Discrete Residual Flow for Probabilistic Pedestrian Behavior Prediction
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Abstract (arXiv)
Self-driving vehicles plan around both static and dynamic objects, applying predictive models of behavior to estimate future locations of the objects in the environment. However, future behavior is inherently uncertain, and models of motion that produce deterministic outputs are limited to short timescales. Particularly difficult is the prediction of human behavior. In this work, we propose the discrete residual flow network (DRF-Net), a convolutional neural network for human motion prediction that captures the uncertainty inherent in long-range motion forecasting. In particular, our learned network effectively captures multimodal posteriors over future human motion by predicting and updating a discretized distribution over spatial locations. We compare our model against several strong competitors and show that our model outperforms all baselines.
Key facts. Cited by 34 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 17 Oct 2019.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 14; 2022: 7; 2023: 3; 2024: 3; 2025: 3; 2026: 4.
34 papers.
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- 2021DenseTNT: End-to-end Trajectory Prediction from Dense Goal Setscited by 292
- 2021MP3: A Unified Model to Map, Perceive, Predict and Plancited by 211
- 2021HOME: Heatmap Output for future Motion Estimationcited by 122
- 2021LaneRCNN: Distributed Representations for Graph-Centric Motion Forecastingcited by 112
- 2021LookOut: Diverse Multi-Future Prediction and Planning for Self-Drivingcited by 96
- 2022Occupancy Flow Fields for Motion Forecasting in Autonomous Drivingcited by 62
- 2021Semantics for Robotic Mapping, Perception and Interaction: A Surveycited by 56
- 2025MoFlow: One-Step Flow Matching for Human Trajectory Forecasting via Implicit Maximum Likelihood Estimation based Distillationcited by 31
- 2021Review of Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Methods: Comparing Deep Learning and Knowledge-based Approachescited by 30
- 2022Behavioral Intention Prediction in Driving Scenes: A Surveycited by 30
- 2023Grid-Centric Traffic Scenario Perception for Autonomous Driving: A Comprehensive Reviewcited by 25
- 2022End-to-End Trajectory Distribution Prediction Based on Occupancy Grid Mapscited by 22
22 more
- 2021Collaborative Uncertainty in Multi-Agent Trajectory Forecastingcited by 17
- 2021Safety-aware Motion Prediction with Unseen Vehicles for Autonomous Drivingcited by 15
- 2022StopNet: Scalable Trajectory and Occupancy Prediction for Urban Autonomous Drivingcited by 14
- 2025Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving: Progress, Limitations, and Future Directionscited by 14
- 2022Collaborative Uncertainty Benefits Multi-Agent Multi-Modal Trajectory Forecastingcited by 13
- 2024OFMPNet: Deep End-to-End Model for Occupancy and Flow Prediction in Urban Environmentcited by 8
- 2021Safety-Oriented Pedestrian Motion and Scene Occupancy Forecastingcited by 6
- 2021Pose and Semantic Map Based Probabilistic Forecast of Vulnerable Road Users' Trajectoriescited by 6
- 2021A Hybrid Rule-Based and Data-Driven Approach to Driver Modeling through Particle Filteringcited by 6
- 2023Cheap and Deterministic Inference for Deep State-Space Models of Interacting Dynamical Systemscited by 5
- 2021CovarianceNet: Conditional Generative Model for Correct Covariance Prediction in Human Motion Predictioncited by 4
- 2023FlowMap: Path Generation for Automated Vehicles in Open Space Using Traffic Flowcited by 3
- 2025EgoCogNav: Cognition-aware Human Egocentric Navigationcited by 3
- 2021Just Label What You Need: Fine-Grained Active Selection for Perception and Prediction through Partially Labeled Scenescited by 2
- 2022On the Choice of Data for Efficient Training and Validation of End-to-End Driving Modelscited by 2
- 2022ProspectNet: Weighted Conditional Attention for Future Interaction Modeling in Behavior Predictioncited by 1
- 2024GAD-Generative Learning for HD Map-Free Autonomous Drivingcited by 0
- 2024Dynamic Neural Potential Field: Online Trajectory Optimization in the Presence of Moving Obstaclescited by 0
- 2026Uncertainty-Aware Trajectory Prediction: A Unified Framework Harnessing Positional and Semantic Uncertaintiescited by 0
- 2026EgoTraj: Real-World Egocentric Human Trajectory Dataset for Multimodal Predictioncited by 0
- 2026Rethinking Training & Inference for Forecasting: Linking Winner-Take-All back to GMMscited by 0
- 2026TSCA-Net: Temporal-Spatial Clique Attention for Interpretable Multimodal Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 0
- 2026TSCA-Net: Temporal-Spatial Clique Attention for Interpretable Multimodal Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction11 Jul 2026
- 2026Rethinking Training & Inference for Forecasting: Linking Winner-Take-All back to GMMs24 Jun 2026
- 2026EgoTraj: Real-World Egocentric Human Trajectory Dataset for Multimodal Prediction18 May 2026
- 2026Uncertainty-Aware Trajectory Prediction: A Unified Framework Harnessing Positional and Semantic Uncertainties31 Mar 2026
- 2025EgoCogNav: Cognition-aware Human Egocentric Navigation15 Nov 2025
- 2025MoFlow: One-Step Flow Matching for Human Trajectory Forecasting via Implicit Maximum Likelihood Estimation based Distillation13 Mar 2025
- 2025Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving: Progress, Limitations, and Future Directions5 Mar 2025
- 2024Dynamic Neural Potential Field: Online Trajectory Optimization in the Presence of Moving Obstacles9 Oct 2024
- 2024GAD-Generative Learning for HD Map-Free Autonomous Driving1 May 2024
- 2024OFMPNet: Deep End-to-End Model for Occupancy and Flow Prediction in Urban Environment2 Apr 2024
- 2023Cheap and Deterministic Inference for Deep State-Space Models of Interacting Dynamical Systems2 May 2023
- 2023FlowMap: Path Generation for Automated Vehicles in Open Space Using Traffic Flow2 May 2023
22 more
- 2023Grid-Centric Traffic Scenario Perception for Autonomous Driving: A Comprehensive Review2 Mar 2023
- 2022Behavioral Intention Prediction in Driving Scenes: A Survey1 Nov 2022
- 2022ProspectNet: Weighted Conditional Attention for Future Interaction Modeling in Behavior Prediction29 Aug 2022
- 2022Collaborative Uncertainty Benefits Multi-Agent Multi-Modal Trajectory Forecasting11 Jul 2022
- 2022StopNet: Scalable Trajectory and Occupancy Prediction for Urban Autonomous Driving2 Jun 2022
- 2022On the Choice of Data for Efficient Training and Validation of End-to-End Driving Models1 Jun 2022
- 2022End-to-End Trajectory Distribution Prediction Based on Occupancy Grid Maps31 Mar 2022
- 2022Occupancy Flow Fields for Motion Forecasting in Autonomous Driving8 Mar 2022
- 2021Review of Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Methods: Comparing Deep Learning and Knowledge-based Approaches11 Nov 2021
- 2021Collaborative Uncertainty in Multi-Agent Trajectory Forecasting26 Oct 2021
- 2021CovarianceNet: Conditional Generative Model for Correct Covariance Prediction in Human Motion Prediction7 Sep 2021
- 2021Safety-aware Motion Prediction with Unseen Vehicles for Autonomous Driving3 Sep 2021
- 2021A Hybrid Rule-Based and Data-Driven Approach to Driver Modeling through Particle Filtering29 Aug 2021
- 2021DenseTNT: End-to-end Trajectory Prediction from Dense Goal Sets22 Aug 2021
- 2021Pose and Semantic Map Based Probabilistic Forecast of Vulnerable Road Users' Trajectories4 Jun 2021
- 2021HOME: Heatmap Output for future Motion Estimation23 May 2021
- 2021Just Label What You Need: Fine-Grained Active Selection for Perception and Prediction through Partially Labeled Scenes8 Apr 2021
- 2021MP3: A Unified Model to Map, Perceive, Predict and Plan18 Jan 2021
- 2021LaneRCNN: Distributed Representations for Graph-Centric Motion Forecasting17 Jan 2021
- 2021LookOut: Diverse Multi-Future Prediction and Planning for Self-Driving16 Jan 2021
- 2021Safety-Oriented Pedestrian Motion and Scene Occupancy Forecasting7 Jan 2021
- 2021Semantics for Robotic Mapping, Perception and Interaction: A Survey2 Jan 2021
- 2021DenseTNT: End-to-end Trajectory Prediction from Dense Goal Setscited by 292
- 2021MP3: A Unified Model to Map, Perceive, Predict and Plancited by 211
- 2021HOME: Heatmap Output for future Motion Estimationcited by 122
- 2021LaneRCNN: Distributed Representations for Graph-Centric Motion Forecastingcited by 112
- 2022Occupancy Flow Fields for Motion Forecasting in Autonomous Drivingcited by 62
- 2021Semantics for Robotic Mapping, Perception and Interaction: A Surveycited by 56
- 2021Review of Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Methods: Comparing Deep Learning and Knowledge-based Approachescited by 30
- 2022Behavioral Intention Prediction in Driving Scenes: A Surveycited by 30
- 2022End-to-End Trajectory Distribution Prediction Based on Occupancy Grid Mapscited by 22
- 2021Collaborative Uncertainty in Multi-Agent Trajectory Forecastingcited by 17
- 2021Safety-aware Motion Prediction with Unseen Vehicles for Autonomous Drivingcited by 15
- 2022StopNet: Scalable Trajectory and Occupancy Prediction for Urban Autonomous Drivingcited by 14
12 most cited of 30 All 30 (JSON)
- 2026TSCA-Net: Temporal-Spatial Clique Attention for Interpretable Multimodal Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction11 Jul 2026
- 2026Rethinking Training & Inference for Forecasting: Linking Winner-Take-All back to GMMs24 Jun 2026
- 2026EgoTraj: Real-World Egocentric Human Trajectory Dataset for Multimodal Prediction18 May 2026
- 2026Uncertainty-Aware Trajectory Prediction: A Unified Framework Harnessing Positional and Semantic Uncertainties31 Mar 2026
- 2025EgoCogNav: Cognition-aware Human Egocentric Navigation15 Nov 2025
- 2025Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving: Progress, Limitations, and Future Directions5 Mar 2025
- 2024Dynamic Neural Potential Field: Online Trajectory Optimization in the Presence of Moving Obstacles9 Oct 2024
- 2024GAD-Generative Learning for HD Map-Free Autonomous Driving1 May 2024
- 2024OFMPNet: Deep End-to-End Model for Occupancy and Flow Prediction in Urban Environment2 Apr 2024
- 2023Cheap and Deterministic Inference for Deep State-Space Models of Interacting Dynamical Systems2 May 2023
- 2023FlowMap: Path Generation for Automated Vehicles in Open Space Using Traffic Flow2 May 2023
- 2022Behavioral Intention Prediction in Driving Scenes: A Survey1 Nov 2022
12 newest of 30 All 30 (JSON)