mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Is That Your Final Answer? Test-Time Scaling Improves Selective Question Answering

arXiv 2502.13962 ↗First posted 19 Feb 2025cs.CLcited by 17

On the map: LLM reasoning → Test-time compute and efficient thinking

Abstract (arXiv)

Scaling the test-time compute of large language models has demonstrated impressive performance on reasoning benchmarks. However, existing evaluations of test-time scaling make the strong assumption that a reasoning system should always give an answer to any question provided. This overlooks concerns about whether a model is confident in its answer, and whether it is appropriate to always provide a response. To address these concerns, we extract confidence scores during reasoning for thresholding model responses. We find that increasing compute budget at inference time not only helps models answer more questions correctly, but also increases confidence in correct responses. We then extend the current paradigm of zero-risk responses during evaluation by considering settings with non-zero levels of response risk, and suggest a recipe for reporting evaluations under these settings.

Key facts. Cited by 17 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Test-time compute and efficient thinking, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 18 of its 24 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 19 Feb 2025.

Builds on

18 of 24 references.

Closest ancestors · 3

Same direction, newest first

  1. 2025s1: Simple test-time scaling31 Jan
  2. 2024Scaling LLM Test-Time Compute Optimally can be More Effective than Scaling Model Parameters6 Aug
  3. 2024Inference Scaling Laws: An Empirical Analysis of Compute-Optimal Inference for Problem-Solving with Language Models1 Aug

Other references · 15

  1. 2023Efficient Memory Management for Large Language Model Serving with PagedAttentioncited by 5,767
  2. 2023GPQA: A Graduate-Level Google-Proof Q&A Benchmarkcited by 2,748
  3. 2018Know What You Don't Know: Unanswerable Questions for SQuADcited by 1,538
  4. 2017Selective Classification for Deep Neural Networkscited by 799
  5. 2024Measuring short-form factuality in large language modelscited by 345
  6. 2020Consistent Estimators for Learning to Defer to an Expertcited by 262
  7. 2020Selective Question Answering under Domain Shiftcited by 228
  8. 2022Out-of-Distribution Detection and Selective Generation for Conditional Language Modelscited by 193
  9. 2015Cost Sensitive Learning of Deep Feature Representations from Imbalanced Datacited by 167
  10. 2023Hypothesis Search: Inductive Reasoning with Language Modelscited by 119
  11. 2022Learning to Defer to Multiple Experts: Consistent Surrogate Losses, Confidence Calibration, and Conformal Ensemblescited by 59
  12. 2024Combining Induction and Transduction for Abstract Reasoningcited by 53
3 more
  1. 2019Quizbowl: The Case for Incremental Question Answeringcited by 36
  2. 2023Learn to Refuse: Making Large Language Models More Controllable and Reliable through Knowledge Scope Limitation and Refusal Mechanismcited by 33
  3. 2019What Question Answering can Learn from Trivia Nerdscited by 21

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  1. 2025The Art of Scaling Test-Time Compute for Large Language Models
  2. 2025Are We Scaling the Right Thing? A System Perspective on Test-Time Scaling
  3. 2024Keep Guessing? When Considering Inference Scaling, Mind the Baselines
  4. 2025Test-Time Scaling in Reasoning Models Is Not Effective for Knowledge-Intensive Tasks Yet
  5. 2025Rethinking Inference-Time Scaling: Efficiency Limits and Linguistic Signals
  6. 2025Input-Time Scaling: Adding Noise and Irrelevance into Less-Is-More Drastically Improves Reasoning Performance and Efficiency
  7. 2025First Finish Search: Efficient Test-Time Scaling in Large Language Models
  8. 2026Efficient Test-Time Scaling via Temporal Reasoning Aggregation