HyperTime: Hyperparameter Optimization for Combating Temporal Distribution Shifts
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Abstract (arXiv)
In this work, we propose a hyperparameter optimization method named HyperTime to find hyperparameters robust to potential temporal distribution shifts in the unseen test data. Our work is motivated by an important observation that it is, in many cases, possible to achieve temporally robust predictive performance via hyperparameter optimization. Based on this observation, we leverage the `worst-case-oriented' philosophy from the robust optimization literature to help find such robust hyperparameter configurations. HyperTime imposes a lexicographic priority order on average validation loss and worst-case validation loss over chronological validation sets. We perform a theoretical analysis on the upper bound of the expected test loss, which reveals the unique advantages of our approach. We also demonstrate the strong empirical performance of the proposed method on multiple machine learning tasks with temporal distribution shifts.
Key facts. Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 37 of its 75 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 28 May 2023.
Builds on
37 of 75 references.
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25 more
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Citing papers per year: 2023: 4; 2024: 3; 2025: 0; 2026: 1.
8 papers.
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- 2024Cantor: Inspiring Multimodal Chain-of-Thought of MLLM24 Apr 2024
- 2024StateFlow: Enhancing LLM Task-Solving through State-Driven Workflows17 Mar 2024
- 2023How Many Validation Labels Do You Need? Exploring the Design Space of Label-Efficient Model Ranking4 Dec 2023
- 2023General Phrase Debiaser: Debiasing Masked Language Models at a Multi-Token Level23 Nov 2023
- 2023IDEAL: Influence-Driven Selective Annotations Empower In-Context Learners in Large Language Models16 Oct 2023
- 2023MathChat: Converse to Tackle Challenging Math Problems with LLM Agents2 Jun 2023