mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

A complete characterization of sequential testability and change detectability in i.i.d. models

arXiv 2609.05752 ↗First posted 4 Sep 2026math.ST cs.IT eess.SPcited by 1

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Abstract (arXiv)

We give a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of power-one sequential tests in an i.i.d. composite testing problem. A level-(α) test with power one against every alternative exists if and only if the alternatives are separated from the null by a countable family of finite-block events. We provide other equivalent conditions using randomized fixed-sample tests, bounded finite-block scores, e-processes, reduced-filtration test supermartingales, and a countable cover whose finite-block weak-* closed convex hulls are positively separated in total variation. As a bonus, the constructive proof yields tests have pointwise expected sample size (OQ(log(1/α))). Exactly the same conditions also characterize i.i.d. change detectability under optional-horizon average-run-length control: for every (η>0), they are equivalent to an alarm family ((Tγ)γ≥1) satisfying (ProbP^∞(Tγ≤σ)≤ EP^∞σ/γ) for every null law and every stopping time (σ). In fact, when these conditions hold, we can construct a single e-detector such that every null-law average run length lies between (γ) and ((1+η)γ+1), and having robust Lorden delay (OQ(logγ)).

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 19 of its 47 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 4 Sep 2026.

Builds on

19 of 47 references.

References · 19

  1. 2018Time-uniform, nonparametric, nonasymptotic confidence sequencescited by 229
  2. 2022Game-theoretic statistics and safe anytime-valid inferencecited by 155
  3. 2019Safe Testingcited by 101
  4. 2021Nonparametric Two-Sample Testing by Bettingcited by 37
  5. 2022E-detectors: a nonparametric framework for sequential change detectioncited by 32
  6. 2023Sequential Predictive Two-Sample and Independence Testingcited by 21
  7. 2022Sequential Kernelized Independence Testingcited by 16
  8. 2022Model-X Sequential Testing for Conditional Independence via Testing by Bettingcited by 14
  9. 2022A composite generalization of Ville's martingale theorem using e-processescited by 10
  10. 2023Reducing sequential change detection to sequential estimationcited by 10
  11. 2023Deep anytime-valid hypothesis testingcited by 7
  12. 2025On Stopping Times of Power-one Sequential Tests: Tight Lower and Upper Boundscited by 7
7 more
  1. 2026Asymptotically optimal sequential change detection for bounded meanscited by 4
  2. 2023A Rank-Based Sequential Test of Independencecited by 3
  3. 2023On the existence of powerful p-values and e-values for composite hypothesescited by 1
  4. 2026The optimal betting wealth growth ratecited by 1
  5. 2026Strong duality for the GROW criterioncited by 1
  6. 2026Non-partitioned e-detectors for nonparametric sequential change detectioncited by 1
  7. 2026Universality of e-detectors for ARL controlcited by 1

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