mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Efficient Baselines for Motion Prediction in Autonomous Driving

arXiv 2309.03387 ↗First posted 6 Sep 2023cs.RO cs.AI cs.MAcited by 3

On the map: End-to-end autonomous driving → Generative simulation for driving

Abstract (arXiv)

Motion Prediction (MP) of multiple surroundings agents is a crucial task in arbitrarily complex environments, from simple robots to Autonomous Driving Stacks (ADS). Current techniques tackle this problem using end-to-end pipelines, where the input data is usually a rendered top-view of the physical information and the past trajectories of the most relevant agents; leveraging this information is a must to obtain optimal performance. In that sense, a reliable ADS must produce reasonable predictions on time. However, despite many approaches use simple ConvNets and LSTMs to obtain the social latent features, State-Of-The-Art (SOTA) models might be too complex for real-time applications when using both sources of information (map and past trajectories) as well as little interpretable, specially considering the physical information. Moreover, the performance of such models highly depends on the number of available inputs for each particular traffic scenario, which are expensive to obtain, particularly, annotated High-Definition (HD) maps. In this work, we propose several efficient baselines for the well-known Argoverse 1 Motion Forecasting Benchmark. We aim to develop compact models using SOTA techniques for MP, including attention mechanisms and GNNs. Our lightweight models use standard social information and interpretable map information such as points from the driveable area and plausible centerlines by means of a novel preprocessing step based on kinematic constraints, in opposition to black-box CNN-based or too-complex graphs methods for map encoding, to generate plausible multimodal trajectories achieving up-to-pair accuracy with less operations and parameters than other SOTA methods. Our code is publicly available at https://github.com/Cram3r95/mapfe4mp .

Key facts. Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Generative simulation for driving, one of 9 directions in End-to-end autonomous driving. Builds on 39 of its 57 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 6 Sep 2023.

Builds on

39 of 57 references.

References · 39

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27 more
  1. 2018SoPhie: An Attentive GAN for Predicting Paths Compliant to Social and Physical Constraintscited by 296
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  3. 2021MultiPath++: Efficient Information Fusion and Trajectory Aggregation for Behavior Predictioncited by 246
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  12. 2021TPCN: Temporal Point Cloud Networks for Motion Forecastingcited by 94
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  15. 2020What-If Motion Prediction for Autonomous Drivingcited by 80
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  19. 2020Goal-GAN: Multimodal Trajectory Prediction Based on Goal Position Estimationcited by 57
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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2024: 1; 2025: 0; 2026: 2.

3 papers.

Similar, not cited

Close in wording, no citation either way

  1. 2025Trends in Motion Prediction Toward Deployable and Generalizable Autonomy: A Revisit and Perspectives
  2. 2021Scene Transformer: A unified architecture for predicting multiple agent trajectories
  3. 2025Future-Aware Interaction Network For Motion Forecasting
  4. 2026PanguMotion: Continuous Driving Motion Forecasting with Pangu Transformers
  5. 2024Large Language Models Powered Context-aware Motion Prediction in Autonomous Driving
  6. 2022Wayformer: Motion Forecasting via Simple & Efficient Attention Networks
  7. 2024DeMo: Decoupling Motion Forecasting into Directional Intentions and Dynamic States
  8. 2025Closing the Loop: Motion Prediction Models beyond Open-Loop Benchmarks