evidencecited by 3
  10. 2026FinEvolveBench: A Benchmark for Self-Evolving Agents on Low-Repetition Tasks with Implicit Rewardscited by 3
  11. 2025Knowing What You Know Is Not Enough: Large Language Model Confidences Don't Align With Their Actionscited by 2
  12. 2026JADE: Expert-Grounded Dynamic Evaluation for Open-Ended Professional Taskscited by 2
31 more
  1. 2026EcoGym: Evaluating LLMs for Long-Horizon Plan-and-Execute in Interactive Economiescited by 2
  2. 2026MALLES: A Multi-agent LLMs-based Economic Sandbox with Consumer Preference Alignmentcited by 2
  3. 2026OpenFinGym: A Verifiable Multi-Task Gym Environment for Evaluating Quant Agentscited by 2
  4. 2025PriceSeer: Evaluating Large Language Models in Real-Time Stock Predictioncited by 1
  5. 2026CN-Buzz2Portfolio: A Chinese-Market Dataset and Benchmark for LLM-Based Macro and Sector Asset Allocation from Daily Trending Financial Newscited by 1
  6. 2026Learning to Trade Like an Expert: Cognitive Fine-Tuning for Stable Financial Reasoning in Language Modelscited by 1
  7. 2026FinPersona-Bench: A Benchmark for Longitudinal Psychometric Stability of Autonomous Financial Agentscited by 1
  8. 2026ShiJianBench: From Dialogue to Decision for Long-Horizon Evaluation of Investment Advisorscited by 1
  9. 2026FM-Bench: A Benchmark for Long-Horizon Management with Competing Agentscited by 1
  10. 2026LLM Agents for Time-Series: A Surveycited by 1
  11. 2026E-Commerce Bench: Evaluating LLM Agents on Long-Horizon Autonomous Business Operationcited by 1
  12. 2026LATTICE: Evaluating Decision Support Utility of Crypto Agentscited by 0
  13. 2026FinBoardBench: Benchmarking Dynamic Wealth Management and Strategic Financial Reasoning of LLMs via Board Game Simulationscited by 0
  14. 2026Paper Agents, Paper Gains: An Empirical Analysis of DeFi Investment Agentscited by 0
  15. 2026Probing Outcome-Level Resemblance and Mechanism-Level Alignment in LLM Risk Decisions: Evidence from the St. Petersburg Gamecited by 0
  16. 2026Can Agentic Trading Systems Pay for Their Own Intelligence?cited by 0
  17. 2026NextFund: A Unified Performance Tracking Platform for Agentic Portfolio Managementcited by 0
  18. 2026TradeVerse: A Longitudinal Benchmark of Political Negotiation in International Tradecited by 0
  19. 2026OpenPM: Auditable Point-in-Time Evaluation for LLM Portfolio-Management Agentscited by 0
  20. 2026Regime-Aware Portfolio Management via Retrieval-Augmented LLM-Guided Expert Switchingcited by 0
  21. 2026Artificial Intelligence in Equity and Crypto Markets: Progress, Profitability Evidence, and the Limits of Automated Investingcited by 0
  22. 2026SoK: Trading Agents or Market Crashers? Dissecting Robustness and Security Failures in Academic Financial LLM Trading Schemescited by 0
  23. 2026The Price of Thought: Does Test-Time Reasoning Pay in LLM Trading?cited by 0
  24. 2026LiveOption: Evaluating LLM Agents in Structured Option Trading with Nonlinear Payoffscited by 0
  25. 2026Can AI Make Money in Crypto? Measuring the Gap from Backtests to Real Marketscited by 0
  26. 2026FromPitch2Board: Benchmarking LLM Agents in Long-Horizon Football Managementcited by 0
  27. 2026From Search to Research: Exploring Search Scaling in Autonomous Quantitative Factor Miningcited by 0
  28. 2026Can Language Models Learn to Forecast Stock Pricescited by 0
  29. 2026EnterpriseBench: Benchmarking LLM Agents on Enterprise-Level Strategic Reasoning and Decision-Makingcited by 0
  30. 2026ReLiveGym: Evaluating Long-Lived Agents over Weeks of Replayed Realitycited by 0
  31. 2026SOTA: Stock Options Trading Agents Guided by Option-Implied Return Distributionscited by 0

Similar, not cited

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  1. 2024Large Language Model Agent in Financial Trading: A Survey
  2. 2025Agent Trading Arena: A Study on Numerical Understanding in LLM-Based Agents
  3. 2025StockSim: A Dual-Mode Order-Level Simulator for Evaluating Multi-Agent LLMs in Financial Markets
  4. 2025When Agents Trade: Live Multi-Market Trading Benchmark for LLM Agents
  5. 2024FinBen: A Holistic Financial Benchmark for Large Language Models
  6. 2026FinTradeBench: A Financial Reasoning Benchmark for LLMs
  7. 2026FinToolBench: Evaluating LLM Agents for Real-World Financial Tool Use
  8. 2025To Trade or Not to Trade: An Agentic Approach to Estimating Market Risk Improves Trading Decisions