Density of States Estimation for Out-of-Distribution Detection
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Abstract (arXiv)
Perhaps surprisingly, recent studies have shown probabilistic model likelihoods have poor specificity for out-of-distribution (OOD) detection and often assign higher likelihoods to OOD data than in-distribution data. To ameliorate this issue we propose DoSE, the density of states estimator. Drawing on the statistical physics notion of ``density of states,'' the DoSE decision rule avoids direct comparison of model probabilities, and instead utilizes the ``probability of the model probability,'' or indeed the frequency of any reasonable statistic. The frequency is calculated using nonparametric density estimators (e.g., KDE and one-class SVM) which measure the typicality of various model statistics given the training data and from which we can flag test points with low typicality as anomalous. Unlike many other methods, DoSE requires neither labeled data nor OOD examples. DoSE is modular and can be trivially applied to any existing, trained model. We demonstrate DoSE's state-of-the-art performance against other unsupervised OOD detectors on previously established ``hard'' benchmarks.
Key facts. Cited by 74 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 16 Jun 2020.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 20; 2022: 13; 2023: 7; 2024: 12; 2025: 7; 2026: 15.
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- 2021CutPaste: Self-Supervised Learning for Anomaly Detection and Localizationcited by 529
- 2021A Simple Fix to Mahalanobis Distance for Improving Near-OOD Detectioncited by 206
- 2021DEUP: Direct Epistemic Uncertainty Predictioncited by 102
- 2022Denoising diffusion models for out-of-distribution detectioncited by 102
- 2021Understanding Failures in Out-of-Distribution Detection with Deep Generative Modelscited by 89
- 2021Graph Posterior Network: Bayesian Predictive Uncertainty for Node Classificationcited by 79
- 2021Does Your Dermatology Classifier Know What It Doesn't Know? Detecting the Long-Tail of Unseen Conditionscited by 68
- 2023Unsupervised Out-of-Distribution Detection with Diffusion Inpaintingcited by 57
- 2021Neural Mean Discrepancy for Efficient Out-of-Distribution Detectioncited by 42
- 2024A Geometric Explanation of the Likelihood OOD Detection Paradoxcited by 22
- 2024Out-of-Distribution Detection with a Single Unconditional Diffusion Modelcited by 22
- 2021Reliable and Trustworthy Machine Learning for Health Using Dataset Shift Detectioncited by 21
38 more
- 2023Sensitivity-Aware Amortized Bayesian Inferencecited by 20
- 2022A Learning Based Hypothesis Test for Harmful Covariate Shiftcited by 18
- 2021On Out-of-distribution Detection with Energy-based Modelscited by 17
- 2021Bayesian OOD detection with aleatoric uncertainty and outlier exposurecited by 16
- 2021Task-agnostic Continual Learning with Hybrid Probabilistic Modelscited by 16
- 2021Entropic Issues in Likelihood-Based OOD Detectioncited by 16
- 2022Adversarial vulnerability of powerful near out-of-distribution detectioncited by 16
- 2022Model-agnostic out-of-distribution detection using combined statistical testscited by 14
- 2025Out-of-Distribution Detection Methods Answer the Wrong Questionscited by 14
- 2021Natural Posterior Network: Deep Bayesian Uncertainty for Exponential Family Distributionscited by 13
- 2022Out-of-Distribution Detection with Reconstruction Error and Typicality-based Penaltycited by 11
- 2023Likelihood-based Out-of-Distribution Detection with Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Modelscited by 10
- 2024Forte : Finding Outliers with Representation Typicality Estimationcited by 9
- 2022Boosting Out-of-Distribution Detection with Multiple Pre-trained Modelscited by 7
- 2021Detecting Anomalous Event Sequences with Temporal Point Processescited by 6
- 2022Detect, Distill and Update: Learned DB Systems Facing Out of Distribution Datacited by 6
- 2024CLIP-driven Outliers Synthesis for few-shot OOD detectioncited by 6
- 2025K4: Online Log Anomaly Detection Via Unsupervised Typicality Learningcited by 6
- 2021Test for non-negligible adverse shiftscited by 5
- 2021Data Invariants to Understand Unsupervised Out-of-Distribution Detectioncited by 5
- 2022A Comprehensive Review of Trends, Applications and Challenges In Out-of-Distribution Detectioncited by 5
- 2021Towards Robust Active Feature Acquisitioncited by 4
- 2023Morse Neural Networks for Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 4
- 2025EigenScore: OOD Detection using Covariance in Diffusion Modelscited by 4
- 2021InFlow: Robust outlier detection utilizing Normalizing Flowscited by 3
- 2024Distribution Guided Active Feature Acquisitioncited by 3
- 2025SCOPED: Score-Curvature Out-of-distribution Proximity Evaluator for Diffusioncited by 3
- 2026Trust The Typicalcited by 3
- 2022Meta-learning for Out-of-Distribution Detection via Density Estimation in Latent Spacecited by 2
- 2024Approximations to the Fisher Information Metric of Deep Generative Models for Out-Of-Distribution Detectioncited by 2
- 2025Zero-Shot Image Anomaly Detection Using Generative Foundation Modelscited by 2
- 2026Geometry over Density: Few-Shot Cross-Domain OOD Detectioncited by 2
- 2022A Field of Experts Prior for Adapting Neural Networks at Test Timecited by 1
- 2022Out-of-Distribution Detection using BiGAN and MDLcited by 1
- 2022Know Your Space: Inlier and Outlier Construction for Calibrating Medical OOD Detectorscited by 1
- 2023Master's Thesis: Out-of-distribution Detection with Energy-based Modelscited by 1
- 2023Building One-class Detector for Anything: Open-vocabulary Zero-shot OOD Detection Using Text-image Modelscited by 1
- 2023SR-OOD: Out-of-Distribution Detection via Sample Repairingcited by 1
50 most cited of 74 All 74 (JSON)
- 2026OOD Detection for EEG-based Machine Learning in High-Risk Environments18 Aug 2026
- 2026When Confidence Lacks Concepts: Interpretable OOD Detection via Representation Perturbations15 Jun 2026
- 2026Sensitivity Shaping for Latent Modeling12 Jun 2026
- 2026Local Diagnostics of Continuous Normalizing Flow for Out-of-Distribution Detection30 May 2026
- 2026The Signal in the Noise: OOD Detection Through Goodness-of-Fit Testing in Factorised Latent Spaces21 May 2026
- 2026Privacy Policy Enforcement Guardrails for Data-Sensitive Retrieval-Augmented Generation16 May 2026
- 2026Scaling Pretrained Representations Enables Label-Free Out-of-Distribution Detection Without Fine-Tuning7 May 2026
- 2026Geometry over Density: Few-Shot Cross-Domain OOD Detection5 May 2026
- 2026Useful Features, Backward Scores: OOD in Language-Model Trajectories30 Apr 2026
- 2026Anomaly detection in time-series via inductive biases in the latent space of conditional normalizing flows12 Mar 2026
- 2026Why the Counterintuitive Phenomenon of Likelihood Rarely Appears in Tabular Anomaly Detection with Deep Generative Models?10 Feb 2026
- 2026Mitigating the Likelihood Paradox in Flow-based OOD Detection via Entropy Manipulation10 Feb 2026
38 more
- 2026Trust The Typical4 Feb 2026
- 2026Context Determines Optimal Architecture in Materials Segmentation4 Feb 2026
- 2026GEPC: Group-Equivariant Posterior Consistency for Out-of-Distribution Detection in Diffusion Models30 Jan 2026
- 2025EigenScore: OOD Detection using Covariance in Diffusion Models8 Oct 2025
- 2025SCOPED: Score-Curvature Out-of-distribution Proximity Evaluator for Diffusion1 Oct 2025
- 2025Zero-Shot Image Anomaly Detection Using Generative Foundation Models30 Jul 2025
- 2025K4: Online Log Anomaly Detection Via Unsupervised Typicality Learning26 Jul 2025
- 2025Out-of-Distribution Detection Methods Answer the Wrong Questions2 Jul 2025
- 2025Reliably Detecting Model Failures in Deployment Without Labels5 Jun 2025
- 2025DisCoPatch: Taming Adversarially-driven Batch Statistics for Improved Out-of-Distribution Detection14 Jan 2025
- 2024DSDE: Using Proportion Estimation to Improve Model Selection for Out-of-Distribution Detection3 Nov 2024
- 2024Distribution Guided Active Feature Acquisition4 Oct 2024
- 2024Forte : Finding Outliers with Representation Typicality Estimation2 Oct 2024
- 2024Resultant: Incremental Effectiveness on Likelihood for Unsupervised Out-of-Distribution Detection5 Sep 2024
- 2024Resilience and Security of Deep Neural Networks Against Intentional and Unintentional Perturbations: Survey and Research Challenges31 Jul 2024
- 2024Learning Non-Linear Invariants for Unsupervised Out-of-Distribution Detection4 Jul 2024
- 2024Out-of-Distribution Detection with a Single Unconditional Diffusion Model20 May 2024
- 2024VI-OOD: A Unified Representation Learning Framework for Textual Out-of-distribution Detection9 Apr 2024
- 2024CLIP-driven Outliers Synthesis for few-shot OOD detection30 Mar 2024
- 2024A Geometric Explanation of the Likelihood OOD Detection Paradox27 Mar 2024
- 2024Approximations to the Fisher Information Metric of Deep Generative Models for Out-Of-Distribution Detection3 Mar 2024
- 2024Rethinking Test-time Likelihood: The Likelihood Path Principle and Its Application to OOD Detection10 Jan 2024
- 2023Likelihood-based Out-of-Distribution Detection with Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models26 Oct 2023
- 2023Sensitivity-Aware Amortized Bayesian Inference17 Oct 2023
- 2023Morse Neural Networks for Uncertainty Quantification2 Jul 2023
- 2023SR-OOD: Out-of-Distribution Detection via Sample Repairing26 May 2023
- 2023Building One-class Detector for Anything: Open-vocabulary Zero-shot OOD Detection Using Text-image Models26 May 2023
- 2023Unsupervised Out-of-Distribution Detection with Diffusion Inpainting20 Feb 2023
- 2023Master's Thesis: Out-of-distribution Detection with Energy-based Models28 Jan 2023
- 2022Boosting Out-of-Distribution Detection with Multiple Pre-trained Models24 Dec 2022
- 2022Out-of-Distribution Detection with Reconstruction Error and Typicality-based Penalty24 Dec 2022
- 2022A Learning Based Hypothesis Test for Harmful Covariate Shift6 Dec 2022
- 2022Denoising diffusion models for out-of-distribution detection14 Nov 2022
- 2022Detect, Distill and Update: Learned DB Systems Facing Out of Distribution Data11 Oct 2022
- 2022A Comprehensive Review of Trends, Applications and Challenges In Out-of-Distribution Detection26 Sep 2022
- 2022Know Your Space: Inlier and Outlier Construction for Calibrating Medical OOD Detectors12 Jul 2022
- 2022Meta-learning for Out-of-Distribution Detection via Density Estimation in Latent Space20 Jun 2022
- 2022Out-of-Distribution Detection using BiGAN and MDL3 Jun 2022
50 newest of 74 All 74 (JSON)
- 2022Denoising diffusion models for out-of-distribution detectioncited by 102
- 2023Unsupervised Out-of-Distribution Detection with Diffusion Inpaintingcited by 57
- 2024Out-of-Distribution Detection with a Single Unconditional Diffusion Modelcited by 22
- 2023Likelihood-based Out-of-Distribution Detection with Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Modelscited by 10
- 2025EigenScore: OOD Detection using Covariance in Diffusion Modelscited by 4
- 2025SCOPED: Score-Curvature Out-of-distribution Proximity Evaluator for Diffusioncited by 3
- 2024Approximations to the Fisher Information Metric of Deep Generative Models for Out-Of-Distribution Detectioncited by 2
- 2025Zero-Shot Image Anomaly Detection Using Generative Foundation Modelscited by 2
- 2026GEPC: Group-Equivariant Posterior Consistency for Out-of-Distribution Detection in Diffusion Modelscited by 1
- 2026GEPC: Group-Equivariant Posterior Consistency for Out-of-Distribution Detection in Diffusion Models30 Jan 2026
- 2025EigenScore: OOD Detection using Covariance in Diffusion Models8 Oct 2025
- 2025SCOPED: Score-Curvature Out-of-distribution Proximity Evaluator for Diffusion1 Oct 2025
- 2025Zero-Shot Image Anomaly Detection Using Generative Foundation Models30 Jul 2025
- 2024Out-of-Distribution Detection with a Single Unconditional Diffusion Model20 May 2024
- 2024Approximations to the Fisher Information Metric of Deep Generative Models for Out-Of-Distribution Detection3 Mar 2024
- 2023Likelihood-based Out-of-Distribution Detection with Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models26 Oct 2023
- 2023Unsupervised Out-of-Distribution Detection with Diffusion Inpainting20 Feb 2023
- 2022Denoising diffusion models for out-of-distribution detection14 Nov 2022
- 2026Trust The Typicalcited by 3
- 2026Trust The Typical4 Feb 2026
- 2021CutPaste: Self-Supervised Learning for Anomaly Detection and Localizationcited by 529
- 2021A Simple Fix to Mahalanobis Distance for Improving Near-OOD Detectioncited by 206
- 2021DEUP: Direct Epistemic Uncertainty Predictioncited by 102
- 2021Understanding Failures in Out-of-Distribution Detection with Deep Generative Modelscited by 89
- 2021Graph Posterior Network: Bayesian Predictive Uncertainty for Node Classificationcited by 79
- 2021Does Your Dermatology Classifier Know What It Doesn't Know? Detecting the Long-Tail of Unseen Conditionscited by 68
- 2021Neural Mean Discrepancy for Efficient Out-of-Distribution Detectioncited by 42
- 2024A Geometric Explanation of the Likelihood OOD Detection Paradoxcited by 22
- 2021Reliable and Trustworthy Machine Learning for Health Using Dataset Shift Detectioncited by 21
- 2023Sensitivity-Aware Amortized Bayesian Inferencecited by 20
- 2022A Learning Based Hypothesis Test for Harmful Covariate Shiftcited by 18
- 2021On Out-of-distribution Detection with Energy-based Modelscited by 17
12 most cited of 63 All 63 (JSON)
- 2026OOD Detection for EEG-based Machine Learning in High-Risk Environments18 Aug 2026
- 2026When Confidence Lacks Concepts: Interpretable OOD Detection via Representation Perturbations15 Jun 2026
- 2026Sensitivity Shaping for Latent Modeling12 Jun 2026
- 2026Local Diagnostics of Continuous Normalizing Flow for Out-of-Distribution Detection30 May 2026
- 2026The Signal in the Noise: OOD Detection Through Goodness-of-Fit Testing in Factorised Latent Spaces21 May 2026
- 2026Scaling Pretrained Representations Enables Label-Free Out-of-Distribution Detection Without Fine-Tuning7 May 2026
- 2026Geometry over Density: Few-Shot Cross-Domain OOD Detection5 May 2026
- 2026Useful Features, Backward Scores: OOD in Language-Model Trajectories30 Apr 2026
- 2026Anomaly detection in time-series via inductive biases in the latent space of conditional normalizing flows12 Mar 2026
- 2026Why the Counterintuitive Phenomenon of Likelihood Rarely Appears in Tabular Anomaly Detection with Deep Generative Models?10 Feb 2026
- 2026Mitigating the Likelihood Paradox in Flow-based OOD Detection via Entropy Manipulation10 Feb 2026
- 2026Context Determines Optimal Architecture in Materials Segmentation4 Feb 2026
12 newest of 63 All 63 (JSON)