Diagnosing Long-Video Quantitative Reasoning in Multimodal LLMs via Enumeration and Counting

Final-answer video QA can show whether a model predicts the right number, but not which instances it counted, when the supporting evidence occurs, or why it failed. We diagnose long-video quantitative reasoning in multimodal large language models (MLLMs) through three coupled abilities: enumerating query-relevant instances, temporally grounding supporting evidence, and aggregating the evidence into counts. To support this analysis, we build EC-Bench, an evidence-annotated evaluation suite with 152 untrimmed videos longer than 30 minutes, 1,699 open-ended queries across six reasoning categories, and human-verified evidence spans. We evaluate 22 open-source and proprietary MLLMs using timestamped visual frames and transcripts. The best average scores reach only 29.98% Enumeration F1 and 23.74% Counting accuracy, compared with human performance of 78.57% and 82.97%, respectively. Our analyses show that counting errors are rarely isolated arithmetic mistakes: Enumeration F1 is strongly associated with Counting accuracy, temporal grounding quality is associated with lower counting error, and Counting accuracy drops as supporting evidence becomes more distributed. These findings recast long-video counting as evidence retrieval, temporal grounding, deduplication, and aggregation across the video, rather than simple numerical prediction.