Enhancing Irregular Time Series Forecasting with Continuous-Time Modeling Framework
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Abstract (arXiv)
Irregular multivariate time series are widely encountered in applications such as healthcare monitoring, human activity recognition, and environmental sensing. Their core challenges stem from asynchronous observations, non-uniform sampling intervals, and the fact that temporal patterns themselves carry critical dynamic information. Existing approaches either rely on discretization-based preprocessing (e.g., interpolation, imputation, or aggregation), which disrupts the underlying continuous-time semantics, or adopt continuous-time modeling via ODE-based frameworks, which typically require specialized architectures and incur substantial computational overhead due to numerical solvers. To address these limitations, we propose WrapFlow, a continuous-time modeling framework for irregular time series forecasting. On the input side, WrapFlow introduces Continuous-Time Tokenization, which directly encodes raw observation events and explicitly models long unobserved intervals via gap-aware tokens. The resulting continuous-time tokens are then processed by a standard Transformer backbone to capture long-range temporal dependencies. On the output side, we develop a simulation-free training paradigm for Residual Flow Matching, which learns conditional residual vector fields around base predictions while avoiding numerical-solver simulation and backpropagation during training. This design enables high-quality continuous forecasting using only a small number of fixed rollout steps at inference. Extensive experiments on multiple real-world datasets demonstrate that WrapFlow achieves state-of-the-art performance.
Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 17 of its 28 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 30 Jul 2026.
Builds on
17 of 28 references.
References · 17
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5 more
- 2023Warpformer: A Multi-scale Modeling Approach for Irregular Clinical Time Seriescited by 54
- 2025Rethinking Irregular Time Series Forecasting: A Simple yet Effective Baselinecited by 54
- 2024FlowTS: Time Series Generation via Rectified Flowcited by 22
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- 2025Bridging the Last Mile of Prediction: Enhancing Time Series Forecasting with Conditional Guided Flow Matchingcited by 3
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Citing papers per year: 2026: 1.
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- 2025Time Tracker: Mixture-of-Experts-Enhanced Foundation Time Series Forecasting Model with Decoupled Training Pipelines
- 2025Probabilistic Forecasting via Autoregressive Flow Matching
- 2026ChronoFlow: Hierarchical Flow Matching for Irregular Time Series Generation
- 2025FreqFlow: Long-term forecasting using lightweight flow matching
- 2026ProtoFlow: Prototype-Guided Flow Matching for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
- 2025Unified Flow Matching for Long Horizon Event Forecasting