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Tracking Adaptation Time: Metrics for Temporal Distribution Shift

arXiv 2604.07266 ↗First posted 8 Apr 2026cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Evaluating robustness under temporal distribution shift remains an open challenge. Existing metrics quantify the average decline in performance, but fail to capture how models adapt to evolving data. As a result, temporal degradation is often misinterpreted: when accuracy declines, it is unclear whether the model is failing to adapt or whether the data itself has become inherently more challenging to learn. In this work, we propose three complementary metrics to distinguish adaptation from intrinsic difficulty in the data. Together, these metrics provide a dynamic and interpretable view of model behavior under temporal distribution shift. Results show that our metrics uncover adaptation patterns hidden by existing analysis, offering a richer understanding of temporal robustness in evolving environments.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 11 of its 17 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 8 Apr 2026.

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11 of 17 references.

References · 11

  1. 2019Momentum Contrast for Unsupervised Visual Representation Learningcited by 7,482
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  5. 2020WILDS: A Benchmark of in-the-Wild Distribution Shiftscited by 1,366
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  7. 2020Measuring Robustness to Natural Distribution Shifts in Image Classificationcited by 452
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  9. 2018Re-evaluating Continual Learning Scenarios: A Categorization and Case for Strong Baselinescited by 228
  10. 2022Wild-Time: A Benchmark of in-the-Wild Distribution Shift over Timecited by 85
  11. 2015A Century of Portraits: A Visual Historical Record of American High School Yearbookscited by 54

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