Is That Your Final Answer? Test-Time Scaling Improves Selective Question Answering
On the map: LLM reasoning → Test-time compute and efficient thinking
Abstract (arXiv)
Scaling the test-time compute of large language models has demonstrated impressive performance on reasoning benchmarks. However, existing evaluations of test-time scaling make the strong assumption that a reasoning system should always give an answer to any question provided. This overlooks concerns about whether a model is confident in its answer, and whether it is appropriate to always provide a response. To address these concerns, we extract confidence scores during reasoning for thresholding model responses. We find that increasing compute budget at inference time not only helps models answer more questions correctly, but also increases confidence in correct responses. We then extend the current paradigm of zero-risk responses during evaluation by considering settings with non-zero levels of response risk, and suggest a recipe for reporting evaluations under these settings.
Key facts. Cited by 17 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Test-time compute and efficient thinking, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 18 of its 24 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 19 Feb 2025.
Builds on
18 of 24 references.
Closest ancestors · 3
Same direction, newest first
- 2025s1: Simple test-time scaling31 Jan
- 2024Scaling LLM Test-Time Compute Optimally can be More Effective than Scaling Model Parameters6 Aug
- 2024Inference Scaling Laws: An Empirical Analysis of Compute-Optimal Inference for Problem-Solving with Language Models1 Aug
Other references · 15
- 2023Efficient Memory Management for Large Language Model Serving with PagedAttentioncited by 5,767
- 2023GPQA: A Graduate-Level Google-Proof Q&A Benchmarkcited by 2,748
- 2018Know What You Don't Know: Unanswerable Questions for SQuADcited by 1,538
- 2017Selective Classification for Deep Neural Networkscited by 799
- 2024Measuring short-form factuality in large language modelscited by 345
- 2020Consistent Estimators for Learning to Defer to an Expertcited by 262
- 2020Selective Question Answering under Domain Shiftcited by 228
- 2022Out-of-Distribution Detection and Selective Generation for Conditional Language Modelscited by 193
- 2015Cost Sensitive Learning of Deep Feature Representations from Imbalanced Datacited by 167
- 2023Hypothesis Search: Inductive Reasoning with Language Modelscited by 119
- 2022Learning to Defer to Multiple Experts: Consistent Surrogate Losses, Confidence Calibration, and Conformal Ensemblescited by 59
- 2024Combining Induction and Transduction for Abstract Reasoningcited by 53
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2025: 10; 2026: 7.
17 papers.
Sort:
By area:
- 2025Rank1: Test-Time Compute for Reranking in Information Retrievalcited by 68
- 2025Rank-K: Test-Time Reasoning for Listwise Rerankingcited by 28
- 2025What Characterizes Effective Reasoning? Revisiting Length, Review, and Structure of CoTcited by 24
- 2025Entropy After </Think> for reasoning model early exitingcited by 24
- 2025WikiVideo: Article Generation from Multiple Videoscited by 13
- 2026When More Thinking Hurts: Overthinking in LLM Test-Time Compute Scalingcited by 13
- 2025Read Your Own Mind: Reasoning Helps Surface Self-Confidence Signals in LLMscited by 10
- 2025Always Tell Me The Odds: Fine-grained Conditional Probability Estimationcited by 9
- 2026Conformal Thinking: Risk Control for Reasoning on a Compute Budgetcited by 9
- 2026FaithRL: Learning to Reason Faithfully through Step-Level Faithfulness Maximizationcited by 3
- 2026Unified Multimodal Uncertain Inferencecited by 3
- 2025Follow the Path: Reasoning over Knowledge Graph Paths to Improve Large Language Model Factualitycited by 1
5 more
- 2025Knowledge Fusion via Bidirectional Information Aggregationcited by 1
- 2025Seeing Through the MiRAGE: Evaluating Multimodal Retrieval Augmented Generationcited by 1
- 2026Process Supervision of Confidence Margin for Calibrated LLM Reasoningcited by 1
- 2026Configurable Reward Model for Balanced Safety Alignmentcited by 0
- 2026FrankenReport: Early Exiting in Long-Form Generation Using Expected Value of Computationcited by 0
- 2026FrankenReport: Early Exiting in Long-Form Generation Using Expected Value of Computation6 Sep 2026
- 2026Configurable Reward Model for Balanced Safety Alignment28 May 2026
- 2026Process Supervision of Confidence Margin for Calibrated LLM Reasoning25 Apr 2026
- 2026When More Thinking Hurts: Overthinking in LLM Test-Time Compute Scaling12 Apr 2026
- 2026Unified Multimodal Uncertain Inference9 Apr 2026
- 2026Conformal Thinking: Risk Control for Reasoning on a Compute Budget3 Feb 2026
- 2026FaithRL: Learning to Reason Faithfully through Step-Level Faithfulness Maximization3 Feb 2026
- 2025Seeing Through the MiRAGE: Evaluating Multimodal Retrieval Augmented Generation28 Oct 2025
- 2025Entropy After </Think> for reasoning model early exiting30 Sep 2025
- 2025What Characterizes Effective Reasoning? Revisiting Length, Review, and Structure of CoT23 Sep 2025
- 2025Knowledge Fusion via Bidirectional Information Aggregation11 Jul 2025
- 2025Read Your Own Mind: Reasoning Helps Surface Self-Confidence Signals in LLMs28 May 2025
5 more
- 2025Rank-K: Test-Time Reasoning for Listwise Reranking20 May 2025
- 2025Follow the Path: Reasoning over Knowledge Graph Paths to Improve Large Language Model Factuality16 May 2025
- 2025Always Tell Me The Odds: Fine-grained Conditional Probability Estimation2 May 2025
- 2025WikiVideo: Article Generation from Multiple Videos1 Apr 2025
- 2025Rank1: Test-Time Compute for Reranking in Information Retrieval25 Feb 2025
- 2025Rank1: Test-Time Compute for Reranking in Information Retrievalcited by 68
- 2025Rank-K: Test-Time Reasoning for Listwise Rerankingcited by 28
- 2025What Characterizes Effective Reasoning? Revisiting Length, Review, and Structure of CoTcited by 24
- 2025Entropy After </Think> for reasoning model early exitingcited by 24
- 2026When More Thinking Hurts: Overthinking in LLM Test-Time Compute Scalingcited by 13
- 2025Read Your Own Mind: Reasoning Helps Surface Self-Confidence Signals in LLMscited by 10
- 2026Conformal Thinking: Risk Control for Reasoning on a Compute Budgetcited by 9
- 2026FaithRL: Learning to Reason Faithfully through Step-Level Faithfulness Maximizationcited by 3
- 2025Follow the Path: Reasoning over Knowledge Graph Paths to Improve Large Language Model Factualitycited by 1
- 2026Process Supervision of Confidence Margin for Calibrated LLM Reasoningcited by 1
- 2026Process Supervision of Confidence Margin for Calibrated LLM Reasoning25 Apr 2026
- 2026When More Thinking Hurts: Overthinking in LLM Test-Time Compute Scaling12 Apr 2026
- 2026Conformal Thinking: Risk Control for Reasoning on a Compute Budget3 Feb 2026
- 2026FaithRL: Learning to Reason Faithfully through Step-Level Faithfulness Maximization3 Feb 2026
- 2025Entropy After </Think> for reasoning model early exiting30 Sep 2025
- 2025What Characterizes Effective Reasoning? Revisiting Length, Review, and Structure of CoT23 Sep 2025
- 2025Read Your Own Mind: Reasoning Helps Surface Self-Confidence Signals in LLMs28 May 2025
- 2025Rank-K: Test-Time Reasoning for Listwise Reranking20 May 2025
- 2025Follow the Path: Reasoning over Knowledge Graph Paths to Improve Large Language Model Factuality16 May 2025
- 2025Rank1: Test-Time Compute for Reranking in Information Retrieval25 Feb 2025
- 2026Configurable Reward Model for Balanced Safety Alignmentcited by 0
- 2026Configurable Reward Model for Balanced Safety Alignment28 May 2026
- 2025Always Tell Me The Odds: Fine-grained Conditional Probability Estimationcited by 9
- 2026Unified Multimodal Uncertain Inferencecited by 3
- 2025Knowledge Fusion via Bidirectional Information Aggregationcited by 1
- 2026Unified Multimodal Uncertain Inference9 Apr 2026
- 2025Knowledge Fusion via Bidirectional Information Aggregation11 Jul 2025
- 2025Always Tell Me The Odds: Fine-grained Conditional Probability Estimation2 May 2025
Similar, not cited
Close in wording, no citation either way
- 2025The Art of Scaling Test-Time Compute for Large Language Models
- 2025Are We Scaling the Right Thing? A System Perspective on Test-Time Scaling
- 2024Keep Guessing? When Considering Inference Scaling, Mind the Baselines
- 2025Test-Time Scaling in Reasoning Models Is Not Effective for Knowledge-Intensive Tasks Yet
- 2025Rethinking Inference-Time Scaling: Efficiency Limits and Linguistic Signals
- 2025Input-Time Scaling: Adding Noise and Irrelevance into Less-Is-More Drastically Improves Reasoning Performance and Efficiency
- 2025First Finish Search: Efficient Test-Time Scaling in Large Language Models
- 2026Efficient Test-Time Scaling via Temporal Reasoning Aggregation