Kernel Instrumental Variable Regression
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Abstract (arXiv)
Instrumental variable (IV) regression is a strategy for learning causal relationships in observational data. If measurements of input X and output Y are confounded, the causal relationship can nonetheless be identified if an instrumental variable Z is available that influences X directly, but is conditionally independent of Y given X and the unmeasured confounder. The classic two-stage least squares algorithm (2SLS) simplifies the estimation problem by modeling all relationships as linear functions. We propose kernel instrumental variable regression (KIV), a nonparametric generalization of 2SLS, modeling relations among X, Y, and Z as nonlinear functions in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHSs). We prove the consistency of KIV under mild assumptions, and derive conditions under which convergence occurs at the minimax optimal rate for unconfounded, single-stage RKHS regression. In doing so, we obtain an efficient ratio between training sample sizes used in the algorithm's first and second stages. In experiments, KIV outperforms state of the art alternatives for nonparametric IV regression.
Key facts. Cited by 118 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 1 Jun 2019.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 22; 2022: 26; 2023: 18; 2024: 25; 2025: 17; 2026: 10.
118 papers.
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- 2021Proximal Causal Learning with Kernels: Two-Stage Estimation and Moment Restrictioncited by 55
- 2022Optimal Rates for Regularized Conditional Mean Embedding Learningcited by 50
- 2021Causal Inference Under Unmeasured Confounding With Negative Controls: A Minimax Learning Approachcited by 44
- 2021Deep Proxy Causal Learning and its Application to Confounded Bandit Policy Evaluationcited by 40
- 2021Causal Effect Inference for Structured Treatmentscited by 39
- 2021Instrumental Variable Value Iteration for Causal Offline Reinforcement Learningcited by 35
- 2025Foundation Models for Causal Inference via Prior-Data Fitted Networkscited by 32
- 2022Long-term Causal Inference Under Persistent Confounding via Data Combinationcited by 27
- 2022Exploring Transformer Backbones for Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 25
- 2022Stochastic Causal Programming for Bounding Treatment Effectscited by 25
- 2021Deconditional Downscaling with Gaussian Processescited by 24
- 2023Sharp Bounds for Generalized Causal Sensitivity Analysiscited by 24
38 more
- 2021On Instrumental Variable Regression for Deep Offline Policy Evaluationcited by 22
- 2023Towards Optimal Sobolev Norm Rates for the Vector-Valued Regularized Least-Squares Algorithmcited by 22
- 2021BayesIMP: Uncertainty Quantification for Causal Data Fusioncited by 21
- 2021Minimax Kernel Machine Learning for a Class of Doubly Robust Functionals with Application to Proximal Causal Inferencecited by 20
- 2024Functional Bilevel Optimization for Machine Learningcited by 20
- 2021Auto IV: Counterfactual Prediction via Automatic Instrumental Variable Decompositioncited by 19
- 2022Data-Driven Causal Effect Estimation Based on Graphical Causal Modelling: A Surveycited by 19
- 2022Exploiting Independent Instruments: Identification and Distribution Generalizationcited by 18
- 2022Estimating individual treatment effects under unobserved confounding using binary instrumentscited by 18
- 2023Demystifying Causal Features on Adversarial Examples and Causal Inoculation for Robust Network by Adversarial Instrumental Variable Regressioncited by 18
- 2023Causal Inference with Conditional Front-Door Adjustment and Identifiable Variational Autoencodercited by 17
- 2022An Analysis of Attention via the Lens of Exchangeability and Latent Variable Modelscited by 16
- 2022Deep Learning Methods for Proximal Inference via Maximum Moment Restrictioncited by 14
- 2022Minimax Optimal Kernel Operator Learning via Multilevel Trainingcited by 13
- 2023Minimax Instrumental Variable Regression and L2 Convergence Guarantees without Identification or Closednesscited by 13
- 2022Inference on Strongly Identified Functionals of Weakly Identified Functionscited by 12
- 2022Spectral Representation Learning for Conditional Moment Modelscited by 12
- 2024Optimal Rates for Vector-Valued Spectral Regularization Learning Algorithmscited by 12
- 2024Spectral Representation for Causal Estimation with Hidden Confounderscited by 12
- 2022Instrumental Variables in Causal Inference and Machine Learning: A Surveycited by 10
- 2023An Efficient Doubly-Robust Test for the Kernel Treatment Effectcited by 10
- 2021A Simple and General Debiased Machine Learning Theorem with Finite Sample Guaranteescited by 9
- 2022Identifiability of Sparse Causal Effects using Instrumental Variablescited by 9
- 2022Causal Inference with Treatment Measurement Error: A Nonparametric Instrumental Variable Approachcited by 9
- 2023Source Condition Double Robust Inference on Functionals of Inverse Problemscited by 9
- 2023Causal Strategic Learning with Competitive Selectioncited by 9
- 2025A Dictionary of Closed-Form Kernel Mean Embeddingscited by 9
- 2021Operationalizing Complex Causes: A Pragmatic View of Mediationcited by 8
- 2023Conditional Instrumental Variable Regression with Representation Learning for Causal Inferencecited by 8
- 2024Probabilities of Causation for Continuous and Vector Variablescited by 8
- 2024Transformers Handle Endogeneity in In-Context Linear Regressioncited by 8
- 2024Nonparametric Instrumental Regression via Kernel Methods is Minimax Optimalcited by 8
- 2021Learning Causal Models from Conditional Moment Restrictions by Importance Weightingcited by 7
- 2021Instrumental Variable-Driven Domain Generalization with Unobserved Confounderscited by 7
- 2024Regularized DeepIV with Model Selectioncited by 7
- 2024Neural-Kernel Conditional Mean Embeddingscited by 7
- 2022Fast Instrument Learning with Faster Ratescited by 6
- 2022Constructing unbiased gradient estimators with finite variance for conditional stochastic optimizationcited by 6
50 most cited of 118 All 118 (JSON)
- 2026What You Observe Determines How You Identify Causal Effects: Evaluating Causal Models across Observational Views29 Sep 2026
- 2026Perturbative methods for non-parametric instrumental variable29 May 2026
- 2026Semiparametric Efficient Bilevel Gradient Estimation20 May 2026
- 2026BGM-IV: AI-Powered Bayesian Generative Modeling for Instrumental Variable Regression with High-Dimensional Covariates7 May 2026
- 2026Cross-fitted Proximal Learning for Model-Based Reinforcement Learning6 Apr 2026
- 2026Conformal Prediction for Nonparametric Instrumental Regression26 Mar 2026
- 2026Convergence Rate of a Functional Learning Method for Contextual Stochastic Optimization13 Mar 2026
- 2026Adaptive Estimation and Inference in Conditional Moment Models via the Discrepancy Principle2 Mar 2026
- 2026Estimating Aleatoric Uncertainty in the Causal Treatment Effect9 Feb 2026
- 2026Detecting Unobserved Confounders: A Kernelized Regression Approach1 Jan 2026
- 2025Outcome-Aware Spectral Feature Learning for Instrumental Variable Regression30 Nov 2025
- 2025Estimating Bidirectional Causal Effects with Large Scale Online Kernel Learning7 Nov 2025
38 more
- 2025An Analysis of Causal Effect Estimation using Outcome Invariant Data Augmentation29 Oct 2025
- 2025ActiveCQ: Active Estimation of Causal Quantities29 Sep 2025
- 2025Differentially Private Two-Stage Gradient Descent for Instrumental Variable Regression26 Sep 2025
- 2025A Kernel-based Stochastic Approximation Framework for Nonlinear Operator Learning14 Sep 2025
- 2025Flow IV: Counterfactual Inference In Nonseparable Outcome Models Using Instrumental Variables2 Aug 2025
- 2025Foundation Models for Causal Inference via Prior-Data Fitted Networks12 Jun 2025
- 2025Demystifying Spectral Feature Learning for Instrumental Variable Regression12 Jun 2025
- 2025Efficient Adaptive Experimentation with Noncompliance23 May 2025
- 2025Regularized least squares learning with heavy-tailed noise is minimax optimal20 May 2025
- 2025Machine learning the first stage in 2SLS: Practical guidance from bias decomposition and simulation19 May 2025
- 2025A Dictionary of Closed-Form Kernel Mean Embeddings26 Apr 2025
- 2025Learning Theory for Kernel Bilevel Optimization12 Feb 2025
- 2025Causal Imitation Learning under Expert-Observable and Expert-Unobservable Confounding11 Feb 2025
- 2025Achievable distributional robustness when the robust risk is only partially identified4 Feb 2025
- 2025Optimality and Adaptivity of Deep Neural Features for Instrumental Variable Regression9 Jan 2025
- 2024Disentangled Representation Learning for Causal Inference with Instruments5 Dec 2024
- 2024Nonparametric Instrumental Regression via Kernel Methods is Minimax Optimal29 Nov 2024
- 2024An Overview of Causal Inference using Kernel Embeddings30 Oct 2024
- 2024Learning Representations of Instruments for Partial Identification of Treatment Effects11 Oct 2024
- 2024Transformers Handle Endogeneity in In-Context Linear Regression2 Oct 2024
- 2024Causal Effect Estimation using identifiable Variational AutoEncoder with Latent Confounders and Post-Treatment Variables13 Aug 2024
- 2024Generalized Encouragement-Based Instrumental Variables for Counterfactual Regression10 Aug 2024
- 2024Causal Inference with Complex Treatments: A Survey19 Jul 2024
- 2024Spectral Representation for Causal Estimation with Hidden Confounders15 Jul 2024
- 2024Causal Inference with Latent Variables: Recent Advances and Future Prospectives20 Jun 2024
- 2024Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects by Combining Weak Instruments and Observational Data10 Jun 2024
- 2024Self-Distilled Disentangled Learning for Counterfactual Prediction9 Jun 2024
- 2024Probabilities of Causation for Continuous and Vector Variables30 May 2024
- 2024Targeted Sequential Indirect Experiment Design30 May 2024
- 2024Stochastic Optimization Algorithms for Instrumental Variable Regression with Streaming Data29 May 2024
- 2024Optimal Rates for Vector-Valued Spectral Regularization Learning Algorithms23 May 2024
- 2024Geometry-Aware Instrumental Variable Regression19 May 2024
- 2024A Functional Model Method for Nonconvex Nonsmooth Conditional Stochastic Optimization17 May 2024
- 2024Learning Decision Policies with Instrumental Variables through Double Machine Learning14 May 2024
- 2024Bounding Causal Effects with Leaky Instruments5 Apr 2024
- 2024Functional Bilevel Optimization for Machine Learning29 Mar 2024
- 2024Neural-Kernel Conditional Mean Embeddings16 Mar 2024
- 2024Proxy Methods for Domain Adaptation12 Mar 2024
50 newest of 118 All 118 (JSON)
- 2024Neural-Kernel Conditional Mean Embeddingscited by 7
- 2026Cross-fitted Proximal Learning for Model-Based Reinforcement Learningcited by 0
- 2026Cross-fitted Proximal Learning for Model-Based Reinforcement Learning6 Apr 2026
- 2024Neural-Kernel Conditional Mean Embeddings16 Mar 2024
- 2021Proximal Causal Learning with Kernels: Two-Stage Estimation and Moment Restrictioncited by 55
- 2022Optimal Rates for Regularized Conditional Mean Embedding Learningcited by 50
- 2021Causal Inference Under Unmeasured Confounding With Negative Controls: A Minimax Learning Approachcited by 44
- 2021Deep Proxy Causal Learning and its Application to Confounded Bandit Policy Evaluationcited by 40
- 2021Causal Effect Inference for Structured Treatmentscited by 39
- 2025Foundation Models for Causal Inference via Prior-Data Fitted Networkscited by 32
- 2022Long-term Causal Inference Under Persistent Confounding via Data Combinationcited by 27
- 2022Exploring Transformer Backbones for Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 25
- 2022Stochastic Causal Programming for Bounding Treatment Effectscited by 25
- 2021Deconditional Downscaling with Gaussian Processescited by 24
- 2023Sharp Bounds for Generalized Causal Sensitivity Analysiscited by 24
- 2021On Instrumental Variable Regression for Deep Offline Policy Evaluationcited by 22
12 most cited of 114 All 114 (JSON)
- 2026What You Observe Determines How You Identify Causal Effects: Evaluating Causal Models across Observational Views29 Sep 2026
- 2026Perturbative methods for non-parametric instrumental variable29 May 2026
- 2026Semiparametric Efficient Bilevel Gradient Estimation20 May 2026
- 2026BGM-IV: AI-Powered Bayesian Generative Modeling for Instrumental Variable Regression with High-Dimensional Covariates7 May 2026
- 2026Conformal Prediction for Nonparametric Instrumental Regression26 Mar 2026
- 2026Convergence Rate of a Functional Learning Method for Contextual Stochastic Optimization13 Mar 2026
- 2026Adaptive Estimation and Inference in Conditional Moment Models via the Discrepancy Principle2 Mar 2026
- 2026Estimating Aleatoric Uncertainty in the Causal Treatment Effect9 Feb 2026
- 2026Detecting Unobserved Confounders: A Kernelized Regression Approach1 Jan 2026
- 2025Outcome-Aware Spectral Feature Learning for Instrumental Variable Regression30 Nov 2025
- 2025Estimating Bidirectional Causal Effects with Large Scale Online Kernel Learning7 Nov 2025
- 2025An Analysis of Causal Effect Estimation using Outcome Invariant Data Augmentation29 Oct 2025
12 newest of 114 All 114 (JSON)