mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Random-Set Graph Neural Networks

arXiv 2605.11987 ↗First posted 12 May 2026cs.AI cs.LG stat.APcited by 3

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Abstract (arXiv)

Uncertainty quantification has become an important factor in understanding the data representations produced by Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). Despite their predictive capabilities being ever useful across industrial workspaces, the inherent uncertainty induced by the nature of the data is a huge mitigating factor to GNN performance. While aleatoric uncertainty is the result of noisy and incomplete stochastic data such as missing edges or over-smoothing, epistemic uncertainty arises from lack of knowledge about a system or model (e.g., a graph's topology or node feature representation), which can be reduced by gathering more data and information. In this paper, we propose an original new framework in which node-level epistemic uncertainty is modelled in a belief function (finite random set) formalism. The resulting Random-Set Graph Neural Networks have a belief-function head predicting a random set over the list of classes, from which both a precise probability prediction and a measure of epistemic uncertainty can be obtained. Extensive experiments on 9 different graph learning datasets, including real-world autonomous driving benchmarks as such Nuscene and ROAD, demonstrate RS-GNN's superior uncertainty quantification capabilities

Key facts. Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 63 of its 107 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 12 May 2026.

Builds on

63 of 107 references.

References · 63

  1. 2017Inductive Representation Learning on Large Graphscited by 6,320
  2. 2017On Calibration of Modern Neural Networkscited by 4,960
  3. 2019nuScenes: A multimodal dataset for autonomous drivingcited by 4,523
  4. 2015Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learningcited by 4,448
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  12. 2018Pitfalls of Graph Neural Network Evaluationcited by 1,007
38 more
  1. 2016Revisiting Semi-Supervised Learning with Graph Embeddingscited by 976
  2. 2019Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty in Machine Learning: An Introduction to Concepts and Methodscited by 913
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  17. 2020Bayesian Graph Neural Networks with Adaptive Connection Samplingcited by 81
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  20. 2022Deep Ensembles Work, But Are They Necessary?cited by 63
  21. 2021ROAD: The ROad event Awareness Dataset for Autonomous Drivingcited by 54
  22. 2023Is the Volume of a Credal Set a Good Measure for Epistemic Uncertainty?cited by 40
  23. 2024Credal Learning Theorycited by 31
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  25. 2024Uncertainty in Graph Neural Networks: A Surveycited by 23
  26. 2023Random-Set Neural Networks (RS-NN)cited by 19
  27. 2022Epistemic Deep Learningcited by 15
  28. 2024Energy-based Epistemic Uncertainty for Graph Neural Networkscited by 14
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  30. 2022Towards OOD Detection in Graph Classification from Uncertainty Estimation Perspectivecited by 13
  31. 2022A General Framework for quantifying Aleatoric and Epistemic uncertainty in Graph Neural Networkscited by 12
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  33. 2020Efficient Computation Reduction in Bayesian Neural Networks Through Feature Decomposition and Memorizationcited by 10
  34. 2022Deep-Ensemble-Based Uncertainty Quantification in Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks for Traffic Forecastingcited by 10
  35. 2023Graph Neural Network Interatomic Potential Ensembles with Calibrated Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty on Energy and Forcescited by 10
  36. 2025A Unified Evaluation Framework for Epistemic Predictionscited by 10
  37. 2021Uncertainty measures: The big picturecited by 8
  38. 2025Credal and Interval Deep Evidential Classificationscited by 8

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3 papers.