Value-Distributional Model-Based Reinforcement Learning
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Abstract (arXiv)
Quantifying uncertainty about a policy's long-term performance is important to solve sequential decision-making tasks. We study the problem from a model-based Bayesian reinforcement learning perspective, where the goal is to learn the posterior distribution over value functions induced by parameter (epistemic) uncertainty of the Markov decision process. Previous work restricts the analysis to a few moments of the distribution over values or imposes a particular distribution shape, e.g., Gaussians. Inspired by distributional reinforcement learning, we introduce a Bellman operator whose fixed-point is the value distribution function. Based on our theory, we propose Epistemic Quantile-Regression (EQR), a model-based algorithm that learns a value distribution function. We combine EQR with soft actor-critic (SAC) for policy optimization with an arbitrary differentiable objective function of the learned value distribution. Evaluation across several continuous-control tasks shows performance benefits with respect to both model-based and model-free algorithms. The code is available at https://github.com/boschresearch/dist-mbrl.
Key facts. Cited by 5 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 39 of its 62 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 12 Aug 2023.
Builds on
39 of 62 references.
References · 39
- 2018Soft Actor-Critic: Off-Policy Maximum Entropy Deep Reinforcement Learning with a Stochastic Actorcited by 4,885
- 2016Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensemblescited by 3,926
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- 2018Addressing Function Approximation Error in Actor-Critic Methodscited by 2,417
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- 2021Deep Reinforcement Learning at the Edge of the Statistical Precipicecited by 807
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- 2019When to Trust Your Model: Model-Based Policy Optimizationcited by 773
- 2017A Distributional Perspective on Reinforcement Learningcited by 765
- 2016Deep Exploration via Bootstrapped DQNcited by 527
- 2017Distributional Reinforcement Learning with Quantile Regressioncited by 474
- 2020dm_control: Software and Tasks for Continuous Controlcited by 375
27 more
- 2018Implicit Quantile Networks for Distributional Reinforcement Learningcited by 369
- 2013(More) Efficient Reinforcement Learning via Posterior Samplingcited by 233
- 2018Randomized Prior Functions for Deep Reinforcement Learningcited by 219
- 2015Risk-Sensitive and Robust Decision-Making: a CVaR Optimization Approachcited by 170
- 2020Controlling Overestimation Bias with Truncated Mixture of Continuous Distributional Quantile Criticscited by 165
- 2017Deep Exploration via Randomized Value Functionscited by 156
- 2021Epistemic Neural Networkscited by 120
- 2019Fully Parameterized Quantile Function for Distributional Reinforcement Learningcited by 88
- 2020Efficient Model-Based Reinforcement Learning through Optimistic Policy Search and Planningcited by 86
- 2017The Uncertainty Bellman Equation and Explorationcited by 82
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- 2019Being Optimistic to Be Conservative: Quickly Learning a CVaR Policycited by 63
- 2021Tactical Optimism and Pessimism for Deep Reinforcement Learningcited by 55
- 2020Smooth Exploration for Robotic Reinforcement Learningcited by 54
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- 2023An Analysis of Quantile Temporal-Difference Learningcited by 31
- 2013Model-Based Bayesian Explorationcited by 21
- 2019Distributional reinforcement learning with linear function approximationcited by 16
- 2021SENTINEL: Taming Uncertainty with Ensemble-based Distributional Reinforcement Learningcited by 15
- 2023Model-Based Uncertainty in Value Functionscited by 15
- 2019Efficient and Robust Reinforcement Learning with Uncertainty-based Value Expansioncited by 13
- 2019Deep Model-Based Reinforcement Learning via Estimated Uncertainty and Conservative Policy Optimizationcited by 11
- 2023Distributional Model Equivalence for Risk-Sensitive Reinforcement Learningcited by 9
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Citing papers per year: 2024: 3; 2025: 1; 2026: 1.
5 papers.
- 2024Uncertainty Representations in State-Space Layers for Deep Reinforcement Learning under Partial Observabilitycited by 5
- 2024Deep Exploration with PAC-Bayescited by 4
- 2025Overcoming Non-stationary Dynamics with Evidential Proximal Policy Optimizationcited by 2
- 2026SHAPO: Sharpness-Aware Policy Optimization for Safe Explorationcited by 2
- 2024Isoperimetry is All We Need: Langevin Posterior Sampling for RL with Sublinear Regretcited by 1
- 2026SHAPO: Sharpness-Aware Policy Optimization for Safe Exploration8 Jun 2026
- 2025Overcoming Non-stationary Dynamics with Evidential Proximal Policy Optimization3 Mar 2025
- 2024Isoperimetry is All We Need: Langevin Posterior Sampling for RL with Sublinear Regret30 Dec 2024
- 2024Uncertainty Representations in State-Space Layers for Deep Reinforcement Learning under Partial Observability25 Sep 2024
- 2024Deep Exploration with PAC-Bayes5 Feb 2024