mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Heterogeneous Causal Learning for Optimizing Aggregated Functions in User Growth

arXiv 2507.05510 ↗First posted 7 Jul 2025cs.LGcited by 0

Not on the map. Why?

Abstract (arXiv)

User growth is a major strategy for consumer internet companies. To optimize costly marketing campaigns and maximize user engagement, we propose a novel treatment effect optimization methodology to enhance user growth marketing. By leveraging deep learning, our algorithm learns from past experiments to optimize user selection and reward allocation, maximizing campaign impact while minimizing costs. Unlike traditional prediction methods, our model directly models uplifts in key business metrics. Further, our deep learning model can jointly optimize parameters for an aggregated loss function using softmax gating. Our approach surpasses traditional methods by directly targeting desired business metrics and demonstrates superior algorithmic flexibility in handling complex business constraints. Comprehensive evaluations, including comparisons with state-of-the-art techniques such as R-learner and Causal Forest, validate the effectiveness of our model. We experimentally demonstrate that our proposed constrained and direct optimization algorithms significantly outperform state-of-the-art methods by over 20%, proving their cost-efficiency and real-world impact. The versatile methods can be applied to various product scenarios, including optimal treatment allocation. Its effectiveness has also been validated through successful worldwide production deployments.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 9 of its 34 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 7 Jul 2025.

Builds on

9 of 34 references.

References · 9

  1. 2020Language Models are Few-Shot Learnerscited by 32,419
  2. 2016XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting Systemcited by 5,166
  3. 2017Outrageously Large Neural Networks: The Sparsely-Gated Mixture-of-Experts Layercited by 3,509
  4. 2017Causal Effect Inference with Deep Latent-Variable Modelscited by 410
  5. 2017Quasi-Oracle Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effectscited by 332
  6. 2015Recursive Partitioning for Heterogeneous Causal Effectscited by 255
  7. 2017Some methods for heterogeneous treatment effect estimation in high-dimensionscited by 48
  8. 2017Imposing Hard Constraints on Deep Networks: Promises and Limitationscited by 43
  9. 2018Explore-Exploit: A Framework for Interactive and Online Learningcited by 2

Built on by

Not cited yet.