PORCA: Modeling and Planning for Autonomous Driving among Many Pedestrians
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Abstract (arXiv)
This paper presents a planning system for autonomous driving among many pedestrians. A key ingredient of our approach is PORCA, a pedestrian motion prediction model that accounts for both a pedestrian's global navigation intention and local interactions with the vehicle and other pedestrians. Unfortunately, the autonomous vehicle does not know the pedestrian's intention a priori and requires a planning algorithm that hedges against the uncertainty in pedestrian intentions. Our planning system combines a POMDP algorithm with the pedestrian motion model and runs in near real time. Experiments show that it enables a robot vehicle to drive safely, efficiently, and smoothly among a crowd with a density of nearly one person per square meter.
Key facts. Cited by 36 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 30 May 2018.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 6; 2022: 9; 2023: 9; 2024: 5; 2025: 4; 2026: 3.
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- 2022BEVerse: Unified Perception and Prediction in Birds-Eye-View for Vision-Centric Autonomous Drivingcited by 191
- 2021SGCN:Sparse Graph Convolution Network for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 97
- 2022Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes in Robotics: A Surveycited by 86
- 2022Adaptive Trajectory Prediction via Transferable GNNcited by 51
- 2023Social-Transmotion: Promptable Human Trajectory Predictioncited by 33
- 2023FEND: A Future Enhanced Distribution-Aware Contrastive Learning Framework for Long-tail Trajectory Predictioncited by 31
- 2021SSAGCN: Social Soft Attention Graph Convolution Network for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 19
- 2024Progressive Pretext Task Learning for Human Trajectory Predictioncited by 16
- 2024Language-Driven Active Learning for Diverse Open-Set 3D Object Detectioncited by 15
- 2021Closing the Planning-Learning Loop with Application to Autonomous Drivingcited by 12
- 2024The Role of Predictive Uncertainty and Diversity in Embodied AI and Robot Learningcited by 11
- 2022D2-TPred: Discontinuous Dependency for Trajectory Prediction under Traffic Lightscited by 10
24 more
- 2023MotionBEV: Attention-Aware Online LiDAR Moving Object Segmentation with Bird's Eye View based Appearance and Motion Featurescited by 10
- 2022Aware of the History: Trajectory Forecasting with the Local Behavior Datacited by 9
- 2023Social Motion Prediction with Cognitive Hierarchiescited by 9
- 2025BP-SGCN: Behavioral Pseudo-Label Informed Sparse Graph Convolution Network for Pedestrian and Heterogeneous Trajectory Predictioncited by 9
- 2023ForceFormer: Exploring Social Force and Transformer for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 7
- 2021Navigation In Urban Environments Amongst Pedestrians Using Multi-Objective Deep Reinforcement Learningcited by 5
- 2022Pedestrian-Robot Interactions on Autonomous Crowd Navigation: Reactive Control Methods and Evaluation Metricscited by 5
- 2021Reinforcement Learning based Negotiation-aware Motion Planning of Autonomous Vehiclescited by 4
- 2021Sliding Sequential CVAE with Time Variant Socially-aware Rethinking for Trajectory Predictioncited by 4
- 2022Intention-Aware Navigation in Crowds with Extended-Space POMDP Planningcited by 4
- 2023JRDB-Traj: A Dataset and Benchmark for Trajectory Forecasting in Crowdscited by 4
- 2024Multi-Camera Asynchronous Ball Localization and Trajectory Prediction with Factor Graphs and Human Posescited by 4
- 2025ViTE: Virtual Graph Trajectory Expert Router for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 4
- 2023IA-LSTM: Interaction-Aware LSTM for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 3
- 2024Learning responsibility allocations for multi-agent interactions: A differentiable optimization approach with control barrier functionscited by 3
- 2023SG-LSTM: Social Group LSTM for Robot Navigation Through Dense Crowdscited by 2
- 2025Pedestrian-Aware Motion Planning for Autonomous Driving in Complex Urban Scenarioscited by 2
- 2022TPAD: Identifying Effective Trajectory Predictions Under the Guidance of Trajectory Anomaly Detection Modelcited by 1
- 2022ProspectNet: Weighted Conditional Attention for Future Interaction Modeling in Behavior Predictioncited by 1
- 2023EANet: Expert Attention Network for Online Trajectory Predictioncited by 1
- 2026ART: Adaptive Relational Transformer for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction with Temporal-Aware Relationscited by 1
- 2025Trustworthy Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction via Pattern-Aware Interaction Modelingcited by 0
- 2026Think When It Matters: Conditional VLM Reasoning for Social Navigation with RL Policiescited by 0
- 2026TSCA-Net: Temporal-Spatial Clique Attention for Interpretable Multimodal Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 0
- 2026Think When It Matters: Conditional VLM Reasoning for Social Navigation with RL Policies13 Jul 2026
- 2026TSCA-Net: Temporal-Spatial Clique Attention for Interpretable Multimodal Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction11 Jul 2026
- 2026ART: Adaptive Relational Transformer for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction with Temporal-Aware Relations4 Apr 2026
- 2025ViTE: Virtual Graph Trajectory Expert Router for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction15 Nov 2025
- 2025Trustworthy Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction via Pattern-Aware Interaction Modeling16 Jul 2025
- 2025Pedestrian-Aware Motion Planning for Autonomous Driving in Complex Urban Scenarios2 Apr 2025
- 2025BP-SGCN: Behavioral Pseudo-Label Informed Sparse Graph Convolution Network for Pedestrian and Heterogeneous Trajectory Prediction20 Feb 2025
- 2024Learning responsibility allocations for multi-agent interactions: A differentiable optimization approach with control barrier functions9 Oct 2024
- 2024Progressive Pretext Task Learning for Human Trajectory Prediction16 Jul 2024
- 2024The Role of Predictive Uncertainty and Diversity in Embodied AI and Robot Learning6 May 2024
- 2024Language-Driven Active Learning for Diverse Open-Set 3D Object Detection19 Apr 2024
- 2024Multi-Camera Asynchronous Ball Localization and Trajectory Prediction with Factor Graphs and Human Poses30 Jan 2024
24 more
- 2023Social-Transmotion: Promptable Human Trajectory Prediction26 Dec 2023
- 2023IA-LSTM: Interaction-Aware LSTM for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction26 Nov 2023
- 2023Social Motion Prediction with Cognitive Hierarchies8 Nov 2023
- 2023JRDB-Traj: A Dataset and Benchmark for Trajectory Forecasting in Crowds5 Nov 2023
- 2023EANet: Expert Attention Network for Online Trajectory Prediction11 Sep 2023
- 2023MotionBEV: Attention-Aware Online LiDAR Moving Object Segmentation with Bird's Eye View based Appearance and Motion Features12 May 2023
- 2023FEND: A Future Enhanced Distribution-Aware Contrastive Learning Framework for Long-tail Trajectory Prediction29 Mar 2023
- 2023SG-LSTM: Social Group LSTM for Robot Navigation Through Dense Crowds8 Mar 2023
- 2023ForceFormer: Exploring Social Force and Transformer for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction15 Feb 2023
- 2022Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes in Robotics: A Survey21 Sep 2022
- 2022ProspectNet: Weighted Conditional Attention for Future Interaction Modeling in Behavior Prediction29 Aug 2022
- 2022Pedestrian-Robot Interactions on Autonomous Crowd Navigation: Reactive Control Methods and Evaluation Metrics3 Aug 2022
- 2022D2-TPred: Discontinuous Dependency for Trajectory Prediction under Traffic Lights21 Jul 2022
- 2022Aware of the History: Trajectory Forecasting with the Local Behavior Data20 Jul 2022
- 2022Intention-Aware Navigation in Crowds with Extended-Space POMDP Planning20 Jun 2022
- 2022BEVerse: Unified Perception and Prediction in Birds-Eye-View for Vision-Centric Autonomous Driving19 May 2022
- 2022Adaptive Trajectory Prediction via Transferable GNN9 Mar 2022
- 2022TPAD: Identifying Effective Trajectory Predictions Under the Guidance of Trajectory Anomaly Detection Model9 Jan 2022
- 2021SSAGCN: Social Soft Attention Graph Convolution Network for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction5 Dec 2021
- 2021Sliding Sequential CVAE with Time Variant Socially-aware Rethinking for Trajectory Prediction28 Oct 2021
- 2021Navigation In Urban Environments Amongst Pedestrians Using Multi-Objective Deep Reinforcement Learning11 Oct 2021
- 2021Reinforcement Learning based Negotiation-aware Motion Planning of Autonomous Vehicles8 Jul 2021
- 2021SGCN:Sparse Graph Convolution Network for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction4 Apr 2021
- 2021Closing the Planning-Learning Loop with Application to Autonomous Driving11 Jan 2021
- 2023Social Motion Prediction with Cognitive Hierarchiescited by 9
- 2023Social Motion Prediction with Cognitive Hierarchies8 Nov 2023
- 2022BEVerse: Unified Perception and Prediction in Birds-Eye-View for Vision-Centric Autonomous Drivingcited by 191
- 2021SGCN:Sparse Graph Convolution Network for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 97
- 2022Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes in Robotics: A Surveycited by 86
- 2022Adaptive Trajectory Prediction via Transferable GNNcited by 51
- 2023Social-Transmotion: Promptable Human Trajectory Predictioncited by 33
- 2023FEND: A Future Enhanced Distribution-Aware Contrastive Learning Framework for Long-tail Trajectory Predictioncited by 31
- 2021SSAGCN: Social Soft Attention Graph Convolution Network for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 19
- 2024Progressive Pretext Task Learning for Human Trajectory Predictioncited by 16
- 2024Language-Driven Active Learning for Diverse Open-Set 3D Object Detectioncited by 15
- 2024The Role of Predictive Uncertainty and Diversity in Embodied AI and Robot Learningcited by 11
- 2022D2-TPred: Discontinuous Dependency for Trajectory Prediction under Traffic Lightscited by 10
- 2023MotionBEV: Attention-Aware Online LiDAR Moving Object Segmentation with Bird's Eye View based Appearance and Motion Featurescited by 10
12 most cited of 31 All 31 (JSON)
- 2026TSCA-Net: Temporal-Spatial Clique Attention for Interpretable Multimodal Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction11 Jul 2026
- 2026ART: Adaptive Relational Transformer for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction with Temporal-Aware Relations4 Apr 2026
- 2025ViTE: Virtual Graph Trajectory Expert Router for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction15 Nov 2025
- 2025Trustworthy Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction via Pattern-Aware Interaction Modeling16 Jul 2025
- 2025BP-SGCN: Behavioral Pseudo-Label Informed Sparse Graph Convolution Network for Pedestrian and Heterogeneous Trajectory Prediction20 Feb 2025
- 2024Learning responsibility allocations for multi-agent interactions: A differentiable optimization approach with control barrier functions9 Oct 2024
- 2024Progressive Pretext Task Learning for Human Trajectory Prediction16 Jul 2024
- 2024The Role of Predictive Uncertainty and Diversity in Embodied AI and Robot Learning6 May 2024
- 2024Language-Driven Active Learning for Diverse Open-Set 3D Object Detection19 Apr 2024
- 2024Multi-Camera Asynchronous Ball Localization and Trajectory Prediction with Factor Graphs and Human Poses30 Jan 2024
- 2023Social-Transmotion: Promptable Human Trajectory Prediction26 Dec 2023
- 2023IA-LSTM: Interaction-Aware LSTM for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction26 Nov 2023
12 newest of 31 All 31 (JSON)