mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

QUALS: Corpus Equilibrium for Universal Forecasting via Pattern Quantization and Learnability Synchronization

arXiv 2609.20156 ↗First posted 17 Sep 2026cs.LG cs.AIcited by 0

Not on the map. Why?

Abstract (arXiv)

Ubiquitous time series data across diverse domains enables critical applications in areas such as transportation systems and power grids. Recently, training foundation models on massive datasets to achieve accurate zero-shot forecasting has emerged as a major research focus. However, current studies predominantly prioritize architectural innovations while insufficiently addressing data diversity, often relying on simple data sampling strategies that fail to manage complex data distributions effectively, leading to inefficient use of training data and suboptimal performance. To address this, we propose QUALS, a large-scale time series corpus equilibrium framework. QUALS significantly enhances data efficiency, i.e., enabling existing models to achieve superior performance using only a small fraction of the original training data. Specifically, QUALS operates through two core mechanisms. First, a pattern quantization framework systematically decodes heterogeneous patterns from mixed corpora via vector quantization and uniform binning. Second, a learnability synchronization framework calibrates sampling weights for heterogeneous patterns, bridging the optimization gap between simple and complex motifs to maximize overall training efficiency. Extensive benchmarks demonstrate that pre-training on QUALS consistently achieves superior zero-shot performance, even under substantially reduced training budgets.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 29 of its 61 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 17 Sep 2026.

Builds on

29 of 61 references.

References · 29

  1. 2021Swin Transformer: Hierarchical Vision Transformer using Shifted Windowscited by 12,082
  2. 2017Neural Discrete Representation Learningcited by 4,650
  3. 2013Estimating or Propagating Gradients Through Stochastic Neurons for Conditional Computationcited by 2,031
  4. 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 1,981
  5. 2024Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Seriescited by 712
  6. 2021Vector-quantized Image Modeling with Improved VQGANcited by 656
  7. 2023A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecastingcited by 650
  8. 2024Unified Training of Universal Time Series Forecasting Transformerscited by 588
  9. 2020Jukebox: A Generative Model for Musiccited by 535
  10. 2024MOMENT: A Family of Open Time-series Foundation Modelscited by 453
  11. 2023Long-term Forecasting with TiDE: Time-series Dense Encodercited by 327
  12. 2024Time-MoE: Billion-Scale Time Series Foundation Models with Mixture of Expertscited by 280
17 more
  1. 2024TFB: Towards Comprehensive and Fair Benchmarking of Time Series Forecasting Methodscited by 242
  2. 2024GIFT-Eval: A Benchmark For General Time Series Forecasting Model Evaluationcited by 188
  3. 2025Sundial: A Family of Highly Capable Time Series Foundation Modelscited by 168
  4. 2023Exploring Progress in Multivariate Time Series Forecasting: Comprehensive Benchmarking and Heterogeneity Analysiscited by 113
  5. 2019catch22: CAnonical Time-series CHaracteristicscited by 103
  6. 2023ForecastPFN: Synthetically-Trained Zero-Shot Forecastingcited by 102
  7. 2024ChatTS: Aligning Time Series with LLMs via Synthetic Data for Enhanced Understanding and Reasoningcited by 95
  8. 2025Reward Shaping to Mitigate Reward Hacking in RLHFcited by 88
  9. 2024VisionTS: Visual Masked Autoencoders Are Free-Lunch Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasterscited by 87
  10. 2024FreDF: Learning to Forecast in the Frequency Domaincited by 77
  11. 2025Moirai 2.0: When Less Is More for Time Series Forecastingcited by 59
  12. 2024Restructuring Vector Quantization with the Rotation Trickcited by 49
  13. 2024Towards a General Time Series Forecasting Model with Unified Representation and Adaptive Transfercited by 31
  14. 2024EasyTime: Time Series Forecasting Made Easycited by 30
  15. 2025LightGTS: A Lightweight General Time Series Forecasting Modelcited by 28
  16. 2025BLAST: Balanced Sampling Time Series Corpus for Universal Forecasting Modelscited by 16
  17. 2020Seagull: An Infrastructure for Load Prediction and Optimized Resource Allocationcited by 4

Built on by

Not cited yet.