Toward Universal Laws of Outlier Propagation
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Abstract (arXiv)
When a variety of anomalous features motivate flagging different samples as outliers, Algorithmic Information Theory (AIT) offers a principled way to unify them in terms of a sample's randomness deficiency. Subject to the algorithmic Markov condition on a causal Bayesian network, we show that the randomness deficiency of a joint sample decomposes into a sum of randomness deficiencies at each causal mechanism. Consequently, anomalous observations can be attributed to their root causes, i.e., the mechanisms that behaved anomalously. As an extension of Levin's law of randomness conservation, we show that weak outliers cannot cause strong ones. We show how these information theoretic laws clarify our understanding of outlier detection and attribution, in the context of more specialized outlier scores from prior literature.
Key facts. Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 11 of its 58 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 12 Feb 2025.
Builds on
11 of 58 references.
References · 11
- 2022Game-theoretic statistics and safe anytime-valid inferencecited by 145
- 2021Testing for Outliers with Conformal p-valuescited by 133
- 2019Safe Testingcited by 98
- 2024Hypothesis testing with e-valuescited by 70
- 2019Causal structure based root cause analysis of outlierscited by 65
- 2022Causal Inference-Based Root Cause Analysis for Online Service Systems with Intervention Recognitioncited by 55
- 2024Root Cause Analysis of Outliers with Missing Structural Knowledgecited by 19
- 2022Backtracking Counterfactualscited by 15
- 2024Root cause discovery via permutations and Cholesky decompositioncited by 11
- 2021The Implications of the No-Free-Lunch Theorems for Meta-inductioncited by 6
- 2019Non-algorithmic theory of randomnesscited by 2
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Citing papers per year: 2026: 3.
3 papers.
- 2026Formalizing and falsifying causal pathways of rare eventscited by 0
- 2026Falsifying Causal Graphs With Outlier Eventscited by 0
- 2026Understanding Generalization Requires Universal Inductioncited by 0
- 2026Understanding Generalization Requires Universal Induction28 Sep 2026
- 2026Falsifying Causal Graphs With Outlier Events13 Jul 2026
- 2026Formalizing and falsifying causal pathways of rare events29 May 2026