Recursive Learning Without Collapse: A Weighting-Based Stabilization Framework
On the map: Synthetic data and self-improvement for LLMs → Model collapse from synthetic data
Abstract (arXiv)
Recent studies identified an intriguing phenomenon in recursive generative model training known as model collapse, where models trained on data generated by previous models exhibit severe performance degradation. Addressing this issue and developing more effective training strategies have become central challenges in generative model research. In this paper, we investigate this phenomenon within a novel framework, where generative models are iteratively trained on a combination of newly collected real data and synthetic data from the previous training step. To develop an optimal training strategy for integrating real and synthetic data, we evaluate the performance of a weighted training scheme in various scenarios, including Gaussian distribution estimation, generalized linear models, and nonparametric estimation. We theoretically characterize the impact of the mixing proportion and weighting scheme of synthetic data on the final model's performance. Our key finding is that, across different settings, the optimal weighting scheme under different proportions of synthetic data asymptotically follows a unified expression, revealing a fundamental trade-off between leveraging synthetic data and model performance. In some cases, the optimal weight assigned to real data corresponds to the reciprocal of the golden ratio. Finally, we validate our theoretical results on extensive simulated datasets and a real tabular dataset.
Key facts. Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Model collapse from synthetic data, one of 13 directions in Synthetic data and self-improvement for LLMs. Builds on 19 of its 32 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 25 Feb 2025.
Builds on
19 of 32 references.
Closest ancestors · 5
Same direction, newest first
- 2024Strong Model Collapse7 Oct
- 2024Is Model Collapse Inevitable? Breaking the Curse of Recursion by Accumulating Real and Synthetic Data1 Apr
- 2024Model Collapse Demystified: The Case of Regression12 Feb
- 2024A Tale of Tails: Model Collapse as a Change of Scaling Laws10 Feb
- 2023The Curse of Recursion: Training on Generated Data Makes Models Forget27 May
Other references · 14
- 2023GPT-4 Technical Reportcited by 18,132
- 2023DetectGPT: Zero-Shot Machine-Generated Text Detection using Probability Curvaturecited by 705
- 2023Self-Consuming Generative Models Go MADcited by 239
- 2022Generating Training Data with Language Models: Towards Zero-Shot Language Understandingcited by 199
- 2023On the Stability of Iterative Retraining of Generative Models on their own Datacited by 98
- 2016Understanding data augmentation for classification: when to warp?cited by 74
- 2024A Statistical Framework of Watermarks for Large Language Models: Pivot, Detection Efficiency and Optimal Rulescited by 53
- 2024Collapse or Thrive? Perils and Promises of Synthetic Data in a Self-Generating Worldcited by 49
- 2024Data Augmentation using Large Language Models: Data Perspectives, Learning Paradigms and Challengescited by 30
- 2024Robust Detection of Watermarks for Large Language Models Under Human Editscited by 29
- 2024Universality of the π2/6 Pathway in Avoiding Model Collapsecited by 24
- 2024Debiasing Watermarks for Large Language Models via Maximal Couplingcited by 18
2 more
- 2024Towards Better Statistical Understanding of Watermarking LLMscited by 14
- 2023Utility Theory of Synthetic Data Generationcited by 8
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2025: 5; 2026: 3.
8 papers.
- 2025When Models Don't Collapse: On the Consistency of Iterative MLEcited by 11
- 2025Preventing Model Collapse Under Overparametrization: Optimal Mixing Ratios for Interpolation Learning and Ridge Regressioncited by 7
- 2025LLM Web Dynamics: Tracing Model Collapse in a Network of LLMscited by 6
- 2025Escaping Model Collapse via Synthetic Data Verification: Near-term Improvements and Long-term Convergencecited by 5
- 2025A Probabilistic Perspective on Model Collapsecited by 4
- 2026When Does Model Collapse Occur in Structured Interactive Learning?cited by 1
- 2026Why Self-Training Helps and Hurts: Denoising vs. Signal Forgettingcited by 0
- 2026Experimental evidence of progressive ChatGPT models self-convergencecited by 0
- 2026When Does Model Collapse Occur in Structured Interactive Learning?19 May 2026
- 2026Experimental evidence of progressive ChatGPT models self-convergence13 Mar 2026
- 2026Why Self-Training Helps and Hurts: Denoising vs. Signal Forgetting15 Feb 2026
- 2025Escaping Model Collapse via Synthetic Data Verification: Near-term Improvements and Long-term Convergence18 Oct 2025
- 2025Preventing Model Collapse Under Overparametrization: Optimal Mixing Ratios for Interpolation Learning and Ridge Regression26 Sep 2025
- 2025LLM Web Dynamics: Tracing Model Collapse in a Network of LLMs26 May 2025
- 2025When Models Don't Collapse: On the Consistency of Iterative MLE25 May 2025
- 2025A Probabilistic Perspective on Model Collapse20 May 2025
Similar, not cited
Close in wording, no citation either way
- 2025A Theoretical Perspective: How to Prevent Model Collapse in Self-consuming Training Loops
- 2024A Note on Shumailov et al. (2024): `AI Models Collapse When Trained on Recursively Generated Data'
- 2026From Collapse to Improvement: Statistical Perspectives on the Evolutionary Dynamics of Iterative Training on Contaminated Sources
- 2024Rate of Model Collapse in Recursive Training
- 2024Towards Theoretical Understandings of Self-Consuming Generative Models
- 2026Recursively Trained Diffusion Models: Limiting Collapse Distribution and Spectral Characterization
- 2024Analyzing and Mitigating Model Collapse in Rectified Flow Models
- 2025ForTIFAI: Fending Off Recursive Training Induced Failure for AI Model Collapse