From Dissonance to Insights: Dissecting Disagreements in Rationale Construction for Case Outcome Classification
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Abstract (arXiv)
In legal NLP, Case Outcome Classification (COC) must not only be accurate but also trustworthy and explainable. Existing work in explainable COC has been limited to annotations by a single expert. However, it is well-known that lawyers may disagree in their assessment of case facts. We hence collect a novel dataset RAVE: Rationale Variation in ECHR1, which is obtained from two experts in the domain of international human rights law, for whom we observe weak agreement. We study their disagreements and build a two-level task-independent taxonomy, supplemented with COC-specific subcategories. To our knowledge, this is the first work in the legal NLP that focuses on human label variation. We quantitatively assess different taxonomy categories and find that disagreements mainly stem from underspecification of the legal context, which poses challenges given the typically limited granularity and noise in COC metadata. We further assess the explainablility of SOTA COC models on RAVE and observe limited agreement between models and experts. Overall, our case study reveals hitherto underappreciated complexities in creating benchmark datasets in legal NLP that revolve around identifying aspects of a case's facts supposedly relevant to its outcome.
Key facts. Cited by 14 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 16 of its 45 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 18 Oct 2023.
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16 of 45 references.
References · 16
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4 more
- 2022Deconfounding Legal Judgment Prediction for European Court of Human Rights Cases Towards Better Alignment with Expertscited by 24
- 2022On the Role of Negative Precedent in Legal Outcome Predictioncited by 16
- 2023Leveraging Task Dependency and Contrastive Learning for Case Outcome Classification on European Court of Human Rights Casescited by 12
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Citing papers per year: 2024: 9; 2025: 3; 2026: 2.
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- 2026Beyond Consensus: Perspectivist Modeling and Evaluation of Annotator Disagreement in NLPcited by 13
- 2024Which Demographics do LLMs Default to During Annotation?cited by 10
- 2024Through the Lens of Split Vote: Exploring Disagreement, Difficulty and Calibration in Legal Case Outcome Classificationcited by 9
- 2024LexAbSumm: Aspect-based Summarization of Legal Decisionscited by 9
- 2024Towards Explainability and Fairness in Swiss Judgement Prediction: Benchmarking on a Multilingual Datasetcited by 7
- 2024Towards Explainability in Legal Outcome Prediction Modelscited by 4
- 2024Query-driven Relevant Paragraph Extraction from Legal Judgmentscited by 4
- 2025Evaluating LLM-Generated Legal Explanations for Regulatory Compliance in Social Media Influencer Marketingcited by 4
- 2025AnnoCaseLaw: A Richly-Annotated Dataset For Benchmarking Explainable Legal Judgment Predictioncited by 3
- 2025From Noise to Signal to Selbstzweck: Reframing Human Label Variation in the Era of Post-training in NLPcited by 3
- 2024The Craft of Selective Prediction: Towards Reliable Case Outcome Classification -- An Empirical Study on European Court of Human Rights Casescited by 1
- 2026Quantifying and Predicting Disagreement in Graded Human Ratingscited by 1
- 2026Quantifying and Predicting Disagreement in Graded Human Ratings1 May 2026
- 2026Beyond Consensus: Perspectivist Modeling and Evaluation of Annotator Disagreement in NLP14 Jan 2026
- 2025From Noise to Signal to Selbstzweck: Reframing Human Label Variation in the Era of Post-training in NLP9 Oct 2025
- 2025Evaluating LLM-Generated Legal Explanations for Regulatory Compliance in Social Media Influencer Marketing9 Oct 2025
- 2025AnnoCaseLaw: A Richly-Annotated Dataset For Benchmarking Explainable Legal Judgment Prediction28 Feb 2025
- 2024Hybrid Deep Learning for Legal Text Analysis: Predicting Punishment Durations in Indonesian Court Rulings26 Oct 2024
- 2024Which Demographics do LLMs Default to During Annotation?11 Oct 2024
- 2024The Craft of Selective Prediction: Towards Reliable Case Outcome Classification -- An Empirical Study on European Court of Human Rights Cases27 Sep 2024
- 2024Towards Supporting Legal Argumentation with NLP: Is More Data Really All You Need?16 Jun 2024
- 2024Query-driven Relevant Paragraph Extraction from Legal Judgments31 Mar 2024
- 2024LexAbSumm: Aspect-based Summarization of Legal Decisions31 Mar 2024
- 2024Towards Explainability in Legal Outcome Prediction Models25 Mar 2024
- 2026Beyond Consensus: Perspectivist Modeling and Evaluation of Annotator Disagreement in NLPcited by 13
- 2024Which Demographics do LLMs Default to During Annotation?cited by 10
- 2024Through the Lens of Split Vote: Exploring Disagreement, Difficulty and Calibration in Legal Case Outcome Classificationcited by 9
- 2024LexAbSumm: Aspect-based Summarization of Legal Decisionscited by 9
- 2024Towards Explainability and Fairness in Swiss Judgement Prediction: Benchmarking on a Multilingual Datasetcited by 7
- 2024Towards Explainability in Legal Outcome Prediction Modelscited by 4
- 2024Query-driven Relevant Paragraph Extraction from Legal Judgmentscited by 4
- 2025Evaluating LLM-Generated Legal Explanations for Regulatory Compliance in Social Media Influencer Marketingcited by 4
- 2025AnnoCaseLaw: A Richly-Annotated Dataset For Benchmarking Explainable Legal Judgment Predictioncited by 3
- 2025From Noise to Signal to Selbstzweck: Reframing Human Label Variation in the Era of Post-training in NLPcited by 3
- 2024The Craft of Selective Prediction: Towards Reliable Case Outcome Classification -- An Empirical Study on European Court of Human Rights Casescited by 1
- 2026Quantifying and Predicting Disagreement in Graded Human Ratingscited by 1
12 most cited of 14 All 14 (JSON)
- 2026Quantifying and Predicting Disagreement in Graded Human Ratings1 May 2026
- 2026Beyond Consensus: Perspectivist Modeling and Evaluation of Annotator Disagreement in NLP14 Jan 2026
- 2025From Noise to Signal to Selbstzweck: Reframing Human Label Variation in the Era of Post-training in NLP9 Oct 2025
- 2025Evaluating LLM-Generated Legal Explanations for Regulatory Compliance in Social Media Influencer Marketing9 Oct 2025
- 2025AnnoCaseLaw: A Richly-Annotated Dataset For Benchmarking Explainable Legal Judgment Prediction28 Feb 2025
- 2024Hybrid Deep Learning for Legal Text Analysis: Predicting Punishment Durations in Indonesian Court Rulings26 Oct 2024
- 2024Which Demographics do LLMs Default to During Annotation?11 Oct 2024
- 2024The Craft of Selective Prediction: Towards Reliable Case Outcome Classification -- An Empirical Study on European Court of Human Rights Cases27 Sep 2024
- 2024Towards Supporting Legal Argumentation with NLP: Is More Data Really All You Need?16 Jun 2024
- 2024Query-driven Relevant Paragraph Extraction from Legal Judgments31 Mar 2024
- 2024LexAbSumm: Aspect-based Summarization of Legal Decisions31 Mar 2024
- 2024Towards Explainability in Legal Outcome Prediction Models25 Mar 2024
12 newest of 14 All 14 (JSON)