mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Flow Matching with Uncertainty Quantification and Guidance

arXiv 2602.10326 ↗First posted 10 Feb 2026cs.CV cs.LGcited by 3

On the map: Diffusion models → Flow matching, time series and science

Abstract (arXiv)

Despite the remarkable success of sampling-based generative models such as flow matching, they can still produce samples of inconsistent or degraded quality. To assess sample reliability and generate higher-quality outputs, we propose uncertainty-aware flow matching (UA-Flow), a lightweight extension of flow matching that predicts the velocity field together with heteroscedastic uncertainty. UA-Flow estimates per-sample uncertainty by propagating velocity uncertainty through the flow dynamics. These uncertainty estimates act as a reliability signal for individual samples, and we further use them to steer generation via uncertainty-aware classifier guidance and classifier-free guidance. Experiments on image generation show that UA-Flow produces uncertainty signals more highly correlated with sample fidelity than baseline methods, and that uncertainty-guided sampling further improves generation quality.

Key facts. Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Flow matching, time series and science, one of 14 directions in Diffusion models. Builds on 37 of its 44 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 10 Feb 2026.

Builds on

37 of 44 references.

Closest ancestors · 5

Same direction, newest first

  1. 2024Flow Matching Guide and Code9 Dec
  2. 2023Guided Flows for Generative Modeling and Decision Making22 Nov
  3. 2023Flow Matching in Latent Space17 Jul
  4. 2022Flow Matching for Generative Modeling6 Oct
  5. 2022Flow Straight and Fast: Learning to Generate and Transfer Data with Rectified Flow7 Sep

Other references · 32

  1. 2021Learning Transferable Visual Models From Natural Language Supervisioncited by 33,456
  2. 2020Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Modelscited by 20,851
  3. 2021High-Resolution Image Synthesis with Latent Diffusion Modelscited by 18,694
  4. 2020Score-Based Generative Modeling through Stochastic Differential Equationscited by 8,964
  5. 2021Diffusion Models Beat GANs on Image Synthesiscited by 8,185
  6. 2015Deep Unsupervised Learning using Nonequilibrium Thermodynamicscited by 7,005
  7. 2022Photorealistic Text-to-Image Diffusion Models with Deep Language Understandingcited by 6,322
  8. 2022Scalable Diffusion Models with Transformerscited by 5,931
  9. 2022Classifier-Free Diffusion Guidancecited by 5,717
  10. 2015Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learningcited by 4,416
  11. 2016Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensemblescited by 3,888
  12. 2022Elucidating the Design Space of Diffusion-Based Generative Modelscited by 2,994
20 more
  1. 2023Diffusion Policy: Visuomotor Policy Learning via Action Diffusioncited by 2,730
  2. 2017What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?cited by 2,335
  3. 2024π0: A Vision-Language-Action Flow Model for General Robot Controlcited by 2,297
  4. 2022Video Diffusion Modelscited by 2,280
  5. 2022Planning with Diffusion for Flexible Behavior Synthesiscited by 1,023
  6. 2022Building Normalizing Flows with Stochastic Interpolantscited by 964
  7. 2019Improved Precision and Recall Metric for Assessing Generative Modelscited by 925
  8. 2015Automatic differentiation in machine learning: a surveycited by 846
  9. 2018Accurate Uncertainties for Deep Learning Using Calibrated Regressioncited by 417
  10. 2021Laplace Redux -- Effortless Bayesian Deep Learningcited by 359
  11. 2022On the Pitfalls of Heteroscedastic Uncertainty Estimation with Probabilistic Neural Networkscited by 119
  12. 2024Eliminating Oversaturation and Artifacts of High Guidance Scales in Diffusion Modelscited by 107
  13. 2024Affordance-based Robot Manipulation with Flow Matchingcited by 54
  14. 2023BayesDiff: Estimating Pixel-wise Uncertainty in Diffusion via Bayesian Inferencecited by 30
  15. 2024Shedding Light on Large Generative Networks: Estimating Epistemic Uncertainty in Diffusion Modelscited by 22
  16. 2025Generative Uncertainty in Diffusion Modelscited by 20
  17. 2024Diffusion Model Guided Sampling with Pixel-Wise Aleatoric Uncertainty Estimationcited by 17
  18. 2025Unified Uncertainty-Aware Diffusion for Multi-Agent Trajectory Modelingcited by 15
  19. 2024Towards Understanding and Quantifying Uncertainty for Text-to-Image Generationcited by 11
  20. 2022A Tight Analysis of Hutchinson's Diagonal Estimatorcited by 5

Built on by

Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 3.

3 papers.

Similar, not cited

Close in wording, no citation either way

  1. 2026Flowing with Confidence
  2. 2025Score-Regularized Joint Sampling with Importance Weights for Flow Matching
  3. 2024Flow Matching Posterior Sampling: A Training-free Conditional Generation for Flow Matching
  4. 2026Stable Velocity: A Variance Perspective on Flow Matching
  5. 2026Training-Free Refinement of Flow Matching with Divergence-based Sampling
  6. 2026Classifier-Free Guidance in Flow Matching: Non-Autonomous Potentials, Overshoot, and Posterior-Mean Control
  7. 2026Uncertainty-Aware Distribution-to-Distribution Flow Matching for Scientific Imaging
  8. 2025Letting Trajectories Spread: Quality-Preserving Control for Diverse Flow Matching