mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Predictable Scale: Part I, Step Law -- Optimal Hyperparameter Scaling Law in Large Language Model Pretraining

arXiv 2503.04715 ↗First posted 6 Mar 2025cs.LG cs.AIcited by 34

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Abstract (arXiv)

The impressive capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) across diverse tasks are now well established, yet their effective deployment necessitates careful hyperparameter optimization. Although existing methods have explored the influence of hyperparameters on model performance, a principled and generalizable framework across model architectures and data recipes remains absent. In this study, we conduct an unprecedented empirical investigation training over 3,700 LLMs from scratch across 100 trillion tokens, consuming nearly one million NVIDIA H800 GPU hours to establish a universal Scaling Law for hyperparameter optimization in LLM Pre-training, called Step Law. We empirically observe that, under fixed model size (N) and dataset size (D), the hyperparameter landscape exhibits convexity with a broad optimum, substantially reducing the complexity of hyperparameter search. Building on this insight, we formally define and empirically validate the Step Law: The optimal learning rate follows a power-law relationship with N and D, while the optimal batch size is primarily influenced by D and remains largely invariant to N.Notably, our estimated optima deviate from the global best performance found via exhaustive search by merely 0.094% on the test set. To our best known, Step Law is the first that unifies different model shapes and structures, such as Mixture-of-Experts models and dense transformers, as well as establishes optimal hyperparameter scaling laws across diverse data recipes. We contribute a universal, plug-and-play optimal hyperparameter tool for the community, which is expected to advance efficient LLM training at scale. All experimental code, data and checkpoints are publicly available at https://github.com/step-law/steplaw

Key facts. Cited by 34 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 31 of its 37 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 6 Mar 2025.

Builds on

31 of 37 references.

References · 31

  1. 2020Language Models are Few-Shot Learnerscited by 32,419
  2. 2020Scaling Laws for Neural Language Modelscited by 6,586
  3. 2025DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learningcited by 6,330
  4. 2017Outrageously Large Neural Networks: The Sparsely-Gated Mixture-of-Experts Layercited by 3,509
  5. 2021Switch Transformers: Scaling to Trillion Parameter Models with Simple and Efficient Sparsitycited by 3,073
  6. 2022Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Modelscited by 3,019
  7. 2022BLOOM: A 176B-Parameter Open-Access Multilingual Language Modelcited by 1,984
  8. 2019Root Mean Square Layer Normalizationcited by 1,480
  9. 2021Train Short, Test Long: Attention with Linear Biases Enables Input Length Extrapolationcited by 1,103
  10. 2021GLaM: Efficient Scaling of Language Models with Mixture-of-Expertscited by 897
  11. 2024MiniCPM: Unveiling the Potential of Small Language Models with Scalable Training Strategiescited by 723
  12. 2024DeepSeek LLM: Scaling Open-Source Language Models with Longtermismcited by 642
19 more
  1. 2022Tensor Programs V: Tuning Large Neural Networks via Zero-Shot Hyperparameter Transfercited by 288
  2. 2018An Empirical Model of Large-Batch Trainingcited by 281
  3. 2020Feature Learning in Infinite-Width Neural Networkscited by 190
  4. 2023Tensor Programs VI: Feature Learning in Infinite-Depth Neural Networkscited by 97
  5. 2024Resolving Discrepancies in Compute-Optimal Scaling of Language Modelscited by 88
  6. 2024Understanding Warmup-Stable-Decay Learning Rates: A River Valley Loss Landscape Perspectivecited by 81
  7. 2024Scaling Exponents Across Parameterizations and Optimizerscited by 76
  8. 2024How Does Critical Batch Size Scale in Pre-training?cited by 73
  9. 2023Depthwise Hyperparameter Transfer in Residual Networks: Dynamics and Scaling Limitcited by 66
  10. 2024Scaling Optimal LR Across Token Horizonscited by 40
  11. 2025Joint MoE Scaling Laws: Mixture of Experts Can Be Memory Efficientcited by 31
  12. 2024u-μP: The Unit-Scaled Maximal Update Parametrizationcited by 29
  13. 2024Power Scheduler: A Batch Size and Token Number Agnostic Learning Rate Schedulercited by 28
  14. 2024Scaling Laws Across Model Architectures: A Comparative Analysis of Dense and MoE Models in Large Language Modelscited by 25
  15. 2024Scaling Law for Language Models Training Considering Batch Sizecited by 22
  16. 2023Rethinking Learning Rate Tuning in the Era of Large Language Modelscited by 16
  17. 2024Time Transfer: On Optimal Learning Rate and Batch Size In The Infinite Data Limitcited by 9
  18. 2024Stay Tuned: An Empirical Study of the Impact of Hyperparameters on LLM Tuning in Real-World Applicationscited by 6
  19. 2023Unlocking optimal batch size schedules using continuous-time control and perturbation theorycited by 3

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Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2025: 6; 2026: 28.

34 papers.

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  1. 2025Power Lines: Scaling Laws for Weight Decay and Batch Size in LLM Pre-trainingcited by 43
  2. 2025Training Dynamics Impact Post-Training Quantization Robustnesscited by 15
  3. 2026Hyperparameter Transfer with Mixture-of-Expert Layerscited by 13
  4. 2026Rethinking Language Model Scaling under Transferable Hypersphere Optimizationcited by 12
  5. 2025Decoder-Hybrid-Decoder Architecture for Efficient Reasoning with Long Generationcited by 11
  6. 2026Deriving Hyperparameter Scaling Laws via Modern Optimization Theorycited by 10
  7. 2025Mixture-of-Experts Can Surpass Dense LLMs Under Strictly Equal Resourcecited by 8
  8. 2026SOAP, Muon, and Beyond: Pushing LLM Pretraining Scalescited by 6
  9. 2026How to Set the Learning Rate for Large-Scale Pre-training?cited by 5
  10. 2026AutoLLMResearch: Training Research Agents for Automating LLM Experiment Configuration - Learning from Cheap, Optimizing Expensivecited by 5
  11. 2026Agentic Discovery of Neural Architectures: AIRA-Compose and AIRA-Designcited by 5
  12. 2026SPARKLING: Balancing Signal Preservation and Symmetry Breaking for Width-Progressive Learningcited by 4
22 more
  1. 2025Scaling Laws for Code: A More Data-Hungry Regimecited by 3
  2. 2026Skaling: Chinchilla's Exponents Meet Kaplan's Couplingcited by 3
  3. 2026Configuration-to-Performance Scaling Law with Neural Ansatzcited by 2
  4. 2026Holistic Scaling Laws for Optimal Mixture-of-Experts Architecture Optimizationcited by 2
  5. 2026On the Nonlinearity of Learning Rate Scaling for LLM Trainingcited by 2
  6. 2026Small-Scale Experiments: Are We There Yet?cited by 2
  7. 2025What Scales in Cross-Entropy Scaling Law?cited by 1
  8. 2026BoLT: A Benchmark to Democratize Black-box Optimization Research for Expensive LLM Taskscited by 1
  9. 2026Beyond LoRA: Is Sparsity-Induced Adaptation Better?cited by 1
  10. 2026MultiHashFormer: Hash-based Generative Language Modelscited by 1
  11. 2026LLaDA MoE v2: Scaling Mixture-of-Experts Diffusion Language Modelscited by 1
  12. 2026Efficiently Estimating Optimal Hyperparameter Scaling Laws through Power-Law Entropy Searchcited by 1
  13. 2026OmniMoE: An Efficient MoE by Orchestrating Atomic Experts at Scalecited by 0
  14. 2026Predictable Scaling Laws of Optimal Hyperparameters for LLM Continued Pre-trainingcited by 0
  15. 2026Let's Scale Step by Step: Compute-Efficient Hyperparameter Transfer for Large-Scale Mixture-of-Expertscited by 0
  16. 2026Hyperparameter Scaling Laws Across MoE Sparsitycited by 0
  17. 2026Does Step Law Transfer to Small-Scale Language Models? An Empirical Recalibration Below 59M Parameterscited by 0
  18. 2026How Far Are We from Removing the Visual Encoder? Scaling Laws for Encoder-Free Multimodal Pretrainingcited by 0
  19. 2026How to scale your HEP ML models: A recipe for robust architecture comparisons at scalecited by 0
  20. 2026Overcoming Data Imbalances with Expert Selection Biasescited by 0
  21. 2026Scaling Laws for Multimodal Data Mixturescited by 0
  22. 2026A Scaled-Up Empirical Study of Syntactic Language Modelscited by 0

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  3. 2025LLMs on the Line: Data Determines Loss-to-Loss Scaling Laws
  4. 2024Scaling Laws for Precision
  5. 2025AdamS: Momentum Itself Can Be A Normalizer for LLM Pretraining and Post-training
  6. 2024Rethinking Conventional Wisdom in Machine Learning: From Generalization to Scaling
  7. 2025xLSTM Scaling Laws: Competitive Performance with Linear Time-Complexity
  8. 2024Observational Scaling Laws and the Predictability of Language Model Performance