Fairness through Aleatoric Uncertainty
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Abstract (arXiv)
We propose a simple yet effective solution to tackle the often-competing goals of fairness and utility in classification tasks. While fairness ensures that the model's predictions are unbiased and do not discriminate against any particular group or individual, utility focuses on maximizing the model's predictive performance. This work introduces the idea of leveraging aleatoric uncertainty (e.g., data ambiguity) to improve the fairness-utility trade-off. Our central hypothesis is that aleatoric uncertainty is a key factor for algorithmic fairness and samples with low aleatoric uncertainty are modeled more accurately and fairly than those with high aleatoric uncertainty. We then propose a principled model to improve fairness when aleatoric uncertainty is high and improve utility elsewhere. Our approach first intervenes in the data distribution to better decouple aleatoric uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty. It then introduces a fairness-utility bi-objective loss defined based on the estimated aleatoric uncertainty. Our approach is theoretically guaranteed to improve the fairness-utility trade-off. Experimental results on both tabular and image datasets show that the proposed approach outperforms state-of-the-art methods w.r.t. the fairness-utility trade-off and w.r.t. both group and individual fairness metrics. This work presents a fresh perspective on the trade-off between utility and algorithmic fairness and opens a key avenue for the potential of using prediction uncertainty in fair machine learning.
Key facts. Cited by 16 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 46 of its 73 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 7 Apr 2023.
Builds on
46 of 73 references.
References · 46
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34 more
- 2016Fair prediction with disparate impact: A study of bias in recidivism prediction instrumentscited by 671
- 2018Mitigating Unwanted Biases with Adversarial Learningcited by 663
- 2018A Reductions Approach to Fair Classificationcited by 585
- 2016Inherent Trade-Offs in the Fair Determination of Risk Scorescited by 582
- 2017On Fairness and Calibrationcited by 406
- 2021A Survey of Transformerscited by 399
- 2018AI Fairness 360: An Extensible Toolkit for Detecting, Understanding, and Mitigating Unwanted Algorithmic Biascited by 319
- 2017Fairness in Criminal Justice Risk Assessments: The State of the Artcited by 315
- 2020Fairness without Demographics through Adversarially Reweighted Learningcited by 251
- 2018Empirical Risk Minimization under Fairness Constraintscited by 226
- 2017Avoiding Discrimination through Causal Reasoningcited by 191
- 2020Mix-n-Match: Ensemble and Compositional Methods for Uncertainty Calibration in Deep Learningcited by 190
- 2018Classification with Fairness Constraints: A Meta-Algorithm with Provable Guaranteescited by 146
- 2018Why Is My Classifier Discriminatory?cited by 143
- 2019On the Apparent Conflict Between Individual and Group Fairnesscited by 126
- 2021Epistemic Neural Networkscited by 120
- 2021Fair Mixup: Fairness via Interpolationcited by 109
- 2020FairBatch: Batch Selection for Model Fairnesscited by 99
- 2021Distribution-free uncertainty quantification for classification under label shiftcited by 99
- 2018A Unified Approach to Quantifying Algorithmic Unfairness: Measuring Individual & Group Unfairness via Inequality Indicescited by 97
- 2018An Empirical Study of Rich Subgroup Fairness for Machine Learningcited by 81
- 2020Robust Fairness under Covariate Shiftcited by 58
- 2019Stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlocited by 56
- 2021Socially Responsible AI Algorithms: Issues, Purposes, and Challengescited by 56
- 2022Algorithmic Fairness Datasets: the Story so Farcited by 51
- 2020Heteroskedastic and Imbalanced Deep Learning with Adaptive Regularizationcited by 49
- 2021Selective Regression Under Fairness Criteriacited by 34
- 2019An Introductory Guide to Fano's Inequality with Applications in Statistical Estimationcited by 30
- 2018Adversarial Distillation of Bayesian Neural Network Posteriorscited by 27
- 2021Fairness in Ranking under Uncertaintycited by 27
- 2019Epistemic Uncertainty Samplingcited by 24
- 2022Debiasing Word Embeddings with Nonlinear Geometrycited by 3
- 2022Distributional Shift Adaptation using Domain-Specific Featurescited by 2
- 2023Pushing the Accuracy-Group Robustness Frontier with Introspective Self-playcited by 2
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Citing papers per year: 2023: 1; 2024: 6; 2025: 7; 2026: 2.
16 papers.
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- 2023Uncertainty-based Fairness Measurescited by 15
- 2024A Survey on Safe Multi-Modal Learning Systemcited by 15
- 2025U-Fair: Uncertainty-based Multimodal Multitask Learning for Fairer Depression Detectioncited by 12
- 2024A Structured Review of Literature on Uncertainty in Machine Learning & Deep Learningcited by 9
- 2024Stability and Multigroup Fairness in Ranking with Uncertain Predictionscited by 4
- 2025Investigating Intersectional Bias in Large Language Models using Confidence Disparities in Coreference Resolutioncited by 3
- 2025ASAP: Unsupervised Post-training with Label Distribution Shift Adaptive Learning Ratecited by 3
- 2024Formalising Anti-Discrimination Law in Automated Decision Systemscited by 2
- 2025Is Your Model Fairly Certain? Uncertainty-Aware Fairness Evaluation for LLMscited by 2
- 2025OASIS: Open-world Adaptive Self-supervised and Imbalanced-aware Systemcited by 2
- 2024FairlyUncertain: A Comprehensive Benchmark of Uncertainty in Algorithmic Fairnesscited by 1
- 2025Achieving Distributive Justice in Federated Learning via Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 1
4 more
- 2024(Un)certainty of (Un)fairness: Preference-Based Selection of Certainly Fair Decision-Makerscited by 0
- 2025VirnyFlow: Optimizing ML Pipelines for Accuracy, Fairness, and Stability at Scalecited by 0
- 2026Context-Aware Counterfactual Data Augmentation for Gender Bias Mitigation in Language Modelscited by 0
- 2026The Role of Uncertainty in Assessing the Fairness of Machine Learning Modelscited by 0
- 2026The Role of Uncertainty in Assessing the Fairness of Machine Learning Models7 Sep 2026
- 2026Context-Aware Counterfactual Data Augmentation for Gender Bias Mitigation in Language Models10 Feb 2026
- 2025OASIS: Open-world Adaptive Self-supervised and Imbalanced-aware System20 Aug 2025
- 2025ASAP: Unsupervised Post-training with Label Distribution Shift Adaptive Learning Rate19 Aug 2025
- 2025Investigating Intersectional Bias in Large Language Models using Confidence Disparities in Coreference Resolution9 Aug 2025
- 2025VirnyFlow: Optimizing ML Pipelines for Accuracy, Fairness, and Stability at Scale2 Jun 2025
- 2025Is Your Model Fairly Certain? Uncertainty-Aware Fairness Evaluation for LLMs29 May 2025
- 2025Achieving Distributive Justice in Federated Learning via Uncertainty Quantification22 Apr 2025
- 2025U-Fair: Uncertainty-based Multimodal Multitask Learning for Fairer Depression Detection16 Jan 2025
- 2024FairlyUncertain: A Comprehensive Benchmark of Uncertainty in Algorithmic Fairness2 Oct 2024
- 2024(Un)certainty of (Un)fairness: Preference-Based Selection of Certainly Fair Decision-Makers19 Sep 2024
- 2024Formalising Anti-Discrimination Law in Automated Decision Systems29 Jun 2024
4 more
- 2023Uncertainty-based Fairness Measurescited by 15
- 2024A Survey on Safe Multi-Modal Learning Systemcited by 15
- 2025U-Fair: Uncertainty-based Multimodal Multitask Learning for Fairer Depression Detectioncited by 12
- 2024A Structured Review of Literature on Uncertainty in Machine Learning & Deep Learningcited by 9
- 2024Stability and Multigroup Fairness in Ranking with Uncertain Predictionscited by 4
- 2025Investigating Intersectional Bias in Large Language Models using Confidence Disparities in Coreference Resolutioncited by 3
- 2025ASAP: Unsupervised Post-training with Label Distribution Shift Adaptive Learning Ratecited by 3
- 2024Formalising Anti-Discrimination Law in Automated Decision Systemscited by 2
- 2025Is Your Model Fairly Certain? Uncertainty-Aware Fairness Evaluation for LLMscited by 2
- 2025OASIS: Open-world Adaptive Self-supervised and Imbalanced-aware Systemcited by 2
- 2024FairlyUncertain: A Comprehensive Benchmark of Uncertainty in Algorithmic Fairnesscited by 1
- 2025Achieving Distributive Justice in Federated Learning via Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 1
12 most cited of 16 All 16 (JSON)
- 2026The Role of Uncertainty in Assessing the Fairness of Machine Learning Models7 Sep 2026
- 2026Context-Aware Counterfactual Data Augmentation for Gender Bias Mitigation in Language Models10 Feb 2026
- 2025OASIS: Open-world Adaptive Self-supervised and Imbalanced-aware System20 Aug 2025
- 2025ASAP: Unsupervised Post-training with Label Distribution Shift Adaptive Learning Rate19 Aug 2025
- 2025Investigating Intersectional Bias in Large Language Models using Confidence Disparities in Coreference Resolution9 Aug 2025
- 2025VirnyFlow: Optimizing ML Pipelines for Accuracy, Fairness, and Stability at Scale2 Jun 2025
- 2025Is Your Model Fairly Certain? Uncertainty-Aware Fairness Evaluation for LLMs29 May 2025
- 2025Achieving Distributive Justice in Federated Learning via Uncertainty Quantification22 Apr 2025
- 2025U-Fair: Uncertainty-based Multimodal Multitask Learning for Fairer Depression Detection16 Jan 2025
- 2024FairlyUncertain: A Comprehensive Benchmark of Uncertainty in Algorithmic Fairness2 Oct 2024
- 2024(Un)certainty of (Un)fairness: Preference-Based Selection of Certainly Fair Decision-Makers19 Sep 2024
- 2024Formalising Anti-Discrimination Law in Automated Decision Systems29 Jun 2024
12 newest of 16 All 16 (JSON)