mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Thinking Hard, Not Smart: Reasoning Models Fail to Ration Test-Time Compute Across Questions

arXiv 2608.07968 ↗First posted 8 Aug 2026cs.CL cs.AIcited by 1

On the map: LLM reasoning → Test-time compute and efficient thinking

Abstract (arXiv)

Reasoning language models increasingly use test-time compute to improve performance, but existing evaluations typically study this compute one question at a time. Yet when multiple problems share an end-to-end cost or latency constraint, models must decide how to divide limited inference compute among them. We introduce an exam-style evaluation framework for studying this setting, in which a model must distribute one shared token budget across questions with different difficulty and point values to maximize its total score. Across several open and frontier reasoning models, we find that models fail to allocate a shared budget strategically across questions of varying difficulties and values. Models behave largely as greedy sequential solvers: they prioritize questions by presentation order, front-load effort on early questions, and remain insensitive to value, with these tendencies becoming more pronounced as the number of questions grows. Explicit planning prompts spread compute more evenly but do not produce value- or difficulty-aware prioritization. The same behavioral pattern extends from mathematical to code reasoning. These findings establish global budget allocation as a distinct capability that is not captured by conventional per-question evaluation and remains a challenge for current reasoning models.

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Test-time compute and efficient thinking, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 23 of its 38 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 8 Aug 2026.

Builds on

23 of 38 references.

Closest ancestors · 16

Same direction, newest first

  1. 2026Adaptive Test-Time Compute Allocation for Reasoning LLMs via Constrained Policy Optimization16 Apr
  2. 2026CoT2-Meta: Budgeted Metacognitive Control for Test-Time Reasoning30 Mar
  3. 2026ROI-Reasoning: Rational Optimization for Inference via Pre-Computation Meta-Cognition7 Jan
  4. 2025BudgetThinker: Empowering Budget-aware LLM Reasoning with Control Tokens24 Aug
  5. 2025REST: Stress Testing Large Reasoning Models by Asking Multiple Problems at Once14 Jul
  6. 2025Steering LLM Thinking with Budget Guidance16 Jun
  7. 2025What makes Reasoning Models Different? Follow the Reasoning Leader for Efficient Decoding8 Jun
  8. 2025AdaReasoner: Adaptive Reasoning Enables More Flexible Thinking in Large Language Models22 May
  9. 2025Reasoning Models Can Be Effective Without Thinking14 Apr
  10. 2025Missing Premise exacerbates Overthinking: Are Reasoning Models losing Critical Thinking Skill?9 Apr
  11. 2025ThinkPrune: Pruning Long Chain-of-Thought of LLMs via Reinforcement Learning2 Apr
  12. 2025L1: Controlling How Long A Reasoning Model Thinks With Reinforcement Learning6 Mar
4 more
  1. 2024Do NOT Think That Much for 2+3=? On the Overthinking of o1-Like LLMs30 Dec
  2. 2024Token-Budget-Aware LLM Reasoning24 Dec
  3. 2024Rational Metareasoning for Large Language Models7 Oct
  4. 2024Scaling LLM Test-Time Compute Optimally can be More Effective than Scaling Model Parameters6 Aug

Other references · 7

  1. 2025Qwen3 Technical Reportcited by 8,195
  2. 2025DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learningcited by 6,146
  3. 2026DeepSeek-V4: Towards Highly Efficient Million-Token Context Intelligencecited by 877
  4. 2024Omni-MATH: A Universal Olympiad Level Mathematic Benchmark For Large Language Modelscited by 277
  5. 2024Premise Order Matters in Reasoning with Large Language Modelscited by 71
  6. 2025ARM: Adaptive Reasoning Modelcited by 38
  7. 2026TRIAGE: Evaluating Prospective Metacognitive Control in LLMs under Resource Constraintscited by 5

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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 1.

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  1. 2025Plan and Budget: Effective and Efficient Test-Time Scaling on Reasoning Large Language Models
  2. 2026When More Thinking Hurts: Overthinking in LLM Test-Time Compute Scaling
  3. 2025Is That Your Final Answer? Test-Time Scaling Improves Selective Question Answering
  4. 2025Test-Time Reasoners Are Strategic Multiple-Choice Test-Takers
  5. 2026Uncertainty-Aware Budget Allocation for Adaptive Test-Time Reasoning
  6. 2025The Art of Scaling Test-Time Compute for Large Language Models
  7. 2026Echoes as Anchors: Probabilistic Costs and Attention Refocusing in LLM Reasoning
  8. 2025THOUGHTTERMINATOR: Benchmarking, Calibrating, and Mitigating Overthinking in Reasoning Models