Proximal Causal Learning with Kernels: Two-Stage Estimation and Moment Restriction
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Abstract (arXiv)
We address the problem of causal effect estimation in the presence of unobserved confounding, but where proxies for the latent confounder(s) are observed. We propose two kernel-based methods for nonlinear causal effect estimation in this setting: (a) a two-stage regression approach, and (b) a maximum moment restriction approach. We focus on the proximal causal learning setting, but our methods can be used to solve a wider class of inverse problems characterised by a Fredholm integral equation. In particular, we provide a unifying view of two-stage and moment restriction approaches for solving this problem in a nonlinear setting. We provide consistency guarantees for each algorithm, and we demonstrate these approaches achieve competitive results on synthetic data and data simulating a real-world task. In particular, our approach outperforms earlier methods that are not suited to leveraging proxy variables.
Key facts. Cited by 54 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 14 of its 80 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 10 May 2021.
Builds on
14 of 80 references.
References · 14
- 2016Kernel Mean Embedding of Distributions: A Review and Beyondcited by 360
- 2016Identifying Causal Effects With Proxy Variables of an Unmeasured Confoundercited by 138
- 2019Kernel Instrumental Variable Regressioncited by 118
- 2020An Introduction to Proximal Causal Learningcited by 91
- 2019Deep Generalized Method of Moments for Instrumental Variable Analysiscited by 88
- 2020Minimax Estimation of Conditional Moment Modelscited by 83
- 2014Learning Theory for Distribution Regressioncited by 48
- 2020Provably Efficient Neural Estimation of Structural Equation Model: An Adversarial Approachcited by 31
- 2020Kernel Methods for Unobserved Confounding: Negative Controls, Proxies, and Instrumentscited by 27
- 2020Kernel Conditional Moment Test via Maximum Moment Restrictioncited by 18
- 2020Ivy: Instrumental Variable Synthesis for Causal Inferencecited by 17
- 2013Typing linear algebra: A biproduct-oriented approachcited by 4
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 7; 2022: 11; 2023: 8; 2024: 12; 2025: 9; 2026: 7.
54 papers.
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- 2021Deep Proxy Causal Learning and its Application to Confounded Bandit Policy Evaluationcited by 39
- 2021Causal Effect Inference for Structured Treatmentscited by 38
- 2022Provably Efficient Reinforcement Learning in Partially Observable Dynamical Systemscited by 35
- 2021A Minimax Learning Approach to Off-Policy Evaluation in Confounded Partially Observable Markov Decision Processescited by 34
- 2022Long-term Causal Inference Under Persistent Confounding via Data Combinationcited by 27
- 2022Pessimism in the Face of Confounders: Provably Efficient Offline Reinforcement Learning in Partially Observable Markov Decision Processescited by 26
- 2023Towards Optimal Sobolev Norm Rates for the Vector-Valued Regularized Least-Squares Algorithmcited by 22
- 2022Deep Learning Methods for Proximal Inference via Maximum Moment Restrictioncited by 13
- 2024Practical Kernel Tests of Conditional Independencecited by 13
- 2022Inference on Strongly Identified Functionals of Weakly Identified Functionscited by 12
- 2022Spectral Representation Learning for Conditional Moment Modelscited by 12
- 2024Optimal Rates for Vector-Valued Spectral Regularization Learning Algorithmscited by 12
38 more
- 2024Spectral Representation for Causal Estimation with Hidden Confounderscited by 12
- 2022Causal Inference with Treatment Measurement Error: A Nonparametric Instrumental Variable Approachcited by 9
- 2025DeCaFlow: A deconfounding causal generative modelcited by 8
- 2022Partial Identification of Dose Responses with Hidden Confounderscited by 7
- 2023Proximal Causal Learning of Conditional Average Treatment Effectscited by 7
- 2024Proximal Causal Inference With Text Datacited by 7
- 2024Nonparametric Instrumental Regression via Kernel Methods is Minimax Optimalcited by 7
- 2024Proxy Methods for Domain Adaptationcited by 6
- 2025On the Hardness of Conditional Independence Testing In Practicecited by 6
- 2022Optimal Treatment Regimes for Proximal Causal Learningcited by 5
- 2023Kernel Single Proxy Control for Deterministic Confoundingcited by 5
- 2024An Overview of Causal Inference using Kernel Embeddingscited by 5
- 2021Towards Principled Causal Effect Estimation by Deep Identifiable Modelscited by 4
- 2023Doubly Robust Proximal Causal Learning for Continuous Treatmentscited by 4
- 2024Stochastic Optimization Algorithms for Instrumental Variable Regression with Streaming Datacited by 4
- 2021Quasi-Bayesian Dual Instrumental Variable Regressioncited by 3
- 2022Causal Inference from Small High-dimensional Datasetscited by 3
- 2023Causal Discovery via Conditional Independence Testing with Proxy Variablescited by 3
- 2024Synthetic Potential Outcomes and Causal Mixture Identifiabilitycited by 3
- 2024Causal Inference with Complex Treatments: A Surveycited by 3
- 2025Adjustment for Confounding using Pre-Trained Representationscited by 3
- 2021Instrument Space Selection for Kernel Maximum Moment Restrictioncited by 2
- 2023Kernel Conditional Moment Constraints for Confounding Robust Inferencecited by 2
- 2024Automating the Selection of Proxy Variables of Unmeasured Confounderscited by 2
- 2025An Analysis of Causal Effect Estimation using Outcome Invariant Data Augmentationcited by 2
- 2026The Generalised Kernel Covariance Measurecited by 2
- 2023The Blessings of Multiple Treatments and Outcomes in Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 1
- 2025Density Ratio-Free Doubly Robust Proxy Causal Learningcited by 1
- 2025A Kernel-based Stochastic Approximation Framework for Nonlinear Operator Learningcited by 1
- 2025ActiveCQ: Active Estimation of Causal Quantitiescited by 1
- 2026Detecting Unobserved Confounders: A Kernelized Regression Approachcited by 1
- 2021Multi-treatment Effect Estimation from Biomedical Datacited by 0
- 2022Dual Instrumental Method for Confounded Kernelized Banditscited by 0
- 2023A Convex Framework for Confounding Robust Inferencecited by 0
- 2024Recovering Latent Confounders from High-dimensional Proxy Variablescited by 0
- 2025Transferring Causal Effects using Proxiescited by 0
- 2025Estimating Bidirectional Causal Effects with Large Scale Online Kernel Learningcited by 0
- 2026Point-Identification of a Robust Predictor Under Latent Shift with Imperfect Proxiescited by 0
50 most cited of 54 All 54 (JSON)
- 2026Proximal Balancing for Causal Effect Estimation under Unmeasured Confounding30 Sep 2026
- 2026Spatiotemporal Proximal Causal Inference under Hidden Confounding and Interference2 Aug 2026
- 2026Decision-Aware Proximal Bridge Learning for Optimal Treatment Selection16 May 2026
- 2026Cross-fitted Proximal Learning for Model-Based Reinforcement Learning6 Apr 2026
- 2026The Generalised Kernel Covariance Measure4 Apr 2026
- 2026Point-Identification of a Robust Predictor Under Latent Shift with Imperfect Proxies16 Mar 2026
- 2026Detecting Unobserved Confounders: A Kernelized Regression Approach1 Jan 2026
- 2025On the Hardness of Conditional Independence Testing In Practice16 Dec 2025
- 2025Estimating Bidirectional Causal Effects with Large Scale Online Kernel Learning7 Nov 2025
- 2025Transferring Causal Effects using Proxies29 Oct 2025
- 2025An Analysis of Causal Effect Estimation using Outcome Invariant Data Augmentation29 Oct 2025
- 2025ActiveCQ: Active Estimation of Causal Quantities29 Sep 2025
38 more
- 2025A Kernel-based Stochastic Approximation Framework for Nonlinear Operator Learning14 Sep 2025
- 2025Adjustment for Confounding using Pre-Trained Representations17 Jun 2025
- 2025Density Ratio-Free Doubly Robust Proxy Causal Learning26 May 2025
- 2025DeCaFlow: A deconfounding causal generative model19 Mar 2025
- 2024Nonparametric Instrumental Regression via Kernel Methods is Minimax Optimal29 Nov 2024
- 2024An Overview of Causal Inference using Kernel Embeddings30 Oct 2024
- 2024Causal Inference with Complex Treatments: A Survey19 Jul 2024
- 2024Spectral Representation for Causal Estimation with Hidden Confounders15 Jul 2024
- 2024Stochastic Optimization Algorithms for Instrumental Variable Regression with Streaming Data29 May 2024
- 2024Synthetic Potential Outcomes and Causal Mixture Identifiability29 May 2024
- 2024Automating the Selection of Proxy Variables of Unmeasured Confounders25 May 2024
- 2024Optimal Rates for Vector-Valued Spectral Regularization Learning Algorithms23 May 2024
- 2024Recovering Latent Confounders from High-dimensional Proxy Variables21 Mar 2024
- 2024Proxy Methods for Domain Adaptation12 Mar 2024
- 2024Practical Kernel Tests of Conditional Independence20 Feb 2024
- 2024Proximal Causal Inference With Text Data12 Jan 2024
- 2023Towards Optimal Sobolev Norm Rates for the Vector-Valued Regularized Least-Squares Algorithm12 Dec 2023
- 2023The Blessings of Multiple Treatments and Outcomes in Treatment Effect Estimation29 Sep 2023
- 2023Doubly Robust Proximal Causal Learning for Continuous Treatments22 Sep 2023
- 2023A Convex Framework for Confounding Robust Inference21 Sep 2023
- 2023Kernel Single Proxy Control for Deterministic Confounding8 Aug 2023
- 2023Causal Discovery via Conditional Independence Testing with Proxy Variables9 May 2023
- 2023Kernel Conditional Moment Constraints for Confounding Robust Inference26 Feb 2023
- 2023Proximal Causal Learning of Conditional Average Treatment Effects26 Jan 2023
- 2022Optimal Treatment Regimes for Proximal Causal Learning19 Dec 2022
- 2022Spectral Representation Learning for Conditional Moment Models29 Oct 2022
- 2022Dual Instrumental Method for Confounded Kernelized Bandits7 Sep 2022
- 2022Inference on Strongly Identified Functionals of Weakly Identified Functions17 Aug 2022
- 2022Provably Efficient Reinforcement Learning in Partially Observable Dynamical Systems24 Jun 2022
- 2022Causal Inference with Treatment Measurement Error: A Nonparametric Instrumental Variable Approach18 Jun 2022
- 2022Pessimism in the Face of Confounders: Provably Efficient Offline Reinforcement Learning in Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes26 May 2022
- 2022Deep Learning Methods for Proximal Inference via Maximum Moment Restriction19 May 2022
- 2022Causal Inference from Small High-dimensional Datasets19 May 2022
- 2022Partial Identification of Dose Responses with Hidden Confounders24 Apr 2022
- 2022Long-term Causal Inference Under Persistent Confounding via Data Combination15 Feb 2022
- 2021Multi-treatment Effect Estimation from Biomedical Data14 Dec 2021
- 2021A Minimax Learning Approach to Off-Policy Evaluation in Confounded Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes12 Nov 2021
- 2021Towards Principled Causal Effect Estimation by Deep Identifiable Models30 Sep 2021
50 newest of 54 All 54 (JSON)
- 2021Deep Proxy Causal Learning and its Application to Confounded Bandit Policy Evaluationcited by 39
- 2021Causal Effect Inference for Structured Treatmentscited by 38
- 2022Provably Efficient Reinforcement Learning in Partially Observable Dynamical Systemscited by 35
- 2021A Minimax Learning Approach to Off-Policy Evaluation in Confounded Partially Observable Markov Decision Processescited by 34
- 2022Long-term Causal Inference Under Persistent Confounding via Data Combinationcited by 27
- 2023Towards Optimal Sobolev Norm Rates for the Vector-Valued Regularized Least-Squares Algorithmcited by 22
- 2022Deep Learning Methods for Proximal Inference via Maximum Moment Restrictioncited by 13
- 2024Practical Kernel Tests of Conditional Independencecited by 13
- 2022Inference on Strongly Identified Functionals of Weakly Identified Functionscited by 12
- 2022Spectral Representation Learning for Conditional Moment Modelscited by 12
- 2024Optimal Rates for Vector-Valued Spectral Regularization Learning Algorithmscited by 12
- 2024Spectral Representation for Causal Estimation with Hidden Confounderscited by 12
12 most cited of 53 All 53 (JSON)
- 2026Proximal Balancing for Causal Effect Estimation under Unmeasured Confounding30 Sep 2026
- 2026Spatiotemporal Proximal Causal Inference under Hidden Confounding and Interference2 Aug 2026
- 2026Decision-Aware Proximal Bridge Learning for Optimal Treatment Selection16 May 2026
- 2026Cross-fitted Proximal Learning for Model-Based Reinforcement Learning6 Apr 2026
- 2026The Generalised Kernel Covariance Measure4 Apr 2026
- 2026Point-Identification of a Robust Predictor Under Latent Shift with Imperfect Proxies16 Mar 2026
- 2026Detecting Unobserved Confounders: A Kernelized Regression Approach1 Jan 2026
- 2025On the Hardness of Conditional Independence Testing In Practice16 Dec 2025
- 2025Estimating Bidirectional Causal Effects with Large Scale Online Kernel Learning7 Nov 2025
- 2025Transferring Causal Effects using Proxies29 Oct 2025
- 2025An Analysis of Causal Effect Estimation using Outcome Invariant Data Augmentation29 Oct 2025
- 2025ActiveCQ: Active Estimation of Causal Quantities29 Sep 2025
12 newest of 53 All 53 (JSON)