Deep anytime-valid hypothesis testing
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Abstract (arXiv)
We propose a general framework for constructing powerful, sequential hypothesis tests for a large class of nonparametric testing problems. The null hypothesis for these problems is defined in an abstract form using the action of two known operators on the data distribution. This abstraction allows for a unified treatment of several classical tasks, such as two-sample testing, independence testing, and conditional-independence testing, as well as modern problems, such as testing for adversarial robustness of machine learning (ML) models. Our proposed framework has the following advantages over classical batch tests: 1) it continuously monitors online data streams and efficiently aggregates evidence against the null, 2) it provides tight control over the type I error without the need for multiple testing correction, 3) it adapts the sample size requirement to the unknown hardness of the problem. We develop a principled approach of leveraging the representation capability of ML models within the testing-by-betting framework, a game-theoretic approach for designing sequential tests. Empirical results on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that tests instantiated using our general framework are competitive against specialized baselines on several tasks.
Key facts. Cited by 7 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 16 of its 37 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 30 Oct 2023.
Builds on
16 of 37 references.
References · 16
- 2015Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognitioncited by 51,809
- 2014Explaining and Harnessing Adversarial Examplescited by 7,287
- 2013Intriguing properties of neural networkscited by 5,114
- 2018Neural Tangent Kernel: Convergence and Generalization in Neural Networkscited by 2,597
- 2016Revisiting Classifier Two-Sample Testscited by 258
- 2022Game-theoretic statistics and safe anytime-valid inferencecited by 145
- 2016Panning for Gold: Model-X Knockoffs for High-dimensional Controlled Variable Selectioncited by 120
- 2019Safe Testingcited by 98
- 2015Fast Two-Sample Testing with Analytic Representations of Probability Measurescited by 53
- 2021There are natural scores: Full comment on Shafer, "Testing by betting: A strategy for statistical and scientific communication"cited by 49
- 2016Classification accuracy as a proxy for two sample testingcited by 39
- 2021Nonparametric Two-Sample Testing by Bettingcited by 36
4 more
- 2023Sequential Predictive Two-Sample and Independence Testingcited by 20
- 2022Sequential Kernelized Independence Testingcited by 15
- 2022Model-X Sequential Testing for Conditional Independence via Testing by Bettingcited by 14
- 2022E-Valuating Classifier Two-Sample Testscited by 10
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2024: 2; 2025: 2; 2026: 3.
7 papers.
- 2024Online Detection of LLM-Generated Texts via Sequential Hypothesis Testing by Bettingcited by 11
- 2025On Continuous Monitoring of Risk Violations under Unknown Shiftcited by 9
- 2024An Auditing Test To Detect Behavioral Shift in Language Modelscited by 8
- 2025Optimistic Interior Point Methods for Sequential Hypothesis Testing by Bettingcited by 4
- 2026Sequential Kernel-based Conditional Independence Testing via Adaptive Bettingcited by 0
- 2026A complete characterization of sequential testability and change detectability in i.i.d. modelscited by 0
- 2026Evidence-Gated Research: Statistically Controlled Model Adoption in Adaptive Searchcited by 0
- 2026Evidence-Gated Research: Statistically Controlled Model Adoption in Adaptive Search1 Oct 2026
- 2026A complete characterization of sequential testability and change detectability in i.i.d. models4 Sep 2026
- 2026Sequential Kernel-based Conditional Independence Testing via Adaptive Betting17 Jun 2026
- 2025On Continuous Monitoring of Risk Violations under Unknown Shift19 Jun 2025
- 2025Optimistic Interior Point Methods for Sequential Hypothesis Testing by Betting11 Feb 2025
- 2024Online Detection of LLM-Generated Texts via Sequential Hypothesis Testing by Betting29 Oct 2024
- 2024An Auditing Test To Detect Behavioral Shift in Language Models25 Oct 2024