Some methods for heterogeneous treatment effect estimation in high-dimensions
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Abstract (arXiv)
When devising a course of treatment for a patient, doctors often have little quantitative evidence on which to base their decisions, beyond their medical education and published clinical trials. Stanford Health Care alone has millions of electronic medical records (EMRs) that are only just recently being leveraged to inform better treatment recommendations. These data present a unique challenge because they are high-dimensional and observational. Our goal is to make personalized treatment recommendations based on the outcomes for past patients similar to a new patient. We propose and analyze three methods for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using observational data. Our methods perform well in simulations using a wide variety of treatment effect functions, and we present results of applying the two most promising methods to data from The SPRINT Data Analysis Challenge, from a large randomized trial of a treatment for high blood pressure.
Key facts. Cited by 48 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 1 Jul 2017.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 10; 2022: 12; 2023: 12; 2024: 5; 2025: 8; 2026: 1.
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- 2021Conditional Distributional Treatment Effect with Kernel Conditional Mean Embeddings and U-Statistic Regressioncited by 40
- 2021DoWhy: Addressing Challenges in Expressing and Validating Causal Assumptionscited by 20
- 2023An Adaptive Kernel Approach to Federated Learning of Heterogeneous Causal Effectscited by 19
- 2021Learning Optimal Prescriptive Trees from Observational Datacited by 10
- 2022Comparison of meta-learners for estimating multi-valued treatment heterogeneous effectscited by 10
- 2021Shrinkage Bayesian Causal Forests for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects Estimationcited by 7
- 2022Efficient Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation With Multiple Experiments and Multiple Outcomescited by 6
- 2023Leveraging text data for causal inference using electronic health recordscited by 5
- 2021Federated Estimation of Causal Effects from Observational Datacited by 4
- 2021Meta-Analysis of Randomized Experiments with Applications to Heavy-Tailed Response Datacited by 4
- 2022Meta-Learners for Estimation of Causal Effects: Finite Sample Cross-Fit Performancecited by 4
- 2022Ensemble Method for Estimating Individualized Treatment Effectscited by 4
36 more
- 2022What Makes Forest-Based Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimators Work?cited by 4
- 2022Heterogeneous Treatment Effect with Trained Kernels of the Nadaraya-Watson Regressioncited by 4
- 2023Comparison of Methods that Combine Multiple Randomized Trials to Estimate Heterogeneous Treatment Effectscited by 4
- 2023Multi-Study R-Learner for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects Across Studies Using Statistical Machine Learningcited by 4
- 2022Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation for Observational Data using Model-based Forestscited by 3
- 2023The Connection Between R-Learning and Inverse-Variance Weighting for Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effectscited by 3
- 2023When is Off-Policy Evaluation (Reward Modeling) Useful in Contextual Bandits? A Data-Centric Perspectivecited by 3
- 2024Practical Marketplace Optimization at Uber Using Causally-Informed Machine Learningcited by 3
- 2021To do or not to do: cost-sensitive causal decision-makingcited by 2
- 2021Prescriptive Machine Learning for Automated Decision Making: Challenges and Opportunitiescited by 2
- 2022Heterogeneous Synthetic Learner for Panel Datacited by 2
- 2023How to select predictive models for causal inference?cited by 2
- 2023CATE Lasso: Conditional Average Treatment Effect Estimation with High-Dimensional Linear Regressioncited by 2
- 2024Federated Learning for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effectscited by 2
- 2022Benign-Overfitting in Conditional Average Treatment Effect Prediction with Linear Regressioncited by 1
- 2022A Double Machine Learning Trend Model for Citizen Science Datacited by 1
- 2022Robust Direct Learning for Causal Data Fusioncited by 1
- 2022BENK: The Beran Estimator with Neural Kernels for Estimating the Heterogeneous Treatment Effectcited by 1
- 2023Data-Driven Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effectscited by 1
- 2023Learning Prescriptive ReLU Networkscited by 1
- 2024Combining Incomplete Observational and Randomized Data for Heterogeneous Treatment Effectscited by 1
- 2025Overview and practical recommendations on using Shapley Values for identifying predictive biomarkers via CATE modelingcited by 1
- 2025Horseshoe Forests for High-Dimensional Causal Survival Analysiscited by 1
- 2025A Relative Error-Based Evaluation Framework of Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimatorscited by 1
- 2021A Twin Neural Model for Upliftcited by 0
- 2021Adaptive Multi-Source Causal Inferencecited by 0
- 2023Stable Probability Weighting: Large-Sample and Finite-Sample Estimation and Inference Methods for Heterogeneous Causal Effects of Multivalued Treatments Under Limited Overlapcited by 0
- 2023Generalized Random Forests using Fixed-Point Treescited by 0
- 2024Applications of 0-1 Neural Networks in Prescription and Predictioncited by 0
- 2024Triple/Debiased Lasso for Statistical Inference of Conditional Average Treatment Effectscited by 0
- 2025Causal rule ensemble approach for multi-arm datacited by 0
- 2025Statistical Learning for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects: Pretraining, Prognosis, and Predictioncited by 0
- 2025Heterogeneous Causal Learning for Optimizing Aggregated Functions in User Growthcited by 0
- 2025Deep Learning of Continuous and Structured Policies for Aggregated Heterogeneous Treatment Effectscited by 0
- 2025Assessment of the conditional exchangeability assumption in causal machine learning models: a simulation studycited by 0
- 2026Estimating Treatment Effects for Depression in Longitudinal Therapy Switching Settingscited by 0
- 2026Estimating Treatment Effects for Depression in Longitudinal Therapy Switching Settings16 Jun 2026
- 2025Assessment of the conditional exchangeability assumption in causal machine learning models: a simulation study30 Oct 2025
- 2025A Relative Error-Based Evaluation Framework of Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimators18 Oct 2025
- 2025Horseshoe Forests for High-Dimensional Causal Survival Analysis29 Jul 2025
- 2025Deep Learning of Continuous and Structured Policies for Aggregated Heterogeneous Treatment Effects7 Jul 2025
- 2025Heterogeneous Causal Learning for Optimizing Aggregated Functions in User Growth7 Jul 2025
- 2025Overview and practical recommendations on using Shapley Values for identifying predictive biomarkers via CATE modeling2 May 2025
- 2025Statistical Learning for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects: Pretraining, Prognosis, and Prediction1 May 2025
- 2025Causal rule ensemble approach for multi-arm data24 Apr 2025
- 2024Combining Incomplete Observational and Randomized Data for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects28 Oct 2024
- 2024Practical Marketplace Optimization at Uber Using Causally-Informed Machine Learning26 Jul 2024
- 2024Triple/Debiased Lasso for Statistical Inference of Conditional Average Treatment Effects5 Mar 2024
36 more
- 2024Applications of 0-1 Neural Networks in Prescription and Prediction29 Feb 2024
- 2024Federated Learning for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects27 Feb 2024
- 2023When is Off-Policy Evaluation (Reward Modeling) Useful in Contextual Bandits? A Data-Centric Perspective23 Nov 2023
- 2023CATE Lasso: Conditional Average Treatment Effect Estimation with High-Dimensional Linear Regression25 Oct 2023
- 2023The Connection Between R-Learning and Inverse-Variance Weighting for Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects19 Jul 2023
- 2023Generalized Random Forests using Fixed-Point Trees20 Jun 2023
- 2023Leveraging text data for causal inference using electronic health records9 Jun 2023
- 2023Multi-Study R-Learner for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects Across Studies Using Statistical Machine Learning1 Jun 2023
- 2023Learning Prescriptive ReLU Networks1 Jun 2023
- 2023Comparison of Methods that Combine Multiple Randomized Trials to Estimate Heterogeneous Treatment Effects28 Mar 2023
- 2023How to select predictive models for causal inference?1 Feb 2023
- 2023Data-Driven Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects16 Jan 2023
- 2023Stable Probability Weighting: Large-Sample and Finite-Sample Estimation and Inference Methods for Heterogeneous Causal Effects of Multivalued Treatments Under Limited Overlap13 Jan 2023
- 2023An Adaptive Kernel Approach to Federated Learning of Heterogeneous Causal Effects1 Jan 2023
- 2022Heterogeneous Synthetic Learner for Panel Data30 Dec 2022
- 2022BENK: The Beran Estimator with Neural Kernels for Estimating the Heterogeneous Treatment Effect19 Nov 2022
- 2022Robust Direct Learning for Causal Data Fusion1 Nov 2022
- 2022A Double Machine Learning Trend Model for Citizen Science Data27 Oct 2022
- 2022Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation for Observational Data using Model-based Forests6 Oct 2022
- 2022Heterogeneous Treatment Effect with Trained Kernels of the Nadaraya-Watson Regression19 Jul 2022
- 2022What Makes Forest-Based Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimators Work?21 Jun 2022
- 2022Efficient Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation With Multiple Experiments and Multiple Outcomes10 Jun 2022
- 2022Comparison of meta-learners for estimating multi-valued treatment heterogeneous effects29 May 2022
- 2022Ensemble Method for Estimating Individualized Treatment Effects25 Feb 2022
- 2022Benign-Overfitting in Conditional Average Treatment Effect Prediction with Linear Regression10 Feb 2022
- 2022Meta-Learners for Estimation of Causal Effects: Finite Sample Cross-Fit Performance30 Jan 2022
- 2021Prescriptive Machine Learning for Automated Decision Making: Challenges and Opportunities15 Dec 2021
- 2021Meta-Analysis of Randomized Experiments with Applications to Heavy-Tailed Response Data14 Dec 2021
- 2021Learning Optimal Prescriptive Trees from Observational Data31 Aug 2021
- 2021DoWhy: Addressing Challenges in Expressing and Validating Causal Assumptions27 Aug 2021
- 2021Federated Estimation of Causal Effects from Observational Data31 May 2021
- 2021Adaptive Multi-Source Causal Inference31 May 2021
- 2021A Twin Neural Model for Uplift11 May 2021
- 2021Conditional Distributional Treatment Effect with Kernel Conditional Mean Embeddings and U-Statistic Regression16 Feb 2021
- 2021Shrinkage Bayesian Causal Forests for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects Estimation12 Feb 2021
- 2021To do or not to do: cost-sensitive causal decision-making5 Jan 2021
- 2021Conditional Distributional Treatment Effect with Kernel Conditional Mean Embeddings and U-Statistic Regressioncited by 40
- 2021DoWhy: Addressing Challenges in Expressing and Validating Causal Assumptionscited by 20
- 2023An Adaptive Kernel Approach to Federated Learning of Heterogeneous Causal Effectscited by 19
- 2021Learning Optimal Prescriptive Trees from Observational Datacited by 10
- 2022Comparison of meta-learners for estimating multi-valued treatment heterogeneous effectscited by 10
- 2021Shrinkage Bayesian Causal Forests for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects Estimationcited by 7
- 2022Efficient Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation With Multiple Experiments and Multiple Outcomescited by 6
- 2023Leveraging text data for causal inference using electronic health recordscited by 5
- 2021Federated Estimation of Causal Effects from Observational Datacited by 4
- 2021Meta-Analysis of Randomized Experiments with Applications to Heavy-Tailed Response Datacited by 4
- 2022Meta-Learners for Estimation of Causal Effects: Finite Sample Cross-Fit Performancecited by 4
- 2022Ensemble Method for Estimating Individualized Treatment Effectscited by 4
12 most cited of 47 All 47 (JSON)
- 2026Estimating Treatment Effects for Depression in Longitudinal Therapy Switching Settings16 Jun 2026
- 2025Assessment of the conditional exchangeability assumption in causal machine learning models: a simulation study30 Oct 2025
- 2025A Relative Error-Based Evaluation Framework of Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimators18 Oct 2025
- 2025Horseshoe Forests for High-Dimensional Causal Survival Analysis29 Jul 2025
- 2025Deep Learning of Continuous and Structured Policies for Aggregated Heterogeneous Treatment Effects7 Jul 2025
- 2025Heterogeneous Causal Learning for Optimizing Aggregated Functions in User Growth7 Jul 2025
- 2025Overview and practical recommendations on using Shapley Values for identifying predictive biomarkers via CATE modeling2 May 2025
- 2025Statistical Learning for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects: Pretraining, Prognosis, and Prediction1 May 2025
- 2025Causal rule ensemble approach for multi-arm data24 Apr 2025
- 2024Combining Incomplete Observational and Randomized Data for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects28 Oct 2024
- 2024Practical Marketplace Optimization at Uber Using Causally-Informed Machine Learning26 Jul 2024
- 2024Triple/Debiased Lasso for Statistical Inference of Conditional Average Treatment Effects5 Mar 2024
12 newest of 47 All 47 (JSON)