RieszNet and ForestRiesz: Automatic Debiased Machine Learning with Neural Nets and Random Forests
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Abstract (arXiv)
Many causal and policy effects of interest are defined by linear functionals of high-dimensional or non-parametric regression functions. √n-consistent and asymptotically normal estimation of the object of interest requires debiasing to reduce the effects of regularization and/or model selection on the object of interest. Debiasing is typically achieved by adding a correction term to the plug-in estimator of the functional, which leads to properties such as semi-parametric efficiency, double robustness, and Neyman orthogonality. We implement an automatic debiasing procedure based on automatically learning the Riesz representation of the linear functional using Neural Nets and Random Forests. Our method only relies on black-box evaluation oracle access to the linear functional and does not require knowledge of its analytic form. We propose a multitasking Neural Net debiasing method with stochastic gradient descent minimization of a combined Riesz representer and regression loss, while sharing representation layers for the two functions. We also propose a Random Forest method which learns a locally linear representation of the Riesz function. Even though our method applies to arbitrary functionals, we experimentally find that it performs well compared to the state of art neural net based algorithm of Shi et al. (2019) for the case of the average treatment effect functional. We also evaluate our method on the problem of estimating average marginal effects with continuous treatments, using semi-synthetic data of gasoline price changes on gasoline demand.
Key facts. Cited by 42 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 9 of its 32 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 6 Oct 2021.
Builds on
9 of 32 references.
References · 9
- 2016Generalized Random Forestscited by 312
- 2019Adapting Neural Networks for the Estimation of Treatment Effectscited by 287
- 2017Backpropagation through the Void: Optimizing control variates for black-box gradient estimationcited by 106
- 2018Deep Neural Networks for Estimation and Inferencecited by 62
- 2020Adversarial Estimation of Riesz Representerscited by 35
- 2018De-Biased Machine Learning of Global and Local Parameters Using Regularized Riesz Representerscited by 34
- 2013Program Evaluation and Causal Inference with High-Dimensional Datacited by 29
- 2015Uniformly Valid Post-Regularization Confidence Regions for Many Functional Parameters in Z-Estimation Frameworkcited by 12
- 2013Uniform Post Selection Inference for LAD Regression and Other Z-estimation problemscited by 11
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 1; 2022: 6; 2023: 9; 2024: 10; 2025: 6; 2026: 10.
42 papers.
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- 2021Long Story Short: Omitted Variable Bias in Causal Machine Learningcited by 23
- 2023Augmented balancing weights as linear regressioncited by 21
- 2023Towards Causal Foundation Model: on Duality between Causal Inference and Attentioncited by 17
- 2022Inference on Strongly Identified Functionals of Weakly Identified Functionscited by 12
- 2023DRCFS: Doubly Robust Causal Feature Selectioncited by 12
- 2023Mitigating Adversarial Vulnerability through Causal Parameter Estimation by Adversarial Double Machine Learningcited by 11
- 2024Stabilized Inverse Probability Weighting via Isotonic Calibrationcited by 9
- 2025Direct Bias-Correction Term Estimation for Average Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 9
- 2022A Neural Mean Embedding Approach for Back-door and Front-door Adjustmentcited by 8
- 2025Doubly-Robust LLM-as-a-Judge: Externally Valid Estimation with Imperfect Personascited by 8
- 2024Orthogonal Causal Calibrationcited by 6
- 2023Controlling Learned Effects to Reduce Spurious Correlations in Text Classifierscited by 5
30 more
- 2024Learning Decision Policies with Instrumental Variables through Double Machine Learningcited by 5
- 2023Double Machine Learning Based Structure Identification from Temporal Datacited by 4
- 2024Automated Efficient Estimation using Monte Carlo Efficient Influence Functionscited by 4
- 2022Off-Policy Evaluation with Policy-Dependent Optimization Responsecited by 3
- 2025Riesz Regression As Direct Density Ratio Estimationcited by 3
- 2023CATE Estimation With Potential Outcome Imputation From Local Regressioncited by 2
- 2024Towards Representation Learning for Weighting Problems in Design-Based Causal Inferencecited by 2
- 2024Automatic debiasing of neural networks via moment-constrained learningcited by 2
- 2025AI Alignment in Medical Imaging: Unveiling Hidden Biases Through Counterfactual Analysiscited by 2
- 2022Data-Driven Influence Functions for Optimization-Based Causal Inferencecited by 1
- 2023Causal Effect Regularization: Automated Detection and Removal of Spurious Attributescited by 1
- 2024General targeted machine learning for modern causal mediation analysiscited by 1
- 2025Semi-Supervised Treatment Effect Estimation with Unlabeled Covariates for Prediction-Powered Causal Inferencecited by 1
- 2026Estimating Aleatoric Uncertainty in the Causal Treatment Effectcited by 1
- 2026Statistical Inference and Learning for Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP)cited by 1
- 2026Debiased neural operators for estimating functionalscited by 1
- 2026Tailoring Strictly Proper Scoring Rules for Downstream Tasks: An Application to Causal Inferencecited by 1
- 2026Beyond the Training Distribution: Evaluating Predictions Under Distribution Shift and Selection Biascited by 1
- 2022Average Adjusted Association: Efficient Estimation with High Dimensional Confounderscited by 0
- 2022Orthogonal Series Estimation for the Ratio of Conditional Expectation Functionscited by 0
- 2023Addressing Dynamic and Sparse Qualitative Data: A Hilbert Space Embedding of Categorical Variablescited by 0
- 2024Causal Machine Learning for Moderation Effectscited by 0
- 2024Non-parametric efficient estimation of marginal structural models with multi-valued time-varying treatmentscited by 0
- 2024Automatic Doubly Robust Forestscited by 0
- 2025Targeted Deep Architectures: A TMLE-Based Framework for Robust Causal Inference in Neural Networkscited by 0
- 2026Automatic debiased machine learning and sensitivity analysis for sample selection modelscited by 0
- 2026genriesz: A Python Package for Automatic Debiased Machine Learning with Generalized Riesz Regressioncited by 0
- 2026Two Approaches to Direct Estimation of Riesz Representerscited by 0
- 2026Semiparametric Efficient Bilevel Gradient Estimationcited by 0
- 2026Outcome-adapted Automatic Debiased Machine Learningcited by 0
- 2026Outcome-adapted Automatic Debiased Machine Learning3 Jul 2026
- 2026Beyond the Training Distribution: Evaluating Predictions Under Distribution Shift and Selection Bias12 Jun 2026
- 2026Tailoring Strictly Proper Scoring Rules for Downstream Tasks: An Application to Causal Inference2 Jun 2026
- 2026Semiparametric Efficient Bilevel Gradient Estimation20 May 2026
- 2026Debiased neural operators for estimating functionals21 Apr 2026
- 2026Two Approaches to Direct Estimation of Riesz Representers21 Mar 2026
- 2026genriesz: A Python Package for Automatic Debiased Machine Learning with Generalized Riesz Regression19 Feb 2026
- 2026Statistical Inference and Learning for Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP)11 Feb 2026
- 2026Estimating Aleatoric Uncertainty in the Causal Treatment Effect9 Feb 2026
- 2026Automatic debiased machine learning and sensitivity analysis for sample selection models13 Jan 2026
- 2025Semi-Supervised Treatment Effect Estimation with Unlabeled Covariates for Prediction-Powered Causal Inference11 Nov 2025
- 2025Riesz Regression As Direct Density Ratio Estimation6 Nov 2025
30 more
- 2025Doubly-Robust LLM-as-a-Judge: Externally Valid Estimation with Imperfect Personas26 Sep 2025
- 2025Direct Bias-Correction Term Estimation for Average Treatment Effect Estimation26 Sep 2025
- 2025Targeted Deep Architectures: A TMLE-Based Framework for Robust Causal Inference in Neural Networks16 Jul 2025
- 2025AI Alignment in Medical Imaging: Unveiling Hidden Biases Through Counterfactual Analysis28 Apr 2025
- 2024Automatic Doubly Robust Forests10 Dec 2024
- 2024Stabilized Inverse Probability Weighting via Isotonic Calibration10 Nov 2024
- 2024Automatic debiasing of neural networks via moment-constrained learning29 Sep 2024
- 2024Non-parametric efficient estimation of marginal structural models with multi-valued time-varying treatments27 Sep 2024
- 2024Towards Representation Learning for Weighting Problems in Design-Based Causal Inference24 Sep 2024
- 2024General targeted machine learning for modern causal mediation analysis26 Aug 2024
- 2024Orthogonal Causal Calibration4 Jun 2024
- 2024Learning Decision Policies with Instrumental Variables through Double Machine Learning14 May 2024
- 2024Automated Efficient Estimation using Monte Carlo Efficient Influence Functions29 Feb 2024
- 2024Causal Machine Learning for Moderation Effects16 Jan 2024
- 2023Double Machine Learning Based Structure Identification from Temporal Data10 Nov 2023
- 2023CATE Estimation With Potential Outcome Imputation From Local Regression7 Nov 2023
- 2023Towards Causal Foundation Model: on Duality between Causal Inference and Attention1 Oct 2023
- 2023Addressing Dynamic and Sparse Qualitative Data: A Hilbert Space Embedding of Categorical Variables22 Aug 2023
- 2023Mitigating Adversarial Vulnerability through Causal Parameter Estimation by Adversarial Double Machine Learning14 Jul 2023
- 2023Causal Effect Regularization: Automated Detection and Removal of Spurious Attributes19 Jun 2023
- 2023DRCFS: Doubly Robust Causal Feature Selection12 Jun 2023
- 2023Controlling Learned Effects to Reduce Spurious Correlations in Text Classifiers26 May 2023
- 2023Augmented balancing weights as linear regression27 Apr 2023
- 2022Orthogonal Series Estimation for the Ratio of Conditional Expectation Functions26 Dec 2022
- 2022A Neural Mean Embedding Approach for Back-door and Front-door Adjustment12 Oct 2022
- 2022Data-Driven Influence Functions for Optimization-Based Causal Inference29 Aug 2022
- 2022Inference on Strongly Identified Functionals of Weakly Identified Functions17 Aug 2022
- 2022Average Adjusted Association: Efficient Estimation with High Dimensional Confounders27 May 2022
- 2022Off-Policy Evaluation with Policy-Dependent Optimization Response25 Feb 2022
- 2021Long Story Short: Omitted Variable Bias in Causal Machine Learning26 Dec 2021
- 2021Long Story Short: Omitted Variable Bias in Causal Machine Learningcited by 23
- 2023Augmented balancing weights as linear regressioncited by 21
- 2023Towards Causal Foundation Model: on Duality between Causal Inference and Attentioncited by 17
- 2022Inference on Strongly Identified Functionals of Weakly Identified Functionscited by 12
- 2023DRCFS: Doubly Robust Causal Feature Selectioncited by 12
- 2023Mitigating Adversarial Vulnerability through Causal Parameter Estimation by Adversarial Double Machine Learningcited by 11
- 2024Stabilized Inverse Probability Weighting via Isotonic Calibrationcited by 9
- 2025Direct Bias-Correction Term Estimation for Average Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 9
- 2022A Neural Mean Embedding Approach for Back-door and Front-door Adjustmentcited by 8
- 2025Doubly-Robust LLM-as-a-Judge: Externally Valid Estimation with Imperfect Personascited by 8
- 2024Orthogonal Causal Calibrationcited by 6
- 2023Controlling Learned Effects to Reduce Spurious Correlations in Text Classifierscited by 5
12 most cited of 42 All 42 (JSON)
- 2026Outcome-adapted Automatic Debiased Machine Learning3 Jul 2026
- 2026Beyond the Training Distribution: Evaluating Predictions Under Distribution Shift and Selection Bias12 Jun 2026
- 2026Tailoring Strictly Proper Scoring Rules for Downstream Tasks: An Application to Causal Inference2 Jun 2026
- 2026Semiparametric Efficient Bilevel Gradient Estimation20 May 2026
- 2026Debiased neural operators for estimating functionals21 Apr 2026
- 2026Two Approaches to Direct Estimation of Riesz Representers21 Mar 2026
- 2026genriesz: A Python Package for Automatic Debiased Machine Learning with Generalized Riesz Regression19 Feb 2026
- 2026Statistical Inference and Learning for Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP)11 Feb 2026
- 2026Estimating Aleatoric Uncertainty in the Causal Treatment Effect9 Feb 2026
- 2026Automatic debiased machine learning and sensitivity analysis for sample selection models13 Jan 2026
- 2025Semi-Supervised Treatment Effect Estimation with Unlabeled Covariates for Prediction-Powered Causal Inference11 Nov 2025
- 2025Riesz Regression As Direct Density Ratio Estimation6 Nov 2025
12 newest of 42 All 42 (JSON)