Plasma Surrogate Modelling using Fourier Neural Operators
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Abstract (arXiv)
Predicting plasma evolution within a Tokamak reactor is crucial to realizing the goal of sustainable fusion. Capabilities in forecasting the spatio-temporal evolution of plasma rapidly and accurately allow us to quickly iterate over design and control strategies on current Tokamak devices and future reactors. Modelling plasma evolution using numerical solvers is often expensive, consuming many hours on supercomputers, and hence, we need alternative inexpensive surrogate models. We demonstrate accurate predictions of plasma evolution both in simulation and experimental domains using deep learning-based surrogate modelling tools, viz., Fourier Neural Operators (FNO). We show that FNO has a speedup of six orders of magnitude over traditional solvers in predicting the plasma dynamics simulated from magnetohydrodynamic models, while maintaining a high accuracy (MSE in the normalised domain ≈ 10-5). Our modified version of the FNO is capable of solving multi-variable Partial Differential Equations (PDE), and can capture the dependence among the different variables in a single model. FNOs can also predict plasma evolution on real-world experimental data observed by the cameras positioned within the MAST Tokamak, i.e., cameras looking across the central solenoid and the divertor in the Tokamak. We show that FNOs are able to accurately forecast the evolution of plasma and have the potential to be deployed for real-time monitoring. We also illustrate their capability in forecasting the plasma shape, the locations of interactions of the plasma with the central solenoid and the divertor for the full (available) duration of the plasma shot within MAST. The FNO offers a viable alternative for surrogate modelling as it is quick to train and infer, and requires fewer data points, while being able to do zero-shot super-resolution and getting high-fidelity solutions.
Key facts. Cited by 29 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 18 of its 48 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 10 Nov 2023.
Builds on
18 of 48 references.
References · 18
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- 2023Multi-Grid Tensorized Fourier Neural Operator for High-Resolution PDEscited by 66
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6 more
- 2023Fast Dynamic 1D Simulation of Divertor Plasmas with Neural PDE Surrogatescited by 9
- 2022Can neural networks extrapolate? Discussion of a theorem by Pedro Domingoscited by 6
- 2023Autoregressive Renaissance in Neural PDE Solverscited by 5
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Citing papers per year: 2024: 3; 2025: 16; 2026: 10.
29 papers.
Sort:
- 2025PhysiX: A Foundation Model for Physics Simulationscited by 21
- 2025Probabilistic neural operators for functional uncertainty quantificationcited by 17
- 2025Operator Learning: A Statistical Perspectivecited by 14
- 2024Uncertainty Quantification of Surrogate Models using Conformal Predictioncited by 11
- 2025Principled Approaches for Extending Neural Architectures to Function Spaces for Operator Learningcited by 11
- 2025Calibrated Physics-Informed Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 8
- 2025Enhancing Fourier Neural Operators with Local Spatial Featurescited by 8
- 2025Guaranteed prediction sets for functional surrogate modelscited by 7
- 2025When is a System Discoverable from Data? Discovery Requires Chaoscited by 6
- 2026CTF4Nuclear: Common Task Framework for Nuclear Fission and Fusion Modelscited by 4
- 2024Accelerating Simulation of Two-Phase Flows with Neural PDE Surrogatescited by 3
- 2025Robust Confinement State Classification with Uncertainty Quantification through Ensembled Data-Driven Methodscited by 2
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- 2025Plasma State Monitoring and Disruption Characterization using Multimodal VAEscited by 2
- 2025MD-PNOP: Equation-Recast Neural Operators for Minimal-Data Extrapolation and PDE Solver Accelerationcited by 2
- 2025Autoregressive long-horizon prediction of plasma edge dynamicscited by 1
- 2026Surrogate Modeling for Neutron Transport: A Neural Operator Approachcited by 1
- 2026Learning Physical Operators using Neural Operatorscited by 1
- 2024Efficient Probabilistic Modeling of Crystallization at Mesoscopic Scalecited by 0
- 2025Hybrid Fourier Neural Operator-Plasma Fluid Model for Fast and Accurate Multiscale Simulations of High Power Microwave Breakdowncited by 0
- 2025TGLF-WINN: Data-Efficient Deep Learning Surrogate for Turbulent Transport Modeling in Fusioncited by 0
- 2025Leveraging AI modelling for FDS with Simvue: monitor and optimise for more sustainable simulationscited by 0
- 2025From Black Hole to Galaxy: Neural Operator: Framework for Accretion and Feedback Dynamicscited by 0
- 2026Deterministic and probabilistic neural surrogates of global hybrid-Vlasov simulationscited by 0
- 2026Convolution Operator Network for Forward and Inverse Problems (FI-Conv): Application to Plasma Turbulence Simulationscited by 0
- 2026Isotropic Fourier Neural Operatorscited by 0
- 2026Deep Wave Network for Modeling Multi-Scale Physical Dynamicscited by 0
- 2026Explainable quantum-compressed machine learning for complex fluid flowscited by 0
- 2026Physics Attention Transformer Surrogate for Rapid Vertical Instability Growth Rate Prediction: Alcator C-Mod to SPARCcited by 0
- 2026PTNO: Training Neural Operators with Noisy Monte Carlo Estimates for Particle Transport Problemscited by 0
- 2026PTNO: Training Neural Operators with Noisy Monte Carlo Estimates for Particle Transport Problems30 Sep 2026
- 2026Physics Attention Transformer Surrogate for Rapid Vertical Instability Growth Rate Prediction: Alcator C-Mod to SPARC25 Aug 2026
- 2026Explainable quantum-compressed machine learning for complex fluid flows23 Jul 2026
- 2026CTF4Nuclear: Common Task Framework for Nuclear Fission and Fusion Models15 May 2026
- 2026Deep Wave Network for Modeling Multi-Scale Physical Dynamics5 May 2026
- 2026Isotropic Fourier Neural Operators4 May 2026
- 2026Learning Physical Operators using Neural Operators26 Feb 2026
- 2026Surrogate Modeling for Neutron Transport: A Neural Operator Approach7 Feb 2026
- 2026Convolution Operator Network for Forward and Inverse Problems (FI-Conv): Application to Plasma Turbulence Simulations4 Feb 2026
- 2026Deterministic and probabilistic neural surrogates of global hybrid-Vlasov simulations18 Jan 2026
- 2025Autoregressive long-horizon prediction of plasma edge dynamics29 Dec 2025
- 2025From Black Hole to Galaxy: Neural Operator: Framework for Accretion and Feedback Dynamics1 Dec 2025
17 more
- 2025When is a System Discoverable from Data? Discovery Requires Chaos12 Nov 2025
- 2025Leveraging AI modelling for FDS with Simvue: monitor and optimise for more sustainable simulations30 Sep 2025
- 2025TGLF-WINN: Data-Efficient Deep Learning Surrogate for Turbulent Transport Modeling in Fusion7 Sep 2025
- 2025Hybrid Fourier Neural Operator-Plasma Fluid Model for Fast and Accurate Multiscale Simulations of High Power Microwave Breakdown6 Sep 2025
- 2025MD-PNOP: Equation-Recast Neural Operators for Minimal-Data Extrapolation and PDE Solver Acceleration1 Sep 2025
- 2025PhysiX: A Foundation Model for Physics Simulations21 Jun 2025
- 2025Principled Approaches for Extending Neural Architectures to Function Spaces for Operator Learning12 Jun 2025
- 2025Plasma State Monitoring and Disruption Characterization using Multimodal VAEs24 Apr 2025
- 2025Operator Learning: A Statistical Perspective4 Apr 2025
- 2025Enhancing Fourier Neural Operators with Local Spatial Features22 Mar 2025
- 2025Robust Confinement State Classification with Uncertainty Quantification through Ensembled Data-Driven Methods24 Feb 2025
- 2025Probabilistic neural operators for functional uncertainty quantification18 Feb 2025
- 2025Calibrated Physics-Informed Uncertainty Quantification6 Feb 2025
- 2025Guaranteed prediction sets for functional surrogate models30 Jan 2025
- 2024Uncertainty Quantification of Surrogate Models using Conformal Prediction19 Aug 2024
- 2024Accelerating Simulation of Two-Phase Flows with Neural PDE Surrogates27 May 2024
- 2024Efficient Probabilistic Modeling of Crystallization at Mesoscopic Scale26 May 2024
- 2025PhysiX: A Foundation Model for Physics Simulationscited by 21
- 2025Probabilistic neural operators for functional uncertainty quantificationcited by 17
- 2025Operator Learning: A Statistical Perspectivecited by 14
- 2024Uncertainty Quantification of Surrogate Models using Conformal Predictioncited by 11
- 2025Principled Approaches for Extending Neural Architectures to Function Spaces for Operator Learningcited by 11
- 2025Calibrated Physics-Informed Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 8
- 2025Enhancing Fourier Neural Operators with Local Spatial Featurescited by 8
- 2025Guaranteed prediction sets for functional surrogate modelscited by 7
- 2025When is a System Discoverable from Data? Discovery Requires Chaoscited by 6
- 2026CTF4Nuclear: Common Task Framework for Nuclear Fission and Fusion Modelscited by 4
- 2024Accelerating Simulation of Two-Phase Flows with Neural PDE Surrogatescited by 3
- 2025Robust Confinement State Classification with Uncertainty Quantification through Ensembled Data-Driven Methodscited by 2
12 most cited of 29 All 29 (JSON)
- 2026PTNO: Training Neural Operators with Noisy Monte Carlo Estimates for Particle Transport Problems30 Sep 2026
- 2026Physics Attention Transformer Surrogate for Rapid Vertical Instability Growth Rate Prediction: Alcator C-Mod to SPARC25 Aug 2026
- 2026Explainable quantum-compressed machine learning for complex fluid flows23 Jul 2026
- 2026CTF4Nuclear: Common Task Framework for Nuclear Fission and Fusion Models15 May 2026
- 2026Deep Wave Network for Modeling Multi-Scale Physical Dynamics5 May 2026
- 2026Isotropic Fourier Neural Operators4 May 2026
- 2026Learning Physical Operators using Neural Operators26 Feb 2026
- 2026Surrogate Modeling for Neutron Transport: A Neural Operator Approach7 Feb 2026
- 2026Convolution Operator Network for Forward and Inverse Problems (FI-Conv): Application to Plasma Turbulence Simulations4 Feb 2026
- 2026Deterministic and probabilistic neural surrogates of global hybrid-Vlasov simulations18 Jan 2026
- 2025Autoregressive long-horizon prediction of plasma edge dynamics29 Dec 2025
- 2025From Black Hole to Galaxy: Neural Operator: Framework for Accretion and Feedback Dynamics1 Dec 2025
12 newest of 29 All 29 (JSON)