Kernel Methods for Unobserved Confounding: Negative Controls, Proxies, and Instruments
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Abstract (arXiv)
Negative control is a strategy for learning the causal relationship between treatment and outcome in the presence of unmeasured confounding. The treatment effect can nonetheless be identified if two auxiliary variables are available: a negative control treatment (which has no effect on the actual outcome), and a negative control outcome (which is not affected by the actual treatment). These auxiliary variables can also be viewed as proxies for a traditional set of control variables, and they bear resemblance to instrumental variables. I propose a family of algorithms based on kernel ridge regression for learning nonparametric treatment effects with negative controls. Examples include dose response curves, dose response curves with distribution shift, and heterogeneous treatment effects. Data may be discrete or continuous, and low, high, or infinite dimensional. I prove uniform consistency and provide finite sample rates of convergence. I estimate the dose response curve of cigarette smoking on infant birth weight adjusting for unobserved confounding due to household income, using a data set of singleton births in the state of Pennsylvania between 1989 and 1991.
Key facts. Cited by 27 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 18 Dec 2020.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 8; 2022: 6; 2023: 8; 2024: 3; 2025: 1; 2026: 1.
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- 2021Proximal Causal Learning with Kernels: Two-Stage Estimation and Moment Restrictioncited by 54
- 2021Causal Inference Under Unmeasured Confounding With Negative Controls: A Minimax Learning Approachcited by 43
- 2021Deep Proxy Causal Learning and its Application to Confounded Bandit Policy Evaluationcited by 39
- 2021A Minimax Learning Approach to Off-Policy Evaluation in Confounded Partially Observable Markov Decision Processescited by 34
- 2022Long-term Causal Inference Under Persistent Confounding via Data Combinationcited by 27
- 2022Pessimism in the Face of Confounders: Provably Efficient Offline Reinforcement Learning in Partially Observable Markov Decision Processescited by 26
- 2021Minimax Kernel Machine Learning for a Class of Doubly Robust Functionals with Application to Proximal Causal Inferencecited by 20
- 2022Off-Policy Evaluation for Episodic Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes under Non-Parametric Modelscited by 18
- 2022Deep Learning Methods for Proximal Inference via Maximum Moment Restrictioncited by 13
- 2022Inference on Strongly Identified Functionals of Weakly Identified Functionscited by 12
- 2021The Proximal ID Algorithmcited by 11
- 2023Proximal Causal Learning of Conditional Average Treatment Effectscited by 7
15 more
- 2023Kernel-based off-policy estimation without overlap: Instance optimality beyond semiparametric efficiencycited by 6
- 2024Regularized DeepIV with Model Selectioncited by 6
- 2022Optimal Treatment Regimes for Proximal Causal Learningcited by 5
- 2023Kernel Single Proxy Control for Deterministic Confoundingcited by 5
- 2021Many Proxy Controlscited by 4
- 2023Doubly Robust Proximal Causal Learning for Continuous Treatmentscited by 4
- 2024Causal Inference with Complex Treatments: A Surveycited by 3
- 2023Kernel Conditional Moment Constraints for Confounding Robust Inferencecited by 2
- 2023A Unified Framework of Policy Learning for Contextual Bandit with Confounding Bias and Missing Observationscited by 2
- 2024Automating the Selection of Proxy Variables of Unmeasured Confounderscited by 2
- 2021Generalized Kernel Ridge Regression for Causal Inference with Missing-at-Random Sample Selectioncited by 1
- 2023Contagion Effect Estimation Using Proximal Embeddingscited by 1
- 2025Density Ratio-Free Doubly Robust Proxy Causal Learningcited by 1
- 2023A Convex Framework for Confounding Robust Inferencecited by 0
- 2026Spatiotemporal Proximal Causal Inference under Hidden Confounding and Interferencecited by 0
- 2026Spatiotemporal Proximal Causal Inference under Hidden Confounding and Interference2 Aug 2026
- 2025Density Ratio-Free Doubly Robust Proxy Causal Learning26 May 2025
- 2024Causal Inference with Complex Treatments: A Survey19 Jul 2024
- 2024Automating the Selection of Proxy Variables of Unmeasured Confounders25 May 2024
- 2024Regularized DeepIV with Model Selection7 Mar 2024
- 2023Doubly Robust Proximal Causal Learning for Continuous Treatments22 Sep 2023
- 2023A Convex Framework for Confounding Robust Inference21 Sep 2023
- 2023Kernel Single Proxy Control for Deterministic Confounding8 Aug 2023
- 2023Contagion Effect Estimation Using Proximal Embeddings4 Jun 2023
- 2023A Unified Framework of Policy Learning for Contextual Bandit with Confounding Bias and Missing Observations20 Mar 2023
- 2023Kernel Conditional Moment Constraints for Confounding Robust Inference26 Feb 2023
- 2023Proximal Causal Learning of Conditional Average Treatment Effects26 Jan 2023
15 more
- 2023Kernel-based off-policy estimation without overlap: Instance optimality beyond semiparametric efficiency16 Jan 2023
- 2022Optimal Treatment Regimes for Proximal Causal Learning19 Dec 2022
- 2022Off-Policy Evaluation for Episodic Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes under Non-Parametric Models21 Sep 2022
- 2022Inference on Strongly Identified Functionals of Weakly Identified Functions17 Aug 2022
- 2022Pessimism in the Face of Confounders: Provably Efficient Offline Reinforcement Learning in Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes26 May 2022
- 2022Deep Learning Methods for Proximal Inference via Maximum Moment Restriction19 May 2022
- 2022Long-term Causal Inference Under Persistent Confounding via Data Combination15 Feb 2022
- 2021A Minimax Learning Approach to Off-Policy Evaluation in Confounded Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes12 Nov 2021
- 2021Generalized Kernel Ridge Regression for Causal Inference with Missing-at-Random Sample Selection9 Nov 2021
- 2021Many Proxy Controls8 Oct 2021
- 2021The Proximal ID Algorithm15 Aug 2021
- 2021Deep Proxy Causal Learning and its Application to Confounded Bandit Policy Evaluation7 Jun 2021
- 2021Proximal Causal Learning with Kernels: Two-Stage Estimation and Moment Restriction10 May 2021
- 2021Minimax Kernel Machine Learning for a Class of Doubly Robust Functionals with Application to Proximal Causal Inference7 Apr 2021
- 2021Causal Inference Under Unmeasured Confounding With Negative Controls: A Minimax Learning Approach25 Mar 2021
- 2021Proximal Causal Learning with Kernels: Two-Stage Estimation and Moment Restrictioncited by 54
- 2021Causal Inference Under Unmeasured Confounding With Negative Controls: A Minimax Learning Approachcited by 43
- 2021Deep Proxy Causal Learning and its Application to Confounded Bandit Policy Evaluationcited by 39
- 2021A Minimax Learning Approach to Off-Policy Evaluation in Confounded Partially Observable Markov Decision Processescited by 34
- 2022Long-term Causal Inference Under Persistent Confounding via Data Combinationcited by 27
- 2021Minimax Kernel Machine Learning for a Class of Doubly Robust Functionals with Application to Proximal Causal Inferencecited by 20
- 2022Off-Policy Evaluation for Episodic Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes under Non-Parametric Modelscited by 18
- 2022Deep Learning Methods for Proximal Inference via Maximum Moment Restrictioncited by 13
- 2022Inference on Strongly Identified Functionals of Weakly Identified Functionscited by 12
- 2021The Proximal ID Algorithmcited by 11
- 2023Proximal Causal Learning of Conditional Average Treatment Effectscited by 7
- 2023Kernel-based off-policy estimation without overlap: Instance optimality beyond semiparametric efficiencycited by 6
12 most cited of 26 All 26 (JSON)
- 2026Spatiotemporal Proximal Causal Inference under Hidden Confounding and Interference2 Aug 2026
- 2025Density Ratio-Free Doubly Robust Proxy Causal Learning26 May 2025
- 2024Causal Inference with Complex Treatments: A Survey19 Jul 2024
- 2024Automating the Selection of Proxy Variables of Unmeasured Confounders25 May 2024
- 2024Regularized DeepIV with Model Selection7 Mar 2024
- 2023Doubly Robust Proximal Causal Learning for Continuous Treatments22 Sep 2023
- 2023A Convex Framework for Confounding Robust Inference21 Sep 2023
- 2023Kernel Single Proxy Control for Deterministic Confounding8 Aug 2023
- 2023Contagion Effect Estimation Using Proximal Embeddings4 Jun 2023
- 2023A Unified Framework of Policy Learning for Contextual Bandit with Confounding Bias and Missing Observations20 Mar 2023
- 2023Kernel Conditional Moment Constraints for Confounding Robust Inference26 Feb 2023
- 2023Proximal Causal Learning of Conditional Average Treatment Effects26 Jan 2023
12 newest of 26 All 26 (JSON)