mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

A Relative Error-Based Evaluation Framework of Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimators

arXiv 2510.16419 ↗First posted 18 Oct 2025stat.ML cs.LGcited by 1

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Abstract (arXiv)

While significant progress has been made in heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) estimation, the evaluation of HTE estimators remains underdeveloped. In this article, we propose a robust evaluation framework based on relative error, which quantifies performance differences between two HTE estimators. We first derive the key theoretical conditions on the nuisance parameters that are necessary to achieve a robust estimator of relative error. Building on these conditions, we introduce novel loss functions and design a neural network architecture to estimate nuisance parameters and obtain robust estimation of relative error, thereby achieving reliable evaluation of HTE estimators. We provide the large sample properties of the proposed relative error estimator. Furthermore, beyond evaluation, we propose a new learning algorithm for HTE that leverages both the previously HTE estimators and the nuisance parameters learned through our neural network architecture. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our evaluation framework supports reliable comparisons across HTE estimators, and the proposed learning algorithm for HTE exhibits desirable performance.

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 13 of its 42 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 18 Oct 2025.

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13 of 42 references.

References · 13

  1. 2015Estimation and Inference of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Random Forestscited by 600
  2. 2017Meta-learners for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Machine Learningcited by 478
  3. 2017Causal Effect Inference with Deep Latent-Variable Modelscited by 410
  4. 2019Adapting Neural Networks for the Estimation of Treatment Effectscited by 287
  5. 2020Estimating the Effects of Continuous-valued Interventions using Generative Adversarial Networkscited by 78
  6. 2019Estimating Treatment Effects with Causal Forests: An Applicationcited by 58
  7. 2017Some methods for heterogeneous treatment effect estimation in high-dimensionscited by 48
  8. 2016Double/Debiased Machine Learning for Treatment and Causal Parameterscited by 43
  9. 2023Optimal Transport for Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 32
  10. 2023In Search of Insights, Not Magic Bullets: Towards Demystification of the Model Selection Dilemma in Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 29
  11. 2022Empirical Analysis of Model Selection for Heterogeneous Causal Effect Estimationcited by 25
  12. 2020Estimating Individual Treatment Effects using Non-Parametric Regression Models: a Reviewcited by 20
1 more
  1. 2022DESCN: Deep Entire Space Cross Networks for Individual Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 16

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