Analyzing Temporal Complex Events with Large Language Models? A Benchmark towards Temporal, Long Context Understanding
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Abstract (arXiv)
The digital landscape is rapidly evolving with an ever-increasing volume of online news, emphasizing the need for swift and precise analysis of complex events. We refer to the complex events composed of many news articles over an extended period as Temporal Complex Event (TCE). This paper proposes a novel approach using Large Language Models (LLMs) to systematically extract and analyze the event chain within TCE, characterized by their key points and timestamps. We establish a benchmark, named TCELongBench, to evaluate the proficiency of LLMs in handling temporal dynamics and understanding extensive text. This benchmark encompasses three distinct tasks - reading comprehension, temporal sequencing, and future event forecasting. In the experiment, we leverage retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) method and LLMs with long context window to deal with lengthy news articles of TCE. Our findings indicate that models with suitable retrievers exhibit comparable performance with those utilizing long context window.
Key facts. Cited by 23 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 19 of its 33 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 4 Jun 2024.
Builds on
19 of 33 references.
References · 19
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- 2023Lost in the Middle: How Language Models Use Long Contextscited by 3,383
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Citing papers per year: 2024: 7; 2025: 9; 2026: 7.
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- 2024MIRAI: Evaluating LLM Agents for Event Forecastingcited by 40
- 2025LLM-as-a-Prophet: Understanding Predictive Intelligence with Prophet Arenacited by 36
- 2024Are LLMs Prescient? A Continuous Evaluation using Daily News as the Oraclecited by 19
- 2024Bridging Context Gaps: Leveraging Coreference Resolution for Long Contextual Understandingcited by 16
- 2025Debate, Reflect, and Distill: Multi-Agent Feedback with Tree-Structured Preference Optimization for Efficient Language Model Enhancementcited by 10
- 2025Agent Trading Arena: A Study on Numerical Understanding in LLM-Based Agentscited by 9
- 2024ChroKnowledge: Unveiling Chronological Knowledge of Language Models in Multiple Domainscited by 7
- 2025MINED: Probing and Updating with Multimodal Time-Sensitive Knowledge for Large Multimodal Modelscited by 7
- 2025T-GRAG: A Dynamic GraphRAG Framework for Resolving Temporal Conflicts and Redundancy in Knowledge Retrievalcited by 6
- 2024Enhancing Temporal Understanding in Audio Question Answering for Large Audio Language Modelscited by 5
- 2024MM-Forecast: A Multimodal Approach to Temporal Event Forecasting with Large Language Modelscited by 4
- 2025Reading Between the Timelines: RAG for Answering Diachronic Questionscited by 4
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- 2025AttackSeqBench: Benchmarking the Capabilities of LLMs for Attack Sequences Understandingcited by 3
- 2024DTELS: Towards Dynamic Granularity of Timeline Summarizationcited by 2
- 2025LiveLongBench: Tackling Long-Context Understanding for Spoken Texts from Live Streamscited by 2
- 2026ThinkTank-ME: A Multi-Expert Framework for Middle East Event Forecastingcited by 2
- 2025Evaluating List Construction and Temporal Understanding capabilities of Large Language Modelscited by 1
- 2026Temporal Text Classification with Large Language Modelscited by 0
- 2026Event-Centric Human Value Understanding in News-Domain Texts: An Actor-Conditioned, Multi-Granularity Benchmarkcited by 0
- 2026Can Structural Cues Save LLMs? Evaluating Language Models in Massive Document Streamscited by 0
- 2026Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanismscited by 0
- 2026From Single- to Cross-Document: Benchmarking Multi-Granularity Event Analysis of Large Language Modelscited by 0
- 2026Two Heads Are Better Than One: Aggregating Weaker LLMs for Better Forecastscited by 0
- 2026Two Heads Are Better Than One: Aggregating Weaker LLMs for Better Forecasts27 Sep 2026
- 2026From Single- to Cross-Document: Benchmarking Multi-Granularity Event Analysis of Large Language Models30 Jul 2026
- 2026Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms5 Jul 2026
- 2026Event-Centric Human Value Understanding in News-Domain Texts: An Actor-Conditioned, Multi-Granularity Benchmark18 Mar 2026
- 2026Temporal Text Classification with Large Language Models11 Mar 2026
- 2026Can Structural Cues Save LLMs? Evaluating Language Models in Massive Document Streams25 Feb 2026
- 2026ThinkTank-ME: A Multi-Expert Framework for Middle East Event Forecasting22 Jan 2026
- 2025MINED: Probing and Updating with Multimodal Time-Sensitive Knowledge for Large Multimodal Models22 Oct 2025
- 2025LLM-as-a-Prophet: Understanding Predictive Intelligence with Prophet Arena20 Oct 2025
- 2025T-GRAG: A Dynamic GraphRAG Framework for Resolving Temporal Conflicts and Redundancy in Knowledge Retrieval3 Aug 2025
- 2025Reading Between the Timelines: RAG for Answering Diachronic Questions21 Jul 2025
- 2025Evaluating List Construction and Temporal Understanding capabilities of Large Language Models26 Jun 2025
11 more
- 2025Debate, Reflect, and Distill: Multi-Agent Feedback with Tree-Structured Preference Optimization for Efficient Language Model Enhancement4 Jun 2025
- 2025LiveLongBench: Tackling Long-Context Understanding for Spoken Texts from Live Streams24 Apr 2025
- 2025AttackSeqBench: Benchmarking the Capabilities of LLMs for Attack Sequences Understanding5 Mar 2025
- 2025Agent Trading Arena: A Study on Numerical Understanding in LLM-Based Agents25 Feb 2025
- 2024DTELS: Towards Dynamic Granularity of Timeline Summarization14 Nov 2024
- 2024Are LLMs Prescient? A Continuous Evaluation using Daily News as the Oracle13 Nov 2024
- 2024ChroKnowledge: Unveiling Chronological Knowledge of Language Models in Multiple Domains13 Oct 2024
- 2024Bridging Context Gaps: Leveraging Coreference Resolution for Long Contextual Understanding2 Oct 2024
- 2024Enhancing Temporal Understanding in Audio Question Answering for Large Audio Language Models10 Sep 2024
- 2024MM-Forecast: A Multimodal Approach to Temporal Event Forecasting with Large Language Models8 Aug 2024
- 2024MIRAI: Evaluating LLM Agents for Event Forecasting1 Jul 2024
- 2025LLM-as-a-Prophet: Understanding Predictive Intelligence with Prophet Arenacited by 36
- 2024Are LLMs Prescient? A Continuous Evaluation using Daily News as the Oraclecited by 19
- 2024Bridging Context Gaps: Leveraging Coreference Resolution for Long Contextual Understandingcited by 16
- 2024ChroKnowledge: Unveiling Chronological Knowledge of Language Models in Multiple Domainscited by 7
- 2024Enhancing Temporal Understanding in Audio Question Answering for Large Audio Language Modelscited by 5
- 2024MM-Forecast: A Multimodal Approach to Temporal Event Forecasting with Large Language Modelscited by 4
- 2025AttackSeqBench: Benchmarking the Capabilities of LLMs for Attack Sequences Understandingcited by 3
- 2024DTELS: Towards Dynamic Granularity of Timeline Summarizationcited by 2
- 2025LiveLongBench: Tackling Long-Context Understanding for Spoken Texts from Live Streamscited by 2
- 2025Evaluating List Construction and Temporal Understanding capabilities of Large Language Modelscited by 1
- 2026Temporal Text Classification with Large Language Modelscited by 0
- 2026Event-Centric Human Value Understanding in News-Domain Texts: An Actor-Conditioned, Multi-Granularity Benchmarkcited by 0
12 most cited of 16 All 16 (JSON)
- 2026Two Heads Are Better Than One: Aggregating Weaker LLMs for Better Forecasts27 Sep 2026
- 2026From Single- to Cross-Document: Benchmarking Multi-Granularity Event Analysis of Large Language Models30 Jul 2026
- 2026Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms5 Jul 2026
- 2026Event-Centric Human Value Understanding in News-Domain Texts: An Actor-Conditioned, Multi-Granularity Benchmark18 Mar 2026
- 2026Temporal Text Classification with Large Language Models11 Mar 2026
- 2026Can Structural Cues Save LLMs? Evaluating Language Models in Massive Document Streams25 Feb 2026
- 2025LLM-as-a-Prophet: Understanding Predictive Intelligence with Prophet Arena20 Oct 2025
- 2025Evaluating List Construction and Temporal Understanding capabilities of Large Language Models26 Jun 2025
- 2025LiveLongBench: Tackling Long-Context Understanding for Spoken Texts from Live Streams24 Apr 2025
- 2025AttackSeqBench: Benchmarking the Capabilities of LLMs for Attack Sequences Understanding5 Mar 2025
- 2024DTELS: Towards Dynamic Granularity of Timeline Summarization14 Nov 2024
- 2024Are LLMs Prescient? A Continuous Evaluation using Daily News as the Oracle13 Nov 2024
12 newest of 16 All 16 (JSON)
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