A Review of Self-Exciting Spatio-Temporal Point Processes and Their Applications
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Abstract (arXiv)
Self-exciting spatio-temporal point process models predict the rate of events as a function of space, time, and the previous history of events. These models naturally capture triggering and clustering behavior, and have been widely used in fields where spatio-temporal clustering of events is observed, such as earthquake modeling, infectious disease, and crime. In the past several decades, advances have been made in estimation, inference, simulation, and diagnostic tools for self-exciting point process models. In this review, I describe the basic theory, survey related estimation and inference techniques from each field, highlight several key applications, and suggest directions for future research.
Key facts. Cited by 40 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 8 Aug 2017.
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Citing papers per year: 2019: 1; 2020: 0; 2021: 10; 2022: 2; 2023: 8; 2024: 3; 2025: 10; 2026: 6.
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- 2023Spatio-temporal Diffusion Point Processescited by 52
- 2021Neural Point Process for Learning Spatiotemporal Event Dynamicscited by 42
- 2021The effect of differential victim crime reporting on predictive policing systemscited by 15
- 2023Automatic Integration for Spatiotemporal Neural Point Processescited by 13
- 2021Mitigating Performance Saturation in Neural Marked Point Processes: Architectures and Loss Functionscited by 12
- 2021Neural Spectral Marked Point Processescited by 10
- 2025TimeGraph: Synthetic Benchmark Datasets for Robust Time-Series Causal Discoverycited by 9
- 2022Spatio-temporal point processes with deep non-stationary kernelscited by 8
- 2021Sequential change-point detection for mutually exciting point processes over networkscited by 7
- 2023Conditional Generative Modeling for High-dimensional Marked Temporal Point Processescited by 7
- 2023Intensity-free Convolutional Temporal Point Process: Incorporating Local and Global Event Contextscited by 6
- 2023TS-Diffusion: Generating Highly Complex Time Series with Diffusion Modelscited by 6
28 more
- 2021Interval-censored Hawkes processescited by 5
- 2025Neural Spatiotemporal Point Processes: Trends and Challengescited by 5
- 2021Understanding the Spread of COVID-19 Epidemic: A Spatio-Temporal Point Process Viewcited by 3
- 2021Bayesian Neural Hawkes Process for Event Uncertainty Predictioncited by 3
- 2023Discovering Intrinsic Spatial-Temporal Logic Rules to Explain Human Actionscited by 3
- 2024Flexible Parametric Inference for Space-Time Hawkes Processescited by 3
- 2021Scalable Marked Point Processes for Exchangeable and Non-Exchangeable Event Sequencescited by 2
- 2024Hierarchical Probabilistic Conformal Prediction for Distributed Energy Resources Adoptioncited by 2
- 2025Fine-grained Spatio-temporal Event Prediction with Self-adaptive Anchor Graphcited by 2
- 2025A Spatio-Temporal Point Process for Fine-Grained Modeling of Reading Behaviorcited by 2
- 2022Cox-Hawkes: doubly stochastic spatiotemporal Poisson processescited by 1
- 2024New User Event Prediction Through the Lens of Causal Inferencecited by 1
- 2025Likelihood-Free Estimation for Spatiotemporal Hawkes processes with missing data and application to predictive policingcited by 1
- 2025Deep spatio-temporal point processes: Advances and new directionscited by 1
- 2026Score-Based Change-Point Detection and Region Localization for Spatio-Temporal Point Processescited by 1
- 2026Cascade-Aware Multi-Agent Routing: Spatio-Temporal Sidecars and Geometry-Switchingcited by 1
- 2019Imitation Learning of Neural Spatio-Temporal Point Processescited by 0
- 2021Spatio-temporal extreme event modeling of terror insurgenciescited by 0
- 2023Detecting Dataset Drift and Non-IID Sampling via k-Nearest Neighborscited by 0
- 2023Graph Representation of the Magnetic Field Topology in High-Fidelity Plasma Simulations for Machine Learning Applicationscited by 0
- 2025Modeling Discrete Coating Degradation Events via Hawkes Processescited by 0
- 2025Deep Graph Neural Point Process For Learning Temporal Interactive Networkscited by 0
- 2025A Semiparametric Discrete Hawkes Model with a Collapsed Gaussian-Process Priorcited by 0
- 2025Temporal Tokenization Strategies for Event Sequence Modeling with Large Language Modelscited by 0
- 2026Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Neural Hawkes Processescited by 0
- 2026Arbitrarily Conditioned Hierarchical Flows for Spatiotemporal Eventscited by 0
- 2026Seahorse: A Unified Benchmarking Framework for Spatiotemporal Event Modelingcited by 0
- 2026When Context Compensates for Sparse Event History: AlphaEarth for Spatio-Temporal Point-Process Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026When Context Compensates for Sparse Event History: AlphaEarth for Spatio-Temporal Point-Process Forecasting1 Jul 2026
- 2026Seahorse: A Unified Benchmarking Framework for Spatiotemporal Event Modeling1 Jul 2026
- 2026Arbitrarily Conditioned Hierarchical Flows for Spatiotemporal Events2 May 2026
- 2026Cascade-Aware Multi-Agent Routing: Spatio-Temporal Sidecars and Geometry-Switching17 Mar 2026
- 2026Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Neural Hawkes Processes27 Feb 2026
- 2026Score-Based Change-Point Detection and Region Localization for Spatio-Temporal Point Processes4 Feb 2026
- 2025Temporal Tokenization Strategies for Event Sequence Modeling with Large Language Models15 Dec 2025
- 2025A Semiparametric Discrete Hawkes Model with a Collapsed Gaussian-Process Prior26 Sep 2025
- 2025Deep Graph Neural Point Process For Learning Temporal Interactive Networks17 Aug 2025
- 2025A Spatio-Temporal Point Process for Fine-Grained Modeling of Reading Behavior24 Jun 2025
- 2025TimeGraph: Synthetic Benchmark Datasets for Robust Time-Series Causal Discovery2 Jun 2025
- 2025Modeling Discrete Coating Degradation Events via Hawkes Processes13 Apr 2025
28 more
- 2025Deep spatio-temporal point processes: Advances and new directions8 Apr 2025
- 2025Neural Spatiotemporal Point Processes: Trends and Challenges13 Feb 2025
- 2025Likelihood-Free Estimation for Spatiotemporal Hawkes processes with missing data and application to predictive policing10 Feb 2025
- 2025Fine-grained Spatio-temporal Event Prediction with Self-adaptive Anchor Graph15 Jan 2025
- 2024Hierarchical Probabilistic Conformal Prediction for Distributed Energy Resources Adoption19 Nov 2024
- 2024New User Event Prediction Through the Lens of Causal Inference8 Jul 2024
- 2024Flexible Parametric Inference for Space-Time Hawkes Processes10 Jun 2024
- 2023TS-Diffusion: Generating Highly Complex Time Series with Diffusion Models6 Nov 2023
- 2023Automatic Integration for Spatiotemporal Neural Point Processes9 Oct 2023
- 2023Graph Representation of the Magnetic Field Topology in High-Fidelity Plasma Simulations for Machine Learning Applications10 Jul 2023
- 2023Intensity-free Convolutional Temporal Point Process: Incorporating Local and Global Event Contexts24 Jun 2023
- 2023Discovering Intrinsic Spatial-Temporal Logic Rules to Explain Human Actions21 Jun 2023
- 2023Detecting Dataset Drift and Non-IID Sampling via k-Nearest Neighbors25 May 2023
- 2023Conditional Generative Modeling for High-dimensional Marked Temporal Point Processes21 May 2023
- 2023Spatio-temporal Diffusion Point Processes21 May 2023
- 2022Spatio-temporal point processes with deep non-stationary kernels21 Nov 2022
- 2022Cox-Hawkes: doubly stochastic spatiotemporal Poisson processes21 Oct 2022
- 2021Bayesian Neural Hawkes Process for Event Uncertainty Prediction29 Dec 2021
- 2021Neural Point Process for Learning Spatiotemporal Event Dynamics12 Dec 2021
- 2021Spatio-temporal extreme event modeling of terror insurgencies15 Oct 2021
- 2021Mitigating Performance Saturation in Neural Marked Point Processes: Architectures and Loss Functions7 Jul 2021
- 2021Understanding the Spread of COVID-19 Epidemic: A Spatio-Temporal Point Process View24 Jun 2021
- 2021Neural Spectral Marked Point Processes20 Jun 2021
- 2021Scalable Marked Point Processes for Exchangeable and Non-Exchangeable Event Sequences30 May 2021
- 2021Interval-censored Hawkes processes16 Apr 2021
- 2021Sequential change-point detection for mutually exciting point processes over networks10 Feb 2021
- 2021The effect of differential victim crime reporting on predictive policing systems30 Jan 2021
- 2019Imitation Learning of Neural Spatio-Temporal Point Processes13 Jun 2019
- 2019Imitation Learning of Neural Spatio-Temporal Point Processes13 Jun 2019
- 2023Spatio-temporal Diffusion Point Processescited by 52
- 2021Neural Point Process for Learning Spatiotemporal Event Dynamicscited by 42
- 2021The effect of differential victim crime reporting on predictive policing systemscited by 15
- 2023Automatic Integration for Spatiotemporal Neural Point Processescited by 13
- 2021Mitigating Performance Saturation in Neural Marked Point Processes: Architectures and Loss Functionscited by 12
- 2021Neural Spectral Marked Point Processescited by 10
- 2025TimeGraph: Synthetic Benchmark Datasets for Robust Time-Series Causal Discoverycited by 9
- 2022Spatio-temporal point processes with deep non-stationary kernelscited by 8
- 2021Sequential change-point detection for mutually exciting point processes over networkscited by 7
- 2023Conditional Generative Modeling for High-dimensional Marked Temporal Point Processescited by 7
- 2023Intensity-free Convolutional Temporal Point Process: Incorporating Local and Global Event Contextscited by 6
- 2021Interval-censored Hawkes processescited by 5
12 most cited of 38 All 38 (JSON)
- 2026When Context Compensates for Sparse Event History: AlphaEarth for Spatio-Temporal Point-Process Forecasting1 Jul 2026
- 2026Seahorse: A Unified Benchmarking Framework for Spatiotemporal Event Modeling1 Jul 2026
- 2026Arbitrarily Conditioned Hierarchical Flows for Spatiotemporal Events2 May 2026
- 2026Cascade-Aware Multi-Agent Routing: Spatio-Temporal Sidecars and Geometry-Switching17 Mar 2026
- 2026Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Neural Hawkes Processes27 Feb 2026
- 2026Score-Based Change-Point Detection and Region Localization for Spatio-Temporal Point Processes4 Feb 2026
- 2025Temporal Tokenization Strategies for Event Sequence Modeling with Large Language Models15 Dec 2025
- 2025A Semiparametric Discrete Hawkes Model with a Collapsed Gaussian-Process Prior26 Sep 2025
- 2025Deep Graph Neural Point Process For Learning Temporal Interactive Networks17 Aug 2025
- 2025A Spatio-Temporal Point Process for Fine-Grained Modeling of Reading Behavior24 Jun 2025
- 2025TimeGraph: Synthetic Benchmark Datasets for Robust Time-Series Causal Discovery2 Jun 2025
- 2025Modeling Discrete Coating Degradation Events via Hawkes Processes13 Apr 2025
12 newest of 38 All 38 (JSON)